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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=500 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-07-22

Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午9:44 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 9

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=500

As-of 2026-07-22

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-22
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-22
DOE window 2026-06-02 → 2026-07-16
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午9:44 HKT
Rows 9
Excluded downtrends 14
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

not ready

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

n/a

Best holding day 5D

+18.18% ann. net · n=27655

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -4%

5+ · +0.56% exp · 65D WF

Opp study rows 28,213 with outcomes

1,509 awaiting horizon End 2026-07-22

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 23 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-07-16

11 檔
  1. #1 VRTX P75+3.58% 上漲比63% Up/Dn14.6% / 3% Opp3.406 開富途
  2. #2 ELV P75+3.66% 上漲比62.8% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.6% Opp3.286 開富途
  3. #3 EW P75+3.58% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.4% Opp3.101 開富途
  4. #4 MRNA P75+3.97% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn19.4% / 8.4% Opp3.045 開富途
  5. #5 LLY P75+3.51% 上漲比61.2% Up/Dn16.6% / 3.8% Opp2.978 開富途
  6. #6 CNC P75+3.40% 上漲比59.6% Up/Dn15.8% / 3.4% Opp2.728 開富途
  7. #7 LUV P75+3.35% 上漲比61.8% Up/Dn14% / 4% Opp2.728 開富途
  8. #8 TSLA P75+3.64% 上漲比58.6% Up/Dn18.4% / 5.8% Opp2.307 開富途
  9. #9 HUM P75+3.36% 上漲比56.2% Up/Dn14% / 3.2% Opp2.112 開富途
  10. #10 CRL P75+2.80% 上漲比55.6% Up/Dn13.4% / 3.4% Opp1.905 開富途
  11. #11 RL P75+3.29% 上漲比52.4% Up/Dn16% / 4.2% Opp1.408 開富途

2026-07-17

11 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.87% 上漲比69.8% Up/Dn17% / 3.4% Opp4.364 開富途
  2. #2 WAT P75+3.76% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.2% / 3% Opp3.627 開富途
  3. #3 VRTX P75+3.83% 上漲比63.4% Up/Dn16% / 2.4% Opp3.517 開富途
  4. #4 CAH P75+3.45% 上漲比63% Up/Dn13.4% / 3.2% Opp3.344 開富途
  5. #5 BIIB P75+3.76% 上漲比62% Up/Dn16.2% / 3.6% Opp3.217 開富途
  6. #6 RVTY P75+3.34% 上漲比61.8% Up/Dn13.6% / 2.8% Opp3.109 開富途
  7. #7 LIN P75+3.17% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn14.4% / 3.6% Opp2.794 開富途
  8. #8 CNC P75+3.26% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn14.6% / 2.8% Opp2.693 開富途
  9. #9 ELV P75+4.10% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20.6% / 7.4% Opp2.575 開富途
  10. #10 CRL P75+2.90% 上漲比58.2% Up/Dn14.6% / 3.4% Opp2.36 開富途
  11. #11 HUM P75+3.40% 上漲比56.6% Up/Dn14.6% / 3.6% Opp2.148 開富途

2026-07-20

15 檔
  1. #1 VRTX P75+3.80% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn15.8% / 2.2% Opp3.576 開富途
  2. #2 EW P75+3.42% 上漲比65.4% Up/Dn14.2% / 3.8% Opp3.531 開富途
  3. #3 MRK P75+3.46% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn14.4% / 3% Opp3.386 開富途
  4. #4 LLY P75+3.28% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn14% / 2.4% Opp3.344 開富途
  5. #5 RVTY P75+3.39% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn14% / 4% Opp3.308 開富途
  6. #6 CAH P75+3.59% 上漲比61.4% Up/Dn13% / 2.6% Opp3.212 開富途
  7. #7 JNJ P75+3.42% 上漲比63.4% Up/Dn14.6% / 4% Opp3.178 開富途
  8. #8 A P75+3.27% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Opp3.123 開富途
  9. #9 WAT P75+3.26% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn12.6% / 2.2% Opp3.043 開富途
  10. #10 CRL P75+3.45% 上漲比62% Up/Dn15.8% / 3% Opp3.035 開富途
  11. #11 DGX P75+3.39% 上漲比61% Up/Dn13% / 2.6% Opp3.033 開富途
  12. #12 CNC P75+3.33% 上漲比59.4% Up/Dn15.4% / 5.2% Opp2.547 開富途
  13. #13 UNH P75+3.00% 上漲比58.6% Up/Dn11.6% / 1.6% Opp2.477 開富途
  14. #14 HUM P75+2.90% 上漲比57.8% Up/Dn14.2% / 4% Opp2.221 開富途
  15. #15 RL P75+3.23% 上漲比58.4% Up/Dn14.4% / 4.4% Opp2.13 開富途

