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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-13
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-13
DOE window 2026-06-18 → 2026-08-10
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月14日 上午7:49 HKT
Rows 32
Excluded uptrends 370

Downside ranking

US.AOS · -1.22% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.22%
Top down rate63.8%
Top P25-3.73%
DOE score2.514

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.22%

P25-3.73% Down63.8% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score67.7 DownOpp2.449
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.42%

P25-3.73% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 8.8% Score62.6 DownOpp2.355
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.17%

P25-5.09% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score89.8 DownOpp2.319
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-1.35%

P25-5.68% Down57.5% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score81.1 DownOpp2.012
View chart 開富途
#5 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-1.20%

P25-2.88% Down63.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score66 DownOpp1.929
View chart 開富途
#6 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.79%

P25-2.55% Down62.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.3% Score67.4 DownOpp1.844
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.47%

P25-3.33% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score65.1 DownOpp1.518
View chart 開富途
#8 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.83%

P25-3.04% Down57.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 1.3% Score81.2 DownOpp1.503
View chart 開富途
#9 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-0.65%

P25-6.16% Down56.3% Dn/Up531.3% / 13.8% Score82.8 DownOpp1.245
View chart 開富途
#10 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.69%

P25-2.37% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score58.2 DownOpp1.068
View chart 開富途
#11 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.58%

P25-2.62% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score68.8 DownOpp0.845
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.32%

P25-2.84% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 3.8% Score81.9 DownOpp0.692
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.45%

P25-1.90% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 3.8% Score69.9 DownOpp0.677
View chart 開富途
#14 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.42%

P25-2.42% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 5% Score87.3 DownOpp0.67
View chart 開富途
#15 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.90%

P25-2.74% Down55% Dn/Up58.8% / 13.8% Score68.1 DownOpp0.646
View chart 開富途
#16 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.24%

P25-2.69% Down56.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 5% Score69.3 DownOpp0.597
View chart 開富途
#17 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-0.72%

P25-2.98% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 15% Score77.4 DownOpp0.585
View chart 開富途
#18 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-0.77%

P25-3.54% Down53.8% Dn/Up516.3% / 18.8% Score41.9 DownOpp0.517
View chart 開富途
#19 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.41%

P25-2.49% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 6.3% Score87.9 DownOpp0.499
View chart 開富途
#20 US.MSI Motorola Solutions · Information Technology

-0.27%

P25-4.18% Down52.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 10% Score65.3 DownOpp0.425
View chart 開富途
#21 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.32%

P25-2.77% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 11.3% Score70.1 DownOpp0.313
View chart 開富途
#22 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.09%

P25-2.30% Down52.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score61.8 DownOpp0.252
View chart 開富途
#23 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.22%

P25-2.25% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score66.3 DownOpp0.211
View chart 開富途
#24 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.15%

P25-1.49% Down53.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 3.8% Score52.2 DownOpp0.207
View chart 開富途
#25 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.39%

P25-1.84% Down55% Dn/Up56.3% / 10% Score64.6 DownOpp0.166
View chart 開富途
#26 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-0.47%

P25-4.56% Down51.3% Dn/Up521.3% / 13.8% Score96.9 DownOpp0.159
View chart 開富途
#27 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.13%

P25-1.77% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score69.1 DownOpp0.13
View chart 開富途
#28 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.13%

P25-3.11% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score100.6 DownOpp0.103
View chart 開富途
#29 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-0.96%

P25-4.40% Down52.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 27.5% Score70.6 DownOpp0.081
View chart 開富途
#30 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.17%

P25-2.13% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 7.5% Score64.5 DownOpp0.073
View chart 開富途
#31 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.04%

P25-2.52% Down51.3% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score67.1 DownOpp0.043
View chart 開富途
#32 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.08%

P25-2.00% Down52.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score68.5 DownOpp0.038
View chart 開富途