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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-08-26

Computed at 2026年8月27日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 7

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-08-26

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-26
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-26
DOE window 2026-06-25 → 2026-08-21
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月27日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 7
Excluded downtrends 8
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.9

OOS n=743 Median 0.36%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.9

+0.36% OOS median · n=743

Best holding day 3D

3.5 - 4 · +23.56% ann. net · n=704

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

5+ · +0.32% exp · 46D WF

Opp study rows 27,399 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-08-26

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 42 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-08-20

9 檔
  1. #1 GL P75+2.99% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.885 開富途
  2. #2 ROK P75+3.77% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.865 開富途
  3. #3 FITB P75+4.98% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn23.8% / 6.3% Opp3.865 開富途
  4. #4 L P75+3.36% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 3.8% Opp3.751 開富途
  5. #5 GOOG P75+3.07% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.506 開富途
  6. #6 COO P75+3.70% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 2.5% Opp3.441 開富途
  7. #7 BIIB P75+3.63% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.422 開富途
  8. #8 RL P75+5.48% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn26.3% / 6.3% Opp3.306 開富途
  9. #9 UAL P75+4.89% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn23.8% / 10% Opp3.277 開富途

2026-08-21

8 檔
  1. #1 UAL P75+4.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.888 開富途
  2. #2 BAC P75+2.87% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.799 開富途
  3. #3 MCK P75+2.52% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.764 開富途
  4. #4 DAL P75+3.48% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.701 開富途
  5. #5 LRCX P75+5.80% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 15% Opp3.677 開富途
  6. #6 UPS P75+3.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.508 開富途
  7. #7 PPG P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.246 開富途
  8. #8 FTV P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.239 開富途

2026-08-24

15 檔
  1. #1 LITE P75+5.25% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 5% Opp3.894 開富途
  2. #2 PNC P75+3.47% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.797 開富途
  3. #3 BNY P75+3.37% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.774 開富途
  4. #4 TRV P75+2.67% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.757 開富途
  5. #5 WMT P75+2.98% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.733 開富途
  6. #6 HWM P75+2.83% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.564 開富途
  7. #7 TROW P75+2.87% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.417 開富途
  8. #8 IBKR P75+3.47% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  9. #9 SOLV P75+3.54% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Opp3.413 開富途
  10. #10 BRK.B P75+4.35% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp3.379 開富途
  11. #11 INCY P75+3.49% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.33 開富途
  12. #12 MSCI P75+3.04% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.289 開富途
  13. #13 BA P75+3.68% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.271 開富途
  14. #14 WMB P75+3.69% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.267 開富途
  15. #15 PPG P75+2.28% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.233 開富途

2026-08-25

12 檔
  1. #1 PPG P75+4.62% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp3.854 開富途
  2. #2 L P75+3.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.817 開富途
  3. #3 INTC P75+4.99% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 12.5% Opp3.805 開富途
  4. #4 BAC P75+3.01% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.771 開富途
  5. #5 PWR P75+5.85% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30% / 10% Opp3.669 開富途
  6. #6 IQV P75+3.17% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.601 開富途
  7. #7 LH P75+2.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.463 開富途
  8. #8 TSN P75+2.56% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.454 開富途
  9. #9 UNP P75+2.85% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp3.432 開富途
  10. #10 WMB P75+3.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.414 開富途
  11. #11 TECH P75+2.75% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.381 開富途
  12. #12 DOV P75+4.78% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.342 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.GL P75+2.64% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Opp3.73 開富途
  2. #2 US.FITB P75+3.35% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Opp3.679 開富途
  3. #3 US.NEE P75+3.22% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.535 開富途
  4. #4 US.RJF P75+3.16% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp3.52 開富途
  5. #5 US.TSN 研究門檻符合 P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.435 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.GL Globe Life · Financials

+1.27%

P75+2.64% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Score60 Opp3.73
View chart 開富途
#2 US.FITB Fifth Third Bancorp · Financials

+1.32%

P75+3.35% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score49.5 Opp3.679
View chart 開富途
#3 US.NEE NextEra Energy · Utilities

+1.50%

P75+3.22% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score44 Opp3.535
View chart 開富途
#4 US.RJF Raymond James Financial · Financials

+1.04%

P75+3.16% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score58.6 Opp3.52
View chart 開富途
#5 US.TSN Tyson Foods · Consumer Staples

+0.87%

P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn20% / 0% Score49.3 Opp3.435
View chart 開富途
#6 US.TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

+0.71%

P75+3.13% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score78.6 Opp3.382
View chart 開富途
#7 US.MET MetLife · Financials

+1.29%

P75+2.71% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score59 Opp3.26
View chart 開富途