Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-10 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5585 | 4248 / 1337 | 522 | 12.3% | 0.61x | +5.46% | -4.97% |
| Grade F | 11990 | 9813 / 2177 | 2304 | 23.5% | 1.17x | +7.08% | -5.08% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 635 | 520 / 115 | 28.8% | 1.43x | 1.41x | 32.7% · 55 checked | +7.67% | -11.23% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 634 | 519 / 115 | 28.9% | 1.44x | 1.41x | 32.7% · 55 checked | +7.67% | -11.22% |
| Risk not High | 16677 | 13323 / 3354 | 19.4% | 0.97x | 0.86x | 31.8% · 1925 checked | +6.48% | -4.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3497 | 2784 / 713 | 25.2% | 1.25x | 1.21x | 30.8% · 341 checked | +7.24% | -7.85% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3460 | 2751 / 709 | 25.1% | 1.25x | 1.21x | 30.3% · 337 checked | +7.23% | -7.79% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 12354 | 9784 / 2570 | 20.5% | 1.02x | 0.95x | 29.9% · 1302 checked | +6.58% | -5.54% |
| Technical >= 16 | 13359 | 10629 / 2730 | 17.3% | 0.86x | 0.76x | 30% · 1466 checked | +6.20% | -4.85% |
| Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 12981 | 10333 / 2648 | 16.9% | 0.84x | 0.74x | 29.6% · 1445 checked | +6.14% | -4.70% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 11666 | 9217 / 2449 | 19.8% | 0.99x | 0.92x | 29% · 1242 checked | +6.44% | -5.29% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 492 | 387 / 105 | 22.5% | 1.12x | 1.1x | 27.3% · 22 checked | +6.91% | -7.51% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 9110 | 7139 / 1971 | 17.8% | 0.89x | 0.82x | 26.9% · 908 checked | +6.19% | -5.30% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 194 | 170 / 24 | 31.2% | 1.55x | 1.57x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +8.26% | -12.46% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 195 | 171 / 24 | 31% | 1.54x | 1.56x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +8.25% | -12.45% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 195 | 171 / 24 | 31% | 1.54x | 1.56x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +8.25% | -12.45% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 8821 | 6909 / 1912 | 17.3% | 0.86x | 0.8x | 26.2% · 892 checked | +6.09% | -5.14% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 186 | 128 / 58 | 29 | 22.7% | 1.13x | 7.7% · 13 checked | +6.50% | -9.67% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 479 | 306 / 173 | 53 | 17.3% | 0.86x | 6.5% · 31 checked | +5.93% | -7.24% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 250 | 160 / 90 | 26 | 16.3% | 0.81x | 0% · 9 checked | +5.75% | -7.64% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4692 | 3610 / 1082 | 461 | 12.8% | 0.64x | 19.4% · 346 checked | +5.49% | -5.10% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 16984 | 13679 / 3305 | 2776 | 20.3% | 1.01x | +6.63% | -4.99% |
| Score 90-109 | 572 | 371 / 201 | 50 | 13.5% | 0.67x | +5.29% | -6.93% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 77 | 38 / 39 | 9 | 23.7% | 1.18x | +7.55% | -7.25% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 15863 | 12816 / 3047 | 2647 | 20.7% | 1.03x | +6.68% | -4.95% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 402 | 268 / 134 | 44 | 16.4% | 0.82x | +5.69% | -7.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1233 | 939 / 294 | 126 | 13.4% | 0.67x | +5.51% | -5.63% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 635 | 520 / 115 | 150 | 28.8% | 1.43x | +7.67% | -11.23% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2862 | 2264 / 598 | 551 | 24.3% | 1.21x | +7.14% | -7.07% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5221 | 4277 / 944 | 818 | 19.1% | 0.95x | +6.60% | -3.91% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8857 | 7000 / 1857 | 1307 | 18.7% | 0.93x | +6.32% | -4.62% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 898 | 738 / 160 | 244 | 33.1% | 1.65x | +8.64% | -9.00% |
| Elevated | 6071 | 4778 / 1293 | 1434 | 30% | 1.49x | +7.93% | -7.09% |
| Medium | 10292 | 8282 / 2010 | 1132 | 13.7% | 0.68x | +5.71% | -3.58% |
| Low | 314 | 263 / 51 | 16 | 6.1% | 0.3x | +4.05% | -2.74% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2583 | 2065 / 518 | 728 | 35.3% | 1.76x | +8.76% | -10.01% |
| Health Care | 2063 | 1651 / 412 | 399 | 24.2% | 1.2x | +7.50% | -3.83% |
| Communication Services | 790 | 635 / 155 | 148 | 23.3% | 1.16x | +6.40% | -5.78% |
| Energy | 735 | 588 / 147 | 126 | 21.4% | 1.06x | +6.08% | -4.08% |
| Materials | 909 | 727 / 182 | 152 | 20.9% | 1.04x | +6.95% | -4.80% |
| Financials | 2658 | 2126 / 532 | 436 | 20.5% | 1.02x | +6.69% | -3.44% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1645 | 1316 / 329 | 242 | 18.4% | 0.92x | +6.21% | -4.90% |
| Industrials | 2798 | 2238 / 560 | 398 | 17.8% | 0.89x | +6.45% | -4.87% |
| Consumer Staples | 1224 | 979 / 245 | 122 | 12.5% | 0.62x | +5.53% | -3.98% |
| Real Estate | 1085 | 868 / 217 | 52 | 6% | 0.3x | +4.63% | -3.63% |
| Utilities | 1085 | 868 / 217 | 23 | 2.6% | 0.13x | +3.71% | -3.06% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.