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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-26
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-26
DOE window 2026-06-25 → 2026-08-21
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月27日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 40
Excluded uptrends 382

Downside ranking

US.VRSK · -1.83% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.83%
Top down rate72.5%
Top P25-3.99%
DOE score2.578

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-1.83%

P25-3.99% Down72.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score58.4 DownOpp3.89
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-2.42%

P25-8.12% Down60% Dn/Up535% / 17.5% Score54.6 DownOpp3.79
View chart 開富途
#3 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-2.47%

P25-4.39% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score57.9 DownOpp3.683
View chart 開富途
#4 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-1.48%

P25-3.60% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score55.1 DownOpp3.617
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.42%

P25-4.35% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 10% Score62.6 DownOpp2.638
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-1.06%

P25-2.99% Down65% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score70.5 DownOpp2.329
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-1.20%

P25-3.16% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score64.9 DownOpp2.153
View chart 開富途
#8 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.65%

P25-3.27% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score55.2 DownOpp1.604
View chart 開富途
#9 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.71%

P25-1.92% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score61.9 DownOpp1.576
View chart 開富途
#10 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.69%

P25-2.02% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score53.8 DownOpp1.491
View chart 開富途
#11 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.75%

P25-2.76% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 10% Score50.3 DownOpp1.263
View chart 開富途
#12 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-0.59%

P25-1.29% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score73.4 DownOpp1.212
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-3.65% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score65.7 DownOpp1.21
View chart 開富途
#14 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.74%

P25-1.67% Down55% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score50.5 DownOpp1.179
View chart 開富途
#15 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.67%

P25-2.59% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score48.8 DownOpp1.051
View chart 開富途
#16 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.44%

P25-2.61% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score57.1 DownOpp0.964
View chart 開富途
#17 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.42%

P25-3.22% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score58.5 DownOpp0.936
View chart 開富途
#18 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.46%

P25-2.02% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score58.6 DownOpp0.825
View chart 開富途
#19 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-2.39% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score56.1 DownOpp0.737
View chart 開富途
#20 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.25%

P25-2.00% Down57.5% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score68.9 DownOpp0.683
View chart 開富途
#21 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.17% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score51.5 DownOpp0.636
View chart 開富途
#22 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-0.46%

P25-2.76% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 12.5% Score50.8 DownOpp0.619
View chart 開富途
#23 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.11%

P25-3.45% Down52.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score58.9 DownOpp0.581
View chart 開富途
#24 US.SPGI S&P Global · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.61% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score66 DownOpp0.528
View chart 開富途
#25 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-0.36%

P25-2.17% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score43.6 DownOpp0.526
View chart 開富途
#26 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.33%

P25-1.40% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score66 DownOpp0.435
View chart 開富途
#27 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-0.36%

P25-2.35% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 10% Score42.3 DownOpp0.43
View chart 開富途
#28 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.42%

P25-2.70% Down52.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score59.7 DownOpp0.397
View chart 開富途
#29 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.46%

P25-2.76% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 12.5% Score54.4 DownOpp0.392
View chart 開富途
#30 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.41%

P25-2.35% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 10% Score55.5 DownOpp0.381
View chart 開富途
#31 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.71%

P25-4.26% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 22.5% Score61.7 DownOpp0.362
View chart 開富途
#32 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-0.56%

P25-1.94% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score67.9 DownOpp0.286
View chart 開富途
#33 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-3.02% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 17.5% Score68.2 DownOpp0.284
View chart 開富途
#34 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-0.40%

P25-1.81% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 10% Score51 DownOpp0.27
View chart 開富途
#35 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.16%

P25-1.66% Down50% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score47.1 DownOpp0.222
View chart 開富途
#36 US.PG Procter & Gamble · Consumer Staples

-0.21%

P25-1.95% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score61.8 DownOpp0.134
View chart 開富途
#37 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.65%

P25-2.88% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 15% Score75.9 DownOpp0.101
View chart 開富途
#38 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-0.31%

P25-2.42% Down52.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score56.1 DownOpp0.094
View chart 開富途
#39 US.CCI Crown Castle · Real Estate

-0.22%

P25-1.84% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score56.5 DownOpp0.056
View chart 開富途
#40 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-0.10%

P25-1.93% Down50% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score53.6 DownOpp0.03
View chart 開富途