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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-02
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-02
DOE window 2026-07-01 → 2026-08-28
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月3日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 21
Excluded uptrends 377

Downside ranking

US.CEG · -0.78% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.78%
Top down rate73.8%
Top P25-2.11%
DOE score2.22

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.78%

P25-2.11% Down73.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score83.4 DownOpp2.436
View chart 開富途
#2 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-1.42%

P25-3.52% Down61.3% Dn/Up516.3% / 7.5% Score58.3 DownOpp2.317
View chart 開富途
#3 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-1.31%

P25-3.31% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score64.5 DownOpp2.254
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.19%

P25-7.19% Down57.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 16.3% Score64.8 DownOpp2.124
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.78%

P25-2.13% Down65% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score57 DownOpp1.935
View chart 開富途
#6 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.72%

P25-2.28% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score50.2 DownOpp1.764
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.19%

P25-3.12% Down60% Dn/Up58.8% / 11.3% Score66.2 DownOpp1.596
View chart 開富途
#8 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.68%

P25-2.11% Down63.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score54.5 DownOpp1.525
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.48%

P25-1.60% Down62.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score51.3 DownOpp1.495
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.07% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score48.2 DownOpp1.046
View chart 開富途
#11 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.00%

P25-3.75% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 18.8% Score51.1 DownOpp1.026
View chart 開富途
#12 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.28%

P25-1.82% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score65.9 DownOpp0.841
View chart 開富途
#13 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.44% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 15% Score48.1 DownOpp0.549
View chart 開富途
#14 US.CME CME Group · Financials

-0.31%

P25-1.65% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score67.5 DownOpp0.52
View chart 開富途
#15 US.WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation · Financials

-0.13%

P25-1.53% Down56.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score48.1 DownOpp0.428
View chart 開富途
#16 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.26%

P25-1.79% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 3.8% Score50.4 DownOpp0.405
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.24% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 6.3% Score47.6 DownOpp0.245
View chart 開富途
#18 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.09%

P25-2.65% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score64.6 DownOpp0.24
View chart 開富途
#19 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.08%

P25-1.92% Down52.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score66.7 DownOpp0.11
View chart 開富途
#20 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.28%

P25-1.88% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 10% Score46.3 DownOpp0.107
View chart 開富途
#21 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-0.19%

P25-1.98% Down53.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 8.8% Score47.6 DownOpp0.104
View chart 開富途