S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.ORCL · -3.21% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.21%

Top down rate75%

Top P25-8.40%

DOE score2.484

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-3.21%

P25-8.40% Down75% Dn/Up540% / 5% Score83.9 DownOpp6.381

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#2 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-3.46%

P25-7.62% Down75% Dn/Up540% / 10% Score75.8 DownOpp6.197

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#3 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-2.42%

P25-5.11% Down70% Dn/Up525% / 5% Score46.8 DownOpp4.647

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#4 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-2.24%

P25-4.91% Down70% Dn/Up525% / 5% Score51.8 DownOpp4.379

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#5 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-2.98%

P25-4.76% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 15% Score52.7 DownOpp4.075

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#6 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-2.13%

P25-4.58% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score49 DownOpp4.058

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#7 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-1.77%

P25-6.52% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 12.5% Score62.4 DownOpp3.582

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#8 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-1.25%

P25-3.46% Down77.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score78.2 DownOpp3.279

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#9 US.FDXF FedEx Freight · Industrials

-2.01%

P25-4.84% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 15% Score41.1 DownOpp3.212

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#10 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.93%

P25-7.47% Down57.5% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score69.9 DownOpp3.123

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#11 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-1.93%

P25-5.39% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 12.5% Score44.7 DownOpp2.992

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#12 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-2.19%

P25-4.52% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 17.5% Score52.3 DownOpp2.878

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#13 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-1.41%

P25-4.27% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score60.5 DownOpp2.824

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#14 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-2.28%

P25-4.76% Down60% Dn/Up525% / 17.5% Score55.8 DownOpp2.802

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#15 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-1.50%

P25-2.98% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score57.2 DownOpp2.566

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#16 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-1.69%

P25-4.20% Down60% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score66.4 DownOpp2.442

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#17 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.89%

P25-2.46% Down70% Dn/Up50% / 5% Score56.2 DownOpp2.384

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#18 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.41%

P25-6.57% Down55% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score69.5 DownOpp2.181

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#19 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-1.02%

P25-2.21% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score69.8 DownOpp2.099

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#20 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.32%

P25-4.65% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 12.5% Score59 DownOpp1.89

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#21 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.09%

P25-3.26% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 10% Score62.2 DownOpp1.839

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#22 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.41%

P25-5.26% Down57.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 17.5% Score68.1 DownOpp1.764

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#23 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.84%

P25-3.05% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score60.9 DownOpp1.646

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#24 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.53%

P25-5.38% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 25% Score72.7 DownOpp1.63

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#25 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.90%

P25-1.74% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score89.3 DownOpp1.565

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#26 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-1.10%

P25-2.69% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score54.4 DownOpp1.515

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#27 US.UBER Uber · Industrials

-0.64%

P25-1.74% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score66.1 DownOpp1.479

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#28 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-0.57%

P25-3.54% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score64 DownOpp1.425

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#29 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-0.77%

P25-2.37% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score72.4 DownOpp1.419

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#30 US.NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-1.33%

P25-2.54% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 15% Score59.7 DownOpp1.417

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#31 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-1.11%

P25-4.16% Down57.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score85 DownOpp1.363

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#32 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.88%

P25-2.07% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score70 DownOpp1.323

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#33 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.06%

P25-4.09% Down60% Dn/Up525% / 17.5% Score72.1 DownOpp1.292

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#34 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.30%

P25-2.91% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score64 DownOpp1.198

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#35 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.92%

P25-3.10% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 12.5% Score76 DownOpp1.175

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#36 US.T AT&T · Communication Services

-0.51%

P25-3.41% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score53.2 DownOpp1.114

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#37 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.46%

P25-4.09% Down57.5% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score78.1 DownOpp1.047

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#38 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.63%

P25-2.74% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score62.4 DownOpp0.997

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#39 US.MDLZ Mondelez International · Consumer Staples

-0.45%

P25-1.92% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score73.4 DownOpp0.979

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#40 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.60%

P25-2.15% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 10% Score76.2 DownOpp0.966

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#41 US.AWK American Water Works · Utilities

-0.34%

P25-1.14% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score66.9 DownOpp0.923

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#42 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-0.35%

P25-4.30% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score51.6 DownOpp0.838

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#43 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-1.02%

P25-3.79% Down55% Dn/Up520% / 20% Score44.5 DownOpp0.834

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#44 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-4.64% Down55% Dn/Up522.5% / 20% Score53.9 DownOpp0.796

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#45 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.82%

P25-3.18% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score88.1 DownOpp0.754

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#46 US.KVUE Kenvue · Consumer Staples

-0.41%

P25-2.34% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score66.3 DownOpp0.748

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#47 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.25% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score76.6 DownOpp0.618

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#48 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.40%

P25-1.83% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 10% Score66.5 DownOpp0.559

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#49 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-3.01% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 12.5% Score65.7 DownOpp0.53

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#50 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.39%

P25-1.97% Down52.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score79 DownOpp0.49

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.ORCL · -3.21% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking