Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-05
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-05
DOE window 2026-06-15 → 2026-07-31
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月6日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 38
Excluded uptrends 366

Downside ranking

US.TEL · -3.51% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.51%
Top down rate67.5%
Top P25-7.87%
DOE score2.544

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-3.51%

P25-7.87% Down67.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 11.3% Score80.3 DownOpp5.597
View chart 開富途
#2 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.80%

P25-4.78% Down63.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 23.8% Score42.6 DownOpp2.352
View chart 開富途
#3 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-1.27%

P25-4.45% Down60% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score56.3 DownOpp2.31
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.22%

P25-4.75% Down63.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score103 DownOpp2.139
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.38%

P25-4.07% Down56.3% Dn/Up520% / 6.3% Score72.3 DownOpp1.981
View chart 開富途
#6 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.77%

P25-4.40% Down61.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 23.8% Score52.1 DownOpp1.955
View chart 開富途
#7 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-1.02%

P25-2.36% Down63.8% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score69 DownOpp1.818
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.00%

P25-5.66% Down57.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score60.6 DownOpp1.811
View chart 開富途
#9 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-0.90%

P25-5.70% Down58.8% Dn/Up528.8% / 12.5% Score63.7 DownOpp1.801
View chart 開富途
#10 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-5.69% Down56.3% Dn/Up526.3% / 12.5% Score61.8 DownOpp1.703
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#11 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.63%

P25-4.36% Down61.3% Dn/Up520% / 26.3% Score49.7 DownOpp1.673
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-4.56% Down58.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score59.1 DownOpp1.641
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.91%

P25-3.17% Down61.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 8.8% Score62.7 DownOpp1.608
View chart 開富途
#14 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.84%

P25-2.62% Down62.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 3.8% Score92.3 DownOpp1.575
View chart 開富途
#15 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.95%

P25-2.74% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score65.8 DownOpp1.495
View chart 開富途
#16 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-0.79%

P25-6.00% Down56.3% Dn/Up528.8% / 15% Score65 DownOpp1.406
View chart 開富途
#17 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.97%

P25-2.65% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 2.5% Score90.5 DownOpp1.404
View chart 開富途
#18 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-1.02%

P25-5.79% Down55% Dn/Up528.8% / 17.5% Score71.3 DownOpp1.283
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.56%

P25-4.06% Down56.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score86.7 DownOpp1.129
View chart 開富途
#20 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.25% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score65.9 DownOpp1.118
View chart 開富途
#21 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.37%

P25-2.67% Down58.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score95.5 DownOpp0.725
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.57%

P25-1.92% Down55% Dn/Up50% / 3.8% Score70.1 DownOpp0.696
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-0.74%

P25-5.20% Down53.8% Dn/Up527.5% / 17.5% Score79.9 DownOpp0.695
View chart 開富途
#24 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.73%

P25-2.99% Down58.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 17.5% Score60.8 DownOpp0.675
View chart 開富途
#25 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.81%

P25-2.41% Down58.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 16.3% Score63.7 DownOpp0.661
View chart 開富途
#26 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.95%

P25-5.17% Down52.5% Dn/Up526.3% / 22.5% Score66.1 DownOpp0.597
View chart 開富途
#27 US.AWK American Water Works · Utilities

-0.28%

P25-0.99% Down56.3% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score65.1 DownOpp0.543
View chart 開富途
#28 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-0.71%

P25-4.26% Down52.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 15% Score73.2 DownOpp0.526
View chart 開富途
#29 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.22%

P25-2.32% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score69.7 DownOpp0.431
View chart 開富途
#30 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.34%

P25-2.04% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score63.8 DownOpp0.425
View chart 開富途
#31 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-2.62% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 8.8% Score69.9 DownOpp0.357
View chart 開富途
#32 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.16%

P25-2.32% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score71 DownOpp0.308
View chart 開富途
#33 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.88% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 12.5% Score67 DownOpp0.251
View chart 開富途
#34 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.52%

P25-2.77% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 11.3% Score79.8 DownOpp0.24
View chart 開富途
#35 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.13%

P25-2.98% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 6.3% Score63.6 DownOpp0.22
View chart 開富途
#36 US.BXP BXP, Inc. · Real Estate

-0.20%

P25-1.55% Down55% Dn/Up50% / 3.8% Score72.2 DownOpp0.218
View chart 開富途
#37 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-0.27%

P25-3.68% Down51.3% Dn/Up521.3% / 12.5% Score66.1 DownOpp0.048
View chart 開富途
#38 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.15%

P25-2.05% Down53.8% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score92.7 DownOpp0.043
View chart 開富途