Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-13 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5247 | 4555 / 692 | 559 | 12.3% | 0.6x | +5.35% | -5.06% |
| Grade F | 11321 | 10003 / 1318 | 2446 | 24.5% | 1.19x | +7.21% | -4.95% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 601 | 534 / 67 | 33.3% | 1.62x | 1.34x | 76.2% · 63 checked | +8.48% | -10.71% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 601 | 534 / 67 | 33.3% | 1.62x | 1.34x | 76.2% · 63 checked | +8.48% | -10.71% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 346 | 304 / 42 | 28.6% | 1.39x | 1.33x | 53.3% · 15 checked | +7.34% | -12.24% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 346 | 304 / 42 | 28.6% | 1.39x | 1.33x | 53.3% · 15 checked | +7.34% | -12.24% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3333 | 2954 / 379 | 26.4% | 1.28x | 1.17x | 39.5% · 433 checked | +7.56% | -7.45% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3298 | 2921 / 377 | 26.3% | 1.28x | 1.17x | 39.1% · 430 checked | +7.55% | -7.40% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 44 | 39 / 5 | 23.1% | 1.12x | 0.9x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +6.11% | -5.99% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 74 | 64 / 10 | 17.2% | 0.83x | 0.68x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +5.09% | -5.74% |
| Technical >= 24 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 74 | 64 / 10 | 17.2% | 0.83x | 0.68x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +5.09% | -5.74% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 27 | 23 / 4 | 30.4% | 1.48x | 1.62x | 27.3% · 11 checked | +6.70% | -7.46% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 11724 | 10272 / 1452 | 21.2% | 1.03x | 0.98x | 26.6% · 1482 checked | +6.68% | -5.41% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 11082 | 9710 / 1372 | 20.4% | 0.99x | 0.95x | 25.3% · 1426 checked | +6.53% | -5.19% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 39 | 33 / 6 | 30.3% | 1.47x | 1.71x | 25% · 16 checked | +6.80% | -7.51% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 39 | 33 / 6 | 30.3% | 1.47x | 1.71x | 25% · 16 checked | +6.80% | -7.51% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 39 | 33 / 6 | 30.3% | 1.47x | 1.71x | 25% · 16 checked | +6.80% | -7.51% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 179 | 153 / 26 | 29 | 19% | 0.92x | 16.2% · 37 checked | +5.85% | -9.20% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 462 | 399 / 63 | 62 | 15.5% | 0.75x | 16.8% · 119 checked | +5.67% | -7.28% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 245 | 209 / 36 | 27 | 12.9% | 0.63x | 5.4% · 56 checked | +5.23% | -7.44% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4437 | 3829 / 608 | 482 | 12.6% | 0.61x | 12.9% · 567 checked | +5.37% | -5.20% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 15995 | 14078 / 1917 | 2944 | 20.9% | 1.01x | +6.68% | -4.92% |
| Score 90-109 | 554 | 464 / 90 | 61 | 13.1% | 0.64x | +5.16% | -6.91% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 77 | 64 / 13 | 15 | 23.4% | 1.14x | +6.82% | -6.67% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 14952 | 13165 / 1787 | 2808 | 21.3% | 1.03x | +6.75% | -4.86% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 385 | 335 / 50 | 47 | 14% | 0.68x | +5.45% | -7.40% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1154 | 994 / 160 | 135 | 13.6% | 0.66x | +5.42% | -5.73% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 601 | 534 / 67 | 178 | 33.3% | 1.62x | +8.48% | -10.71% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2732 | 2420 / 312 | 601 | 24.8% | 1.2x | +7.36% | -6.73% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4844 | 4286 / 558 | 832 | 19.4% | 0.94x | +6.50% | -3.96% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8391 | 7318 / 1073 | 1394 | 19% | 0.92x | +6.33% | -4.59% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 839 | 726 / 113 | 254 | 35% | 1.7x | +8.94% | -8.75% |
| Elevated | 5756 | 4986 / 770 | 1554 | 31.2% | 1.51x | +8.17% | -6.80% |
| Medium | 9674 | 8569 / 1105 | 1181 | 13.8% | 0.67x | +5.62% | -3.68% |
| Low | 299 | 277 / 22 | 16 | 5.8% | 0.28x | +3.90% | -2.76% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2435 | 2139 / 296 | 818 | 38.2% | 1.85x | +9.59% | -9.50% |
| Communication Services | 743 | 652 / 91 | 165 | 25.3% | 1.23x | +6.75% | -5.48% |
| Health Care | 1945 | 1710 / 235 | 420 | 24.6% | 1.19x | +7.47% | -3.89% |
| Energy | 693 | 609 / 84 | 138 | 22.7% | 1.1x | +6.43% | -3.77% |
| Materials | 857 | 753 / 104 | 151 | 20.1% | 0.98x | +6.33% | -4.83% |
| Financials | 2506 | 2202 / 304 | 440 | 20% | 0.97x | +6.50% | -3.42% |
| Industrials | 2638 | 2318 / 320 | 425 | 18.3% | 0.89x | +6.42% | -4.85% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1551 | 1363 / 188 | 251 | 18.4% | 0.89x | +6.23% | -4.90% |
| Consumer Staples | 1154 | 1014 / 140 | 123 | 12.1% | 0.59x | +5.35% | -4.12% |
| Real Estate | 1023 | 899 / 124 | 54 | 6% | 0.29x | +4.47% | -3.75% |
| Utilities | 1023 | 899 / 124 | 20 | 2.2% | 0.11x | +3.32% | -3.46% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.