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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-08-27

Computed at 2026年8月28日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 11

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-08-27

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-27
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-27
DOE window 2026-06-26 → 2026-08-24
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月28日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 11
Excluded downtrends 7
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.9

OOS n=750 Median 0.25%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.9

+0.25% OOS median · n=750

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +19.7% ann. net · n=679

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.4% exp · 76D WF

Opp study rows 27,330 with outcomes

1,506 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-27

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 46 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-08-21

8 檔
  1. #1 UAL P75+4.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.888 開富途
  2. #2 BAC P75+2.87% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  3. #3 MCK P75+2.52% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.764 開富途
  4. #4 DAL P75+3.48% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.701 開富途
  5. #5 LRCX P75+5.80% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp3.677 開富途
  6. #6 UPS P75+3.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.508 開富途
  7. #7 PPG P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.246 開富途
  8. #8 FTV P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.239 開富途

2026-08-24

15 檔
  1. #1 LITE P75+5.25% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 5% Opp3.894 開富途
  2. #2 PNC P75+3.47% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.797 開富途
  3. #3 BNY P75+3.37% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.774 開富途
  4. #4 TRV P75+2.67% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.757 開富途
  5. #5 WMT P75+2.98% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.733 開富途
  6. #6 HWM P75+2.83% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.564 開富途
  7. #7 TROW P75+2.87% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.417 開富途
  8. #8 IBKR P75+3.47% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  9. #9 SOLV P75+3.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp3.413 開富途
  10. #10 BRK.B P75+4.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp3.379 開富途
  11. #11 INCY P75+3.49% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.33 開富途
  12. #12 MSCI P75+3.04% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.289 開富途
  13. #13 BA P75+3.68% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.271 開富途
  14. #14 WMB P75+3.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.267 開富途
  15. #15 PPG P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.233 開富途

2026-08-25

12 檔
  1. #1 PPG P75+4.62% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp3.854 開富途
  2. #2 L P75+3.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.817 開富途
  3. #3 INTC P75+4.99% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp3.805 開富途
  4. #4 BAC P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.771 開富途
  5. #5 PWR P75+5.85% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30% / 10% Opp3.669 開富途
  6. #6 IQV P75+3.17% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.601 開富途
  7. #7 LH P75+2.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.463 開富途
  8. #8 TSN P75+2.56% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.454 開富途
  9. #9 UNP P75+2.85% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.432 開富途
  10. #10 WMB P75+3.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  11. #11 TECH P75+2.75% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.381 開富途
  12. #12 DOV P75+4.78% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.342 開富途

2026-08-27

11 檔
  1. #1 TRV P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  2. #2 RF P75+3.45% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.784 開富途
  3. #3 C P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.594 開富途
  4. #4 DOV P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Opp3.577 開富途
  5. #5 URI P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.565 開富途
  6. #6 WST P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.564 開富途
  7. #7 HIG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.528 開富途
  8. #8 LLY P75+3.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.449 開富途
  9. #9 MPWR P75+7.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn33.8% / 13.8% Opp3.404 開富途
  10. #10 APA P75+4.87% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.8% Opp3.303 開富途
  11. #11 WM P75+3.23% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Opp3.262 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.TRV P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  2. #2 US.RF P75+3.45% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.784 開富途
  3. #3 US.C P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.594 開富途
  4. #4 US.DOV P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Opp3.577 開富途
  5. #5 US.URI P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.565 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.TRV Travelers Companies (The) · Financials

+1.45%

P75+2.92% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score62 Opp3.799
View chart 開富途
#2 US.RF Regions Financial Corporation · Financials

+1.07%

P75+3.45% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score56.7 Opp3.784
View chart 開富途
#3 US.C Citigroup · Financials

+0.99%

P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Score59.9 Opp3.594
View chart 開富途
#4 US.DOV Dover Corporation · Industrials

+0.84%

P75+3.64% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 1.3% Score53.5 Opp3.577
View chart 開富途
#5 US.URI United Rentals · Industrials

+1.19%

P75+3.55% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score44.5 Opp3.565
View chart 開富途
#6 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

+1.19%

P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Score54.7 Opp3.564
View chart 開富途
#7 US.HIG Hartford (The) · Financials

+1.13%

P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Score57.9 Opp3.528
View chart 開富途
#8 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

+1.30%

P75+3.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Score61.2 Opp3.449
View chart 開富途
#9 US.MPWR Monolithic Power Systems · Information Technology

+1.09%

P75+7.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn33.8% / 13.8% Score47.9 Opp3.404
View chart 開富途
#10 US.APA APA Corporation · Energy

+1.25%

P75+4.87% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.8% Score61.3 Opp3.303
View chart 開富途
#11 US.WM Waste Management · Industrials

+0.82%

P75+3.23% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Score51.3 Opp3.262
View chart 開富途