Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.TEL · -3.51% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-3.51%
Top down rate67.5%
Top P25-7.87%
DOE score2.544
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.TEL
-3.51%
P25-7.87%
Down67.5%
Dn/Up542.5% / 11.3%
Score80.3
DownOpp5.597
#2 US.FICO
-1.80%
P25-4.78%
Down63.8%
Dn/Up521.3% / 23.8%
Score42.6
DownOpp2.352
#3 US.TTD
-1.27%
P25-4.45%
Down60%
Dn/Up520% / 7.5%
Score56.3
DownOpp2.31
#4 US.MOS
-1.22%
P25-4.75%
Down63.8%
Dn/Up522.5% / 10%
Score103
DownOpp2.139
#5 US.PTC
-1.38%
P25-4.07%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up520% / 6.3%
Score72.3
DownOpp1.981
#6 US.GDDY
-1.77%
P25-4.40%
Down61.3%
Dn/Up518.8% / 23.8%
Score52.1
DownOpp1.955
#7 US.GEHC
-1.02%
P25-2.36%
Down63.8%
Dn/Up55% / 6.3%
Score69
DownOpp1.818
#8 US.CTSH
-1.00%
P25-5.66%
Down57.5%
Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5%
Score60.6
DownOpp1.811
#9 US.NOW
-0.90%
P25-5.70%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up528.8% / 12.5%
Score63.7
DownOpp1.801
#10 US.ACN
-0.99%
P25-5.69%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up526.3% / 12.5%
Score61.8
DownOpp1.703
#11 US.TYL
-1.63%
P25-4.36%
Down61.3%
Dn/Up520% / 26.3%
Score49.7
DownOpp1.673
#12 US.ADSK
-0.99%
P25-4.56%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5%
Score59.1
DownOpp1.641
#13 US.CPRT
-0.91%
P25-3.17%
Down61.3%
Dn/Up513.8% / 8.8%
Score62.7
DownOpp1.608
#14 US.DIS
-0.84%
P25-2.62%
Down62.5%
Dn/Up58.8% / 3.8%
Score92.3
DownOpp1.575
#15 US.KHC
-0.95%
P25-2.74%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5%
Score65.8
DownOpp1.495
#16 US.INTU
-0.79%
P25-6.00%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up528.8% / 15%
Score65
DownOpp1.406
#17 US.LDOS
-0.97%
P25-2.65%
Down57.5%
Dn/Up511.3% / 2.5%
Score90.5
DownOpp1.404
#18 US.Q
-1.02%
P25-5.79%
Down55%
Dn/Up528.8% / 17.5%
Score71.3
DownOpp1.283
#19 US.PSKY
-0.56%
P25-4.06%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up517.5% / 5%
Score86.7
DownOpp1.129
#20 US.UHS
-0.55%
P25-2.25%
Down60%
Dn/Up53.8% / 5%
Score65.9
DownOpp1.118
#21 US.RMD
-0.37%
P25-2.67%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up57.5% / 5%
Score95.5
DownOpp0.725
#22 US.CSGP
-0.57%
P25-1.92%
Down55%
Dn/Up50% / 3.8%
Score70.1
DownOpp0.696
#23 US.CDW
-0.74%
P25-5.20%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up527.5% / 17.5%
Score79.9
DownOpp0.695
#24 US.LEN
-0.73%
P25-2.99%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up511.3% / 17.5%
Score60.8
DownOpp0.675
#25 US.CMG
-0.81%
P25-2.41%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up511.3% / 16.3%
Score63.7
DownOpp0.661
#26 US.SNPS
-0.95%
P25-5.17%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up526.3% / 22.5%
Score66.1
DownOpp0.597
#27 US.AWK
-0.28%
P25-0.99%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up50% / 0%
Score65.1
DownOpp0.543
#28 US.TRMB
-0.71%
P25-4.26%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up521.3% / 15%
Score73.2
DownOpp0.526
#29 US.EL
-0.22%
P25-2.32%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up55% / 2.5%
Score69.7
DownOpp0.431
#30 US.MCD
-0.34%
P25-2.04%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up55% / 7.5%
Score63.8
DownOpp0.425
#31 US.DHR
-0.45%
P25-2.62%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up58.8% / 8.8%
Score69.9
DownOpp0.357
#32 US.HCA
-0.16%
P25-2.32%
Down55%
Dn/Up52.5% / 5%
Score71
DownOpp0.308
#33 US.LULU
-0.48%
P25-2.88%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up58.8% / 12.5%
Score67
DownOpp0.251
#34 US.EXE
-0.52%
P25-2.77%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up58.8% / 11.3%
Score79.8
DownOpp0.24
#35 US.CHTR
-0.13%
P25-2.98%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up515% / 6.3%
Score63.6
DownOpp0.22
#36 US.BXP
-0.20%
P25-1.55%
Down55%
Dn/Up50% / 3.8%
Score72.2
DownOpp0.218
#37 US.CRM
-0.27%
P25-3.68%
Down51.3%
Dn/Up521.3% / 12.5%
Score66.1
DownOpp0.048
#38 US.TSCO
-0.15%
P25-2.05%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up510% / 3.8%
Score92.7
DownOpp0.043