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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-25
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-25
DOE window 2026-06-24 → 2026-08-19
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月26日 上午7:48 HKT
Rows 32
Excluded uptrends 381

Downside ranking

US.KR · -2.32% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.32%
Top down rate70%
Top P25-3.37%
DOE score2.582

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.KR Kroger · Consumer Staples

-2.32%

P25-3.37% Down70% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score65.4 DownOpp4.272
View chart 開富途
#2 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-1.41%

P25-2.30% Down80% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score54.4 DownOpp3.977
View chart 開富途
#3 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-1.22%

P25-2.06% Down75% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score53.7 DownOpp3.332
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.59%

P25-4.62% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score80.5 DownOpp3.091
View chart 開富途
#5 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-1.47%

P25-3.30% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score70.8 DownOpp2.864
View chart 開富途
#6 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.09%

P25-4.35% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score64.5 DownOpp2.794
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.20%

P25-3.20% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 12.5% Score64.6 DownOpp2.366
View chart 開富途
#8 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.94%

P25-3.37% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score64.9 DownOpp2.296
View chart 開富途
#9 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-1.10%

P25-3.79% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score42.3 DownOpp2.23
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.77%

P25-1.71% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score67 DownOpp2.095
View chart 開富途
#11 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-1.02%

P25-1.75% Down62.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52 DownOpp2.068
View chart 開富途
#12 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-1.19%

P25-4.00% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 12.5% Score66.1 DownOpp1.944
View chart 開富途
#13 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.65%

P25-3.38% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score52.1 DownOpp1.654
View chart 開富途
#14 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-1.28%

P25-4.62% Down52.5% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score57.9 DownOpp1.601
View chart 開富途
#15 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.85%

P25-2.73% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score59 DownOpp1.59
View chart 開富途
#16 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.99%

P25-2.99% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 12.5% Score71.4 DownOpp1.452
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CCI Crown Castle · Real Estate

-0.73%

P25-1.92% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score63.2 DownOpp1.386
View chart 開富途
#18 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.70%

P25-3.09% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score63.1 DownOpp1.149
View chart 開富途
#19 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.19% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score52.5 DownOpp1.074
View chart 開富途
#20 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.42%

P25-1.93% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score50.3 DownOpp0.975
View chart 開富途
#21 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-0.51%

P25-2.33% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score80.3 DownOpp0.94
View chart 開富途
#22 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.46%

P25-1.77% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score68 DownOpp0.893
View chart 開富途
#23 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.32%

P25-2.26% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score71.3 DownOpp0.8
View chart 開富途
#24 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.28%

P25-1.62% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score54.1 DownOpp0.529
View chart 開富途
#25 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.31%

P25-1.35% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 10% Score52.9 DownOpp0.451
View chart 開富途
#26 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-1.91% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score65.5 DownOpp0.426
View chart 開富途
#27 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.25%

P25-3.19% Down52.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score58.9 DownOpp0.356
View chart 開富途
#28 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-0.54%

P25-3.43% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 15% Score76.1 DownOpp0.327
View chart 開富途
#29 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.05% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score64.5 DownOpp0.319
View chart 開富途
#30 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-0.37%

P25-2.64% Down52.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score46.4 DownOpp0.282
View chart 開富途
#31 US.MDLZ Mondelez International · Consumer Staples

-0.46%

P25-1.66% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score73.2 DownOpp0.276
View chart 開富途
#32 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-1.96% Down52.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score51.8 DownOpp0.172
View chart 開富途