Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-25 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 4848 | 4045 / 803 | 444 | 11% | 0.58x | +4.94% | -4.99% |
| Grade F | 10706 | 8493 / 2213 | 1929 | 22.7% | 1.2x | +7.04% | -4.78% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 517 | 427 / 90 | 33.7% | 1.78x | 1.79x | 33.3% · 30 checked | +8.64% | -9.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 517 | 427 / 90 | 33.7% | 1.78x | 1.79x | 33.3% · 30 checked | +8.64% | -9.82% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 305 | 244 / 61 | 22.5% | 1.19x | 1.16x | 30% · 20 checked | +6.32% | -10.53% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 305 | 244 / 61 | 22.5% | 1.19x | 1.16x | 30% · 20 checked | +6.32% | -10.53% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2890 | 2404 / 486 | 25.5% | 1.35x | 1.33x | 28.6% · 168 checked | +7.47% | -6.77% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2869 | 2386 / 483 | 25.2% | 1.33x | 1.32x | 28.3% · 166 checked | +7.44% | -6.75% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1915 | 1560 / 355 | 19.4% | 1.03x | 0.98x | 27.1% · 133 checked | +6.11% | -6.51% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1908 | 1555 / 353 | 19.2% | 1.02x | 0.97x | 27.1% · 133 checked | +6.09% | -6.51% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 877 | 721 / 156 | 15.3% | 0.81x | 0.76x | 24.6% · 65 checked | +5.51% | -6.44% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 874 | 720 / 154 | 15.3% | 0.81x | 0.76x | 24.6% · 65 checked | +5.52% | -6.43% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1053 | 813 / 240 | 15.3% | 0.81x | 0.76x | 23.5% · 81 checked | +5.53% | -6.47% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1045 | 807 / 238 | 15.2% | 0.8x | 0.76x | 23.5% · 81 checked | +5.51% | -6.46% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1051 | 812 / 239 | 15.1% | 0.8x | 0.75x | 23.5% · 81 checked | +5.52% | -6.47% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 667 | 531 / 136 | 14.3% | 0.76x | 0.71x | 22.9% · 48 checked | +5.44% | -6.51% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 422 | 325 / 97 | 14.5% | 0.77x | 0.71x | 22.2% · 36 checked | +5.09% | -6.85% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 152 | 128 / 24 | 18 | 14.1% | 0.75x | 9.1% · 11 checked | +4.96% | -7.60% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 411 | 365 / 46 | 45 | 12.3% | 0.65x | 7.1% · 28 checked | +5.07% | -6.48% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4084 | 3361 / 723 | 372 | 11.1% | 0.59x | 14.3% · 301 checked | +5.02% | -4.99% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 223 | 191 / 32 | 18 | 9.4% | 0.5x | 9.5% · 21 checked | +4.34% | -6.94% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15017 | 12076 / 2941 | 2329 | 19.3% | 1.02x | +6.43% | -4.80% |
| Score 90-109 | 518 | 443 / 75 | 42 | 9.5% | 0.5x | +4.65% | -6.05% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14124 | 11289 / 2835 | 2230 | 19.8% | 1.05x | +6.51% | -4.75% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 74 | 63 / 11 | 12 | 19% | 1.01x | +5.61% | -5.37% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1019 | 884 / 135 | 98 | 11.1% | 0.59x | +5.06% | -5.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 337 | 302 / 35 | 33 | 10.9% | 0.58x | +4.96% | -6.71% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 517 | 427 / 90 | 144 | 33.7% | 1.78x | +8.64% | -9.82% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2373 | 1977 / 396 | 468 | 23.7% | 1.25x | +7.22% | -6.12% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 7684 | 6302 / 1382 | 1123 | 17.8% | 0.94x | +6.20% | -4.48% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4980 | 3832 / 1148 | 638 | 16.6% | 0.88x | +5.93% | -4.24% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 720 | 595 / 125 | 201 | 33.8% | 1.79x | +9.45% | -8.35% |
| Elevated | 5288 | 4433 / 855 | 1286 | 29% | 1.53x | +7.99% | -6.12% |
| Medium | 9273 | 7307 / 1966 | 886 | 12.1% | 0.64x | +5.22% | -3.84% |
| Low | 273 | 203 / 70 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.97% | -3.10% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2287 | 1843 / 444 | 696 | 37.8% | 2x | +9.82% | -8.58% |
| Energy | 651 | 525 / 126 | 141 | 26.9% | 1.42x | +7.32% | -3.35% |
| Communication Services | 691 | 553 / 138 | 133 | 24.1% | 1.28x | +6.83% | -5.06% |
| Materials | 806 | 650 / 156 | 132 | 20.3% | 1.07x | +6.20% | -4.52% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1457 | 1175 / 282 | 217 | 18.5% | 0.98x | +6.14% | -4.76% |
| Health Care | 1827 | 1473 / 354 | 259 | 17.6% | 0.93x | +6.77% | -4.28% |
| Industrials | 2478 | 1998 / 480 | 347 | 17.4% | 0.92x | +5.93% | -4.90% |
| Financials | 2354 | 1898 / 456 | 297 | 15.6% | 0.83x | +5.83% | -3.26% |
| Consumer Staples | 1083 | 874 / 209 | 97 | 11.1% | 0.59x | +5.35% | -4.06% |
| Real Estate | 959 | 774 / 185 | 39 | 5% | 0.26x | +3.99% | -3.94% |
| Utilities | 961 | 775 / 186 | 15 | 1.9% | 0.1x | +2.79% | -3.89% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.