Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.PTC · -1.84% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-1.84%
Top down rate62.2%
Top P25-6.07%
DOE score2.49
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.PTC
-1.84%
P25-6.07%
Down62.2%
Dn/Up530.2% / 12.8%
Score81.8
DownOpp2.952
#2 US.CTSH
-1.65%
P25-5.59%
Down60.6%
Dn/Up528% / 14.6%
Score75.6
DownOpp2.453
#3 US.ACN
-1.65%
P25-5.59%
Down60%
Dn/Up527.6% / 15.8%
Score78.1
DownOpp2.314
#4 US.WDAY
-1.41%
P25-5.26%
Down58.4%
Dn/Up526.6% / 15.2%
Score76.3
DownOpp1.913
#5 US.ADSK
-1.12%
P25-5.16%
Down57%
Dn/Up526% / 15.8%
Score76.9
DownOpp1.445
#6 US.GDDY
-1.12%
P25-4.83%
Down56.6%
Dn/Up524.6% / 16.8%
Score56.5
DownOpp1.424
#7 US.CRM
-1.12%
P25-5.25%
Down56.2%
Dn/Up526.6% / 16%
Score75.3
DownOpp1.404
#8 US.ADBE
-1.09%
P25-5.07%
Down56.4%
Dn/Up525.4% / 15.4%
Score77.1
DownOpp1.367
#9 US.INTU
-1.05%
P25-4.53%
Down57%
Dn/Up524% / 15.6%
Score69.9
DownOpp1.282
#10 US.SMCI
-1.20%
P25-4.21%
Down56.4%
Dn/Up519.6% / 18.2%
Score54.3
DownOpp1.265
#11 US.SNPS
-0.99%
P25-5.23%
Down55.2%
Dn/Up526.6% / 17%
Score59.2
DownOpp1.25
#12 US.NOW
-0.95%
P25-5.03%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up525.2% / 16.6%
Score75
DownOpp1.113
#13 US.IT
-0.96%
P25-4.58%
Down55.6%
Dn/Up523.6% / 15.4%
Score69.1
DownOpp1.111
#14 US.TYL
-0.95%
P25-4.83%
Down55.6%
Dn/Up524.6% / 17.2%
Score64.3
DownOpp1.091
#15 US.APP
-0.87%
P25-5.00%
Down54.2%
Dn/Up525.2% / 17%
Score58.7
DownOpp0.996
#16 US.ORCL
-0.86%
P25-4.98%
Down54.6%
Dn/Up525% / 17%
Score69.8
DownOpp0.929
#17 US.CVNA
-0.60%
P25-2.73%
Down57.2%
Dn/Up58.8% / 9.6%
Score59.9
DownOpp0.833
#18 US.TTD
-0.48%
P25-3.87%
Down54.2%
Dn/Up518% / 8.8%
Score59.2
DownOpp0.812
#19 US.TEL
-0.85%
P25-4.56%
Down54%
Dn/Up522.2% / 18.2%
Score59.8
DownOpp0.769
#20 US.TRMB
-0.74%
P25-4.62%
Down54.2%
Dn/Up524% / 16.8%
Score75.9
DownOpp0.654
#21 US.DPZ
-0.40%
P25-2.83%
Down55.2%
Dn/Up59.8% / 8.8%
Score69.8
DownOpp0.472
#22 US.SWKS
-0.59%
P25-4.33%
Down54%
Dn/Up522.4% / 16.8%
Score74.4
DownOpp0.426
#23 US.Q
-0.59%
P25-4.02%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up519% / 19.6%
Score41.2
DownOpp0.414
#24 US.UHS
-0.45%
P25-3.37%
Down54.6%
Dn/Up514.2% / 12%
Score81
DownOpp0.333
#25 US.LOW
-0.29%
P25-2.38%
Down54.6%
Dn/Up58% / 8.6%
Score61.3
DownOpp0.277
#26 US.ADP
-0.39%
P25-2.68%
Down54%
Dn/Up511.8% / 7%
Score92.1
DownOpp0.269
#27 US.CHTR
-0.19%
P25-3.51%
Down53.2%
Dn/Up516.4% / 9.4%
Score69.7
DownOpp0.237
#28 US.PLTR
-0.43%
P25-4.60%
Down51.8%
Dn/Up522.4% / 19.2%
Score52
DownOpp0.182
#29 US.AMT
-0.26%
P25-2.00%
Down53%
Dn/Up53.4% / 3.2%
Score85.9
DownOpp0.164
#30 US.TAP
-0.09%
P25-2.46%
Down51.4%
Dn/Up57.2% / 3.2%
Score77.6
DownOpp0.043
#31 US.BR
-0.20%
P25-2.28%
Down51.8%
Dn/Up56% / 6.4%
Score70
DownOpp0.005