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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=500 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-07-31

Computed at 2026年8月3日 下午12:59 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 14

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=500

As-of 2026-07-31

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-31
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-31
DOE window 2026-06-10 → 2026-07-28
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月3日 下午12:59 HKT
Rows 14
Excluded downtrends 4
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

not ready

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

n/a

Best holding day 3D

5+ · +35.32% ann. net · n=612

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

5+ · +0.48% exp · 44D WF

Opp study rows 25,742 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-07-31

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 23 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-07-27

13 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.87% 上漲比63.4% Up/Dn15% / 3% Opp3.634 開富途
  2. #2 WST P75+3.87% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn16.4% / 2.6% Opp3.6 開富途
  3. #3 HUM P75+4.43% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn20.6% / 4.6% Opp3.475 開富途
  4. #4 CRL P75+3.91% 上漲比62% Up/Dn17.6% / 3.8% Opp3.372 開富途
  5. #5 CNC P75+4.12% 上漲比61% Up/Dn18% / 4.2% Opp3.315 開富途
  6. #6 UNH P75+3.77% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn16% / 2.8% Opp3.307 開富途
  7. #7 RVTY P75+4.09% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn19.8% / 5.4% Opp3.024 開富途
  8. #8 CAH P75+3.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.2% / 2% Opp2.952 開富途
  9. #9 BIIB P75+4.01% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn19.8% / 5.4% Opp2.939 開富途
  10. #10 GILD P75+3.34% 上漲比59.8% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Opp2.886 開富途
  11. #11 VRTX P75+3.67% 上漲比61% Up/Dn15.2% / 4.4% Opp2.853 開富途
  12. #12 ALGN P75+4.08% 上漲比58.2% Up/Dn19.4% / 5.6% Opp2.5 開富途
  13. #13 ELV P75+3.69% 上漲比56% Up/Dn19% / 7% Opp1.862 開富途

2026-07-28

7 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+4.01% 上漲比65.2% Up/Dn18.4% / 2% Opp3.901 開富途
  2. #2 HUM P75+4.12% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn18.6% / 4.4% Opp3.558 開富途
  3. #3 ELV P75+4.30% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn20.4% / 4.2% Opp3.357 開富途
  4. #4 VRTX P75+3.26% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn12.4% / 2.4% Opp2.898 開富途
  5. #5 ALGN P75+4.37% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn22.6% / 7.6% Opp2.808 開富途
  6. #6 MRNA P75+4.38% 上漲比57.4% Up/Dn20.8% / 10.8% Opp2.123 開富途
  7. #7 BIIB P75+3.47% 上漲比54.2% Up/Dn15.8% / 4.2% Opp1.718 開富途

2026-07-29

11 檔
  1. #1 UNH P75+4.09% 上漲比67.2% Up/Dn18.8% / 2.2% Opp4.319 開富途
  2. #2 ELV P75+4.22% 上漲比62.6% Up/Dn21% / 4.8% Opp3.621 開富途
  3. #3 WST P75+3.94% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn17.8% / 4% Opp3.562 開富途
  4. #4 MSCI P75+4.41% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.2% / 10.2% Opp3.433 開富途
  5. #5 CVS P75+3.60% 上漲比62.6% Up/Dn15% / 2.4% Opp3.399 開富途
  6. #6 EW P75+3.62% 上漲比61.2% Up/Dn14% / 2.8% Opp3.354 開富途
  7. #7 HUM P75+4.10% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn17.8% / 5.6% Opp3.229 開富途
  8. #8 CNC P75+4.23% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn19.2% / 7.2% Opp3.217 開富途
  9. #9 VRTX P75+3.39% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn12.8% / 2% Opp3.087 開富途
  10. #10 GILD P75+3.33% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn12.4% / 2% Opp3.046 開富途
  11. #11 MRNA P75+4.62% 上漲比58.4% Up/Dn22.4% / 11.4% Opp2.401 開富途

2026-07-30

14 檔
  1. #1 UNH P75+4.41% 上漲比69.2% Up/Dn21% / 2.6% Opp4.724 開富途
  2. #2 CVS P75+3.99% 上漲比67% Up/Dn18.8% / 2% Opp4.286 開富途
  3. #3 JNJ P75+3.79% 上漲比64.8% Up/Dn15.4% / 2.2% Opp3.787 開富途
  4. #4 CAH P75+3.83% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn15.4% / 2% Opp3.773 開富途
  5. #5 CNC P75+4.53% 上漲比63.4% Up/Dn22% / 4.6% Opp3.765 開富途
  6. #6 LLY P75+3.95% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn16.6% / 2% Opp3.726 開富途
  7. #7 HUM P75+4.69% 上漲比63% Up/Dn23% / 7% Opp3.682 開富途
  8. #8 VRTX P75+3.60% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn15% / 1.8% Opp3.578 開富途
  9. #9 PNW P75+2.99% 上漲比66.2% Up/Dn12.2% / 1.8% Opp3.422 開富途
  10. #10 HSIC P75+3.42% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn12.8% / 2.6% Opp3.317 開富途
  11. #11 GS P75+4.53% 上漲比61.2% Up/Dn22.2% / 11% Opp3.069 開富途
  12. #12 PFE P75+3.26% 上漲比59.8% Up/Dn12.4% / 2.4% Opp2.87 開富途
  13. #13 MRNA P75+4.43% 上漲比58.6% Up/Dn21.2% / 7.8% Opp2.806 開富途
  14. #14 ELV P75+4.30% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn21.6% / 8.4% Opp2.613 開富途