2026-07-21

11 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.81% 上漲比65.8% Up/Dn16.4% / 2.8% Opp3.863 開富途
  2. #2 CAH P75+3.58% 上漲比64% Up/Dn14.8% / 2.8% Opp3.466 開富途
  3. #3 JNJ P75+3.58% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn15.6% / 2.6% Opp3.395 開富途
  4. #4 VRTX P75+3.66% 上漲比61.8% Up/Dn15.4% / 2% Opp3.269 開富途
  5. #5 LLY P75+3.42% 上漲比62.4% Up/Dn14% / 2.6% Opp3.193 開富途
  6. #6 BIIB P75+3.61% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn16% / 4.8% Opp2.942 開富途
  7. #7 DGX P75+3.48% 上漲比59.8% Up/Dn14.2% / 2.4% Opp2.937 開富途
  8. #8 CRL P75+3.63% 上漲比60.8% Up/Dn18.2% / 4.8% Opp2.844 開富途
  9. #9 RVTY P75+3.39% 上漲比60% Up/Dn16.2% / 5.4% Opp2.637 開富途
  10. #10 ELV P75+3.60% 上漲比59.2% Up/Dn17.6% / 6.4% Opp2.447 開富途
  11. #11 ALGN P75+3.67% 上漲比56.4% Up/Dn17% / 7% Opp1.894 開富途

2026-07-22

9 檔
  1. #1 EW P75+3.58% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.2% Opp3.438 開富途
  2. #2 LLY P75+3.46% 上漲比62% Up/Dn15% / 2.8% Opp3.177 開富途
  3. #3 VRTX P75+3.39% 上漲比61% Up/Dn14.6% / 3.8% Opp2.826 開富途
  4. #4 BIIB P75+3.45% 上漲比60% Up/Dn16.2% / 3.6% Opp2.802 開富途
  5. #5 CRL P75+3.67% 上漲比59.2% Up/Dn17.4% / 6% Opp2.448 開富途
  6. #6 CNC P75+3.30% 上漲比57.6% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.8% Opp2.179 開富途
  7. #7 RVTY P75+3.45% 上漲比58.4% Up/Dn17.4% / 5.2% Opp2.176 開富途
  8. #8 HUM P75+2.90% 上漲比57.6% Up/Dn15% / 3.2% Opp2.142 開富途
  9. #9 SOLV P75+2.90% 上漲比53.6% Up/Dn13.6% / 3% Opp1.59 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.EW P75+3.58% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.2% Opp3.438 開富途
  2. #2 US.LLY P75+3.46% 上漲比62% Up/Dn15% / 2.8% Opp3.177 開富途
  3. #3 US.VRTX P75+3.39% 上漲比61% Up/Dn14.6% / 3.8% Opp2.826 開富途
  4. #4 US.BIIB P75+3.45% 上漲比60% Up/Dn16.2% / 3.6% Opp2.802 開富途
  5. #5 US.CRL P75+3.67% 上漲比59.2% Up/Dn17.4% / 6% Opp2.448 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

No qualified stable Opp plateau — Opp filter not auto-applied. Set Min/Max Opp manually, or rematerialize Opp study.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

+1.29%

P75+3.58% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.2% Score47.6 Opp3.438
View chart 開富途
#2 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

+1.13%

P75+3.46% 上漲比62% Up/Dn15% / 2.8% Score52 Opp3.177
View chart 開富途
#3 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

+0.96%

P75+3.39% 上漲比61% Up/Dn14.6% / 3.8% Score48.8 Opp2.826
View chart 開富途
#4 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

+0.95%

P75+3.45% 上漲比60% Up/Dn16.2% / 3.6% Score54.1 Opp2.802
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

+0.77%

P75+3.67% 上漲比59.2% Up/Dn17.4% / 6% Score51.2 Opp2.448
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+0.54%

P75+3.30% 上漲比57.6% Up/Dn15.6% / 3.8% Score57.8 Opp2.179
View chart 開富途
#7 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

+0.57%

P75+3.45% 上漲比58.4% Up/Dn17.4% / 5.2% Score51.1 Opp2.176
View chart 開富途
#8 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+0.58%

P75+2.90% 上漲比57.6% Up/Dn15% / 3.2% Score56.1 Opp2.142
View chart 開富途
#9 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

+0.32%

P75+2.90% 上漲比53.6% Up/Dn13.6% / 3% Score58.3 Opp1.59
View chart 開富途