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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-20
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-20
DOE window 2026-06-01 → 2026-07-15
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午9:31 HKT
Rows 6
Excluded uptrends 342

Downside ranking

US.SMCI · -0.86% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.86%
Top down rate56.4%
Top P25-4.08%
DOE score2.819

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-4.08% Down56.4% Dn/Up519.2% / 19% Score41.1 DownOpp0.944
View chart 開富途
#2 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-3.22% Down54% Dn/Up514.4% / 11.2% Score76 DownOpp0.323
View chart 開富途
#3 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.20%

P25-2.53% Down53.2% Dn/Up511% / 6% Score61.8 DownOpp0.265
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-3.76% Down53.2% Dn/Up517.6% / 19.2% Score38.9 DownOpp0.252
View chart 開富途
#5 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.46%

P25-3.75% Down52.8% Dn/Up517.8% / 19.4% Score36.4 DownOpp0.184
View chart 開富途
#6 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.24%

P25-2.11% Down53.6% Dn/Up54.2% / 7.8% Score72.6 DownOpp0.043
View chart 開富途