Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-10
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-10
DOE window 2026-06-17 → 2026-08-05
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月11日 下午6:59 HKT
Rows 29
Excluded uptrends 359

Downside ranking

US.NOW · -3.30% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.30%
Top down rate71.3%
Top P25-7.88%
DOE score2.571

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-3.30%

P25-7.88% Down71.3% Dn/Up541.3% / 10% Score85.8 DownOpp5.73
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-2.99%

P25-8.42% Down71.3% Dn/Up538.8% / 7.5% Score87.4 DownOpp5.694
View chart 開富途
#3 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-3.41%

P25-7.61% Down66.3% Dn/Up538.8% / 12.5% Score84.5 DownOpp5.233
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#4 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-3.12%

P25-7.61% Down68.8% Dn/Up537.5% / 12.5% Score82.3 DownOpp5.159
View chart 開富途
#5 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-2.98%

P25-6.70% Down71.3% Dn/Up535% / 11.3% Score86.9 DownOpp5.029
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-3.12%

P25-7.37% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 13.8% Score81.4 DownOpp4.924
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#7 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-2.77%

P25-7.40% Down70% Dn/Up535% / 11.3% Score86.2 DownOpp4.896
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#8 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-2.65%

P25-7.37% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 10% Score84.1 DownOpp4.662
View chart 開富途
#9 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-2.50%

P25-4.63% Down63.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 17.5% Score59.1 DownOpp3.268
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.73%

P25-4.22% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 6.3% Score64.5 DownOpp3.123
View chart 開富途
#11 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-2.19%

P25-4.52% Down63.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 21.3% Score54.4 DownOpp2.738
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#12 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.93%

P25-4.44% Down60% Dn/Up518.8% / 13.8% Score58.8 DownOpp2.571
View chart 開富途
#13 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.90%

P25-2.12% Down63.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 2.5% Score84.4 DownOpp1.751
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#14 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-1.08%

P25-3.33% Down61.3% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score103.9 DownOpp1.737
View chart 開富途
#15 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.75%

P25-2.54% Down65% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score84.4 DownOpp1.724
View chart 開富途
#16 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.84%

P25-2.62% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score94.7 DownOpp1.261
View chart 開富途
#17 US.BXP BXP, Inc. · Real Estate

-0.91%

P25-2.81% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 8.8% Score57.9 DownOpp1.25
View chart 開富途
#18 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.44%

P25-2.73% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score64.7 DownOpp0.959
View chart 開富途
#19 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.68%

P25-1.92% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score67.7 DownOpp0.928
View chart 開富途
#20 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-0.89%

P25-5.17% Down53.8% Dn/Up526.3% / 20% Score65.5 DownOpp0.795
View chart 開富途
#21 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.49%

P25-2.19% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score66.5 DownOpp0.561
View chart 開富途
#22 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.72% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 12.5% Score66.2 DownOpp0.434
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.45%

P25-2.64% Down52.5% Dn/Up510% / 8.8% Score59.5 DownOpp0.336
View chart 開富途
#24 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.09%

P25-3.35% Down56.3% Dn/Up515% / 11.3% Score72.1 DownOpp0.213
View chart 開富途
#25 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.48%

P25-3.96% Down53.8% Dn/Up518.8% / 21.3% Score39.8 DownOpp0.197
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#26 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.29%

P25-2.74% Down51.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 5% Score78.9 DownOpp0.187
View chart 開富途
#27 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.15%

P25-1.90% Down51.3% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score73.4 DownOpp0.1
View chart 開富途
#28 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.19%

P25-2.23% Down52.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8% Score50.2 DownOpp0.043
View chart 開富途
#29 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.30%

P25-2.22% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 11.3% Score75.9 DownOpp0.008
View chart 開富途