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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-22
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-22
DOE window 2026-06-02 → 2026-07-16
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午9:44 HKT
Rows 18
Excluded uptrends 329

Downside ranking

US.SMCI · -0.84% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.84%
Top down rate56.6%
Top P25-4.80%
DOE score2.718

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-4.80% Down56.6% Dn/Up523.4% / 15% Score94 DownOpp0.963
View chart 開富途
#2 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-0.85%

P25-4.09% Down54.4% Dn/Up519.2% / 19.2% Score54.5 DownOpp0.664
View chart 開富途
#3 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.44% Down56.2% Dn/Up57.8% / 6.2% Score60.4 DownOpp0.661
View chart 開富途
#4 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.27%

P25-2.21% Down54.2% Dn/Up58.2% / 3.2% Score58.1 DownOpp0.531
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-0.51%

P25-4.40% Down53.8% Dn/Up521.8% / 16% Score57.3 DownOpp0.524
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-0.51%

P25-4.51% Down53% Dn/Up522% / 16% Score58.6 DownOpp0.478
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-0.53%

P25-4.43% Down54% Dn/Up522.4% / 18.2% Score59.4 DownOpp0.42
View chart 開富途
#8 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-0.49%

P25-4.49% Down52.4% Dn/Up522.2% / 16.8% Score60.4 DownOpp0.344
View chart 開富途
#9 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.39%

P25-2.40% Down55% Dn/Up56.8% / 9.8% Score68.4 DownOpp0.289
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.29%

P25-1.97% Down53.8% Dn/Up54.4% / 4.2% Score79.1 DownOpp0.241
View chart 開富途
#11 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-4.21% Down53.4% Dn/Up521.4% / 19% Score59.6 DownOpp0.238
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.11%

P25-2.24% Down52.4% Dn/Up510.6% / 3.2% Score64.6 DownOpp0.186
View chart 開富途
#13 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.38%

P25-4.00% Down52.2% Dn/Up519.4% / 17.2% Score50.8 DownOpp0.143
View chart 開富途
#14 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-0.31%

P25-4.49% Down51.6% Dn/Up522% / 16.8% Score59.8 DownOpp0.104
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.41%

P25-4.23% Down52.8% Dn/Up521.8% / 19.4% Score58.9 DownOpp0.086
View chart 開富途
#16 US.MDLZ Mondelez International · Consumer Staples

-0.15%

P25-2.53% Down51.4% Dn/Up57.4% / 5% Score74.2 DownOpp0.038
View chart 開富途
#17 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.12%

P25-1.99% Down52.2% Dn/Up55.4% / 6.2% Score53.4 DownOpp0.021
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.21%

P25-2.42% Down53.2% Dn/Up58.6% / 10.8% Score54 DownOpp0.018
View chart 開富途