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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-02

Computed at 2026年9月3日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 17

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-09-02

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-02
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-02
DOE window 2026-07-01 → 2026-08-28
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月3日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 17
Excluded downtrends 7
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=607 Median 0.19%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.19% OOS median · n=607

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +27.76% ann. net · n=1117

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.39% exp · 67D WF

Opp study rows 27,034 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-02

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 49 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-08-27

9 檔
  1. #1 C P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.594 開富途
  2. #2 DOV P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Opp3.577 開富途
  3. #3 URI P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.565 開富途
  4. #4 WST P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.564 開富途
  5. #5 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.528 開富途
  6. #6 LLY P75+3.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.449 開富途
  7. #7 MPWR P75+7.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn33.8% / 13.8% Opp3.404 開富途
  8. #8 APA P75+4.87% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.8% Opp3.303 開富途
  9. #9 WM P75+3.23% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.262 開富途

2026-08-31

17 檔
  1. #1 ROST P75+3.29% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.681 開富途
  2. #2 L P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.639 開富途
  3. #3 GL P75+3.20% 上漲比70% Up/Dn16.3% / 2.5% Opp3.626 開富途
  4. #4 CVS P75+2.77% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.619 開富途
  5. #5 RJF P75+3.25% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.612 開富途
  6. #6 WMT P75+3.43% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.563 開富途
  7. #7 AVGO P75+3.96% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp3.545 開富途
  8. #8 BAC P75+3.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.538 開富途
  9. #9 CFG P75+3.60% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.492 開富途
  10. #10 AFL P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.462 開富途
  11. #11 TSN P75+3.63% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.418 開富途
  12. #12 BAX P75+2.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.349 開富途
  13. #13 JNJ P75+2.96% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.346 開富途
  14. #14 CAH P75+3.45% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.252 開富途
  15. #15 STLD P75+4.20% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.224 開富途
  16. #16 PNC P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.217 開富途
  17. #17 PFG P75+2.40% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.209 開富途

2026-09-01

11 檔
  1. #1 BNY P75+3.45% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.67 開富途
  2. #2 WMT P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.634 開富途
  3. #3 CASY P75+3.44% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 3.8% Opp3.56 開富途
  4. #4 LYB P75+3.82% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 5% Opp3.54 開富途
  5. #5 BEN P75+2.86% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.464 開富途
  6. #6 KLAC P75+4.31% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn21.3% / 7.5% Opp3.461 開富途
  7. #7 MS P75+3.26% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.454 開富途
  8. #8 CSCO P75+4.35% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.399 開富途
  9. #9 RJF P75+2.87% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.394 開富途
  10. #10 L P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.315 開富途
  11. #11 AMGN P75+3.31% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.233 開富途

2026-09-02

17 檔
  1. #1 CFG P75+3.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Opp3.675 開富途
  2. #2 RF P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 0% Opp3.662 開富途
  3. #3 HLT P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.644 開富途
  4. #4 STX P75+5.88% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp3.616 開富途
  5. #5 PFG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.514 開富途
  6. #6 SYY P75+2.95% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.474 開富途
  7. #7 ACGL P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.416 開富途
  8. #8 BDX P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.367 開富途
  9. #9 NTRS P75+3.06% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.354 開富途
  10. #10 AFL P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.345 開富途
  11. #11 MTB P75+3.01% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.335 開富途
  12. #12 TFC P75+2.87% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.323 開富途
  13. #13 MRVL P75+5.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn26.3% / 7.5% Opp3.316 開富途
  14. #14 L P75+3.63% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.28 開富途
  15. #15 GLW P75+5.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn28.8% / 12.5% Opp3.225 開富途
  16. #16 MS P75+3.20% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.221 開富途
  17. #17 PNC P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.208 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.CFG P75+3.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Opp3.675 開富途
  2. #2 US.RF P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 0% Opp3.662 開富途
  3. #3 US.HLT P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.644 開富途
  4. #4 US.STX P75+5.88% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp3.616 開富途
  5. #5 US.PFG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.514 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.CFG Citizens Financial Group · Financials

+1.09%

P75+3.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Score53.1 Opp3.675
View chart 開富途
#2 US.RF Regions Financial Corporation · Financials

+0.93%

P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 0% Score53.1 Opp3.662
View chart 開富途
#3 US.HLT Hilton Worldwide · Consumer Discretionary

+1.35%

P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score46 Opp3.644
View chart 開富途
#4 US.STX Seagate Technology · Information Technology

+1.67%

P75+5.88% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Score43 Opp3.616
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PFG Principal Financial Group · Financials

+1.04%

P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score57.6 Opp3.514
View chart 開富途
#6 US.SYY Sysco · Consumer Staples

+1.12%

P75+2.95% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score48.8 Opp3.474
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ACGL Arch Capital Group · Financials

+0.84%

P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score55.5 Opp3.416
View chart 開富途
#8 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

+0.97%

P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score64.4 Opp3.367
View chart 開富途
#9 US.NTRS Northern Trust · Financials

+0.76%

P75+3.06% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Score53.7 Opp3.354
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

+0.85%

P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Score55 Opp3.345
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MTB M&T Bank · Financials

+0.85%

P75+3.01% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score57.2 Opp3.335
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TFC Truist Financial · Financials

+0.95%

P75+2.87% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Score60.8 Opp3.323
View chart 開富途
#13 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

+1.23%

P75+5.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn26.3% / 7.5% Score43.1 Opp3.316
View chart 開富途
#14 US.L Loews Corporation · Financials

+0.83%

P75+3.63% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score51.8 Opp3.28
View chart 開富途
#15 US.GLW Corning Inc. · Information Technology

+1.32%

P75+5.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn28.8% / 12.5% Score37.6 Opp3.225
View chart 開富途
#16 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

+0.78%

P75+3.20% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score52.1 Opp3.221
View chart 開富途
#17 US.PNC PNC Financial Services · Financials

+0.83%

P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score52.5 Opp3.208
View chart 開富途