2026-07-31

14 檔
  1. #1 UNH P75+4.17% 上漲比68.2% Up/Dn19% / 1.8% Opp4.589 開富途
  2. #2 JNJ P75+3.75% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn14.8% / 2% Opp4.042 開富途
  3. #3 CVS P75+4.01% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn18.4% / 3% Opp3.978 開富途
  4. #4 CAH P75+3.72% 上漲比65.2% Up/Dn14.4% / 1.4% Opp3.905 開富途
  5. #5 LLY P75+3.75% 上漲比64.6% Up/Dn14.8% / 1.2% Opp3.762 開富途
  6. #6 ALGN P75+4.18% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn18.6% / 5% Opp3.532 開富途
  7. #7 VRTX P75+3.47% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn13.6% / 2.4% Opp3.513 開富途
  8. #8 GILD P75+3.41% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn13% / 1.6% Opp3.487 開富途
  9. #9 WST P75+3.51% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn13.6% / 2.8% Opp3.418 開富途
  10. #10 HUM P75+4.52% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn23.2% / 6.4% Opp3.07 開富途
  11. #11 MRNA P75+4.20% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn19.4% / 7.4% Opp3.058 開富途
  12. #12 ELV P75+4.64% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn23.6% / 8.2% Opp2.994 開富途
  13. #13 DVA P75+3.03% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Opp2.876 開富途
  14. #14 CNC P75+4.10% 上漲比57.2% Up/Dn18.6% / 7.2% Opp2.342 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.UNH P75+4.17% 上漲比68.2% Up/Dn19% / 1.8% Opp4.589 開富途
  2. #2 US.JNJ P75+3.75% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn14.8% / 2% Opp4.042 開富途
  3. #3 US.CVS P75+4.01% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn18.4% / 3% Opp3.978 開富途
  4. #4 US.CAH P75+3.72% 上漲比65.2% Up/Dn14.4% / 1.4% Opp3.905 開富途
  5. #5 US.LLY P75+3.75% 上漲比64.6% Up/Dn14.8% / 1.2% Opp3.762 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

No qualified stable Opp plateau — Opp filter not auto-applied. Set Min/Max Opp manually, or rematerialize Opp study.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

+1.83%

P75+4.17% 上漲比68.2% Up/Dn19% / 1.8% Score49.1 Opp4.589
View chart 開富途
#2 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

+1.55%

P75+3.75% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn14.8% / 2% Score54.8 Opp4.042
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

+1.53%

P75+4.01% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn18.4% / 3% Score48.2 Opp3.978
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

+1.40%

P75+3.72% 上漲比65.2% Up/Dn14.4% / 1.4% Score59 Opp3.905
View chart 開富途
#5 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

+1.30%

P75+3.75% 上漲比64.6% Up/Dn14.8% / 1.2% Score57.2 Opp3.762
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ALGN Align Technology · Health Care

+1.39%

P75+4.18% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn18.6% / 5% Score56.2 Opp3.532
View chart 開富途
#7 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

+1.23%

P75+3.47% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn13.6% / 2.4% Score56.5 Opp3.513
View chart 開富途
#8 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

+1.28%

P75+3.41% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn13% / 1.6% Score61.1 Opp3.487
View chart 開富途
#9 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

+1.28%

P75+3.51% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn13.6% / 2.8% Score60.3 Opp3.418
View chart 開富途
#10 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+1.14%

P75+4.52% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn23.2% / 6.4% Score44.8 Opp3.07
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MRNA Moderna · Health Care

+1.25%

P75+4.20% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn19.4% / 7.4% Score51.4 Opp3.058
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

+1.17%

P75+4.64% 上漲比60.2% Up/Dn23.6% / 8.2% Score45.3 Opp2.994
View chart 開富途
#13 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

+0.97%

P75+3.03% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Score59.8 Opp2.876
View chart 開富途
#14 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+0.82%

P75+4.10% 上漲比57.2% Up/Dn18.6% / 7.2% Score47 Opp2.342
View chart 開富途