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歷史相似情境下跌排名

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＜0） · 中位＜0 · DN＞UP 10% · 已排除強勢上升

短期上升版本

下跌追蹤Lv1
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短期上升版本

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期下跌門檻（中位＜0 · DN＞UP · 排除強勢上升），按中位跌幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

下跌追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 -0.9% · 下跌比 62.5% · Dn−Up +11.3 · 共 31 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-05

8/12
  1. #1 FICO 2日 中位-2.64% P25-6.69% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up37.5%/20% 開富途
  2. #2 PSKY 中位-1.58% P25-4.84% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up25%/12.5% 開富途
  3. #3 CPRT 中位-1.23% P25-3.36% 下跌比65% Dn/Up15%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 BLDR 2日 中位-0.95% P25-2.82% 下跌比55% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 CDW 中位-0.93% P25-4.55% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up25%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 AMT 中位-0.92% P25-1.93% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 TSCO 中位-0.88% P25-2.59% 下跌比70% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 ROL 中位-0.83% P25-3.00% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 下跌速覽

  1. #1 US.UBER P25-3.87% 下跌比80% Dn/Up17.5% / 0% 中位-1.63% 開富途
  2. #2 US.STZ P25-3.42% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5% / 2.5% 中位-1.12% 開富途
  3. #3 US.PEP P25-2.17% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15% / 5% 中位-0.95% 開富途
  4. #4 US.COR P25-2.09% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5% / 2.5% 中位-0.79% 開富途
  5. #5 US.HOOD P25-2.45% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5% / 2.5% 中位-0.64% 開富途

跌幅領先榜

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序，其後才看 P25 與 Dn−Up；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格小於 0。

Default filter active: DN＞UP 10% (Down5 − Up5 ≥ 10pp).

來自 sp500_score_projections 的已物化投影列，按中位跌幅、然後 P25、然後 Dn−Up 排序。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.UBER Uber · Industrials

-1.63%

P25-3.87% Down80% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score70.9 DownOpp4.466
View chart 開富途
#2 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-1.12%

P25-3.42% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score98.7 DownOpp2.685
View chart 開富途
#3 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-0.95%

P25-2.17% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score81.6 DownOpp1.981
View chart 開富途
#4 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.79%

P25-2.09% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score73 DownOpp1.615
View chart 開富途
#5 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-0.64%

P25-2.45% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score50.8 DownOpp1.722
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CME CME Group · Financials

-0.51%

P25-2.45% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score86.8 DownOpp1.672
View chart 開富途
#7 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-0.34%

P25-2.97% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score78.7 DownOpp1.492
View chart 開富途