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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-27
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-27
DOE window 2026-06-26 → 2026-08-24
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月28日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 20
Excluded uptrends 380

Downside ranking

US.NVR · -0.98% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.98%
Top down rate66.3%
Top P25-2.40%
DOE score2.444

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.98%

P25-2.40% Down66.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score58 DownOpp2.221
View chart 開富途
#2 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.90%

P25-2.63% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score54 DownOpp2.053
View chart 開富途
#3 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.68%

P25-2.49% Down61.3% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score51 DownOpp1.746
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.09%

P25-3.52% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score59.8 DownOpp1.722
View chart 開富途
#5 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-1.28%

P25-4.45% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 11.3% Score104.8 DownOpp1.529
View chart 開富途
#6 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.51%

P25-1.74% Down58.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score54.6 DownOpp1.239
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.91%

P25-4.56% Down55% Dn/Up522.5% / 13.8% Score56.9 DownOpp1.195
View chart 開富途
#8 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.74%

P25-3.00% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 8.8% Score62.4 DownOpp1.094
View chart 開富途
#9 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.58%

P25-3.32% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 10% Score65 DownOpp0.922
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.11%

P25-4.46% Down55% Dn/Up520% / 16.3% Score101.9 DownOpp0.883
View chart 開富途
#11 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.37%

P25-3.56% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 6.3% Score58.4 DownOpp0.844
View chart 開富途
#12 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-3.17% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 8.8% Score60.4 DownOpp0.832
View chart 開富途
#13 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-0.40%

P25-2.56% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score70.5 DownOpp0.811
View chart 開富途
#14 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-0.61%

P25-2.17% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 11.3% Score41.1 DownOpp0.766
View chart 開富途
#15 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.21% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8% Score56.3 DownOpp0.626
View chart 開富途
#16 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-0.70%

P25-4.22% Down52.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 16.3% Score53.9 DownOpp0.573
View chart 開富途
#17 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.35% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 11.3% Score48.7 DownOpp0.568
View chart 開富途
#18 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.29%

P25-1.40% Down53.8% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score50.5 DownOpp0.565
View chart 開富途
#19 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-0.28%

P25-2.28% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 10% Score60.3 DownOpp0.198
View chart 開富途
#20 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.41%

P25-2.29% Down52.5% Dn/Up55% / 13.8% Score46.8 DownOpp0.003
View chart 開富途