Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-20 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 419 | 384 / 35 | 84 | 21.9% | 1.2x | +7.57% | -8.47% |
| Grade C | 81 | 79 / 2 | 24 | 30.4% | 1.66x | +7.82% | -7.98% |
| Grade D | 5422 | 4430 / 992 | 570 | 12.9% | 0.7x | +5.65% | -4.91% |
| Grade F | 13160 | 10172 / 2988 | 2086 | 20.5% | 1.12x | +6.91% | -4.80% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 726 | 601 / 125 | 32.6% | 1.78x | 1.91x | 17.1% · 76 checked | +8.95% | -10.31% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 727 | 602 / 125 | 32.6% | 1.78x | 1.9x | 17.1% · 76 checked | +8.95% | -10.32% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3791 | 3159 / 632 | 27.5% | 1.5x | 1.59x | 16.1% · 404 checked | +8.09% | -7.22% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3826 | 3189 / 637 | 27.4% | 1.5x | 1.59x | 16% · 405 checked | +8.07% | -7.28% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13256 | 10702 / 2554 | 19.5% | 1.07x | 1.1x | 15.2% · 1408 checked | +6.65% | -5.41% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 12575 | 10169 / 2406 | 18.7% | 1.02x | 1.06x | 14.6% · 1323 checked | +6.52% | -5.23% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 500 | 415 / 85 | 37.8% | 2.07x | 2.26x | 13.5% · 52 checked | +9.86% | -12.02% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 501 | 416 / 85 | 37.7% | 2.06x | 2.25x | 13.5% · 52 checked | +9.86% | -12.03% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 143 | 133 / 10 | 41.4% | 2.26x | 2.45x | 13.3% · 15 checked | +9.82% | -15.39% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 143 | 133 / 10 | 41.4% | 2.26x | 2.45x | 13.3% · 15 checked | +9.82% | -15.39% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 143 | 133 / 10 | 41.4% | 2.26x | 2.45x | 13.3% · 15 checked | +9.82% | -15.39% |
| Risk not High | 18196 | 14372 / 3824 | 17.5% | 0.96x | 0.99x | 12.9% · 1891 checked | +6.43% | -4.78% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 2725 | 2301 / 424 | 28.2% | 1.54x | 1.66x | 12.4% · 267 checked | +8.29% | -7.81% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2709 | 2286 / 423 | 28.3% | 1.55x | 1.66x | 12.4% · 267 checked | +8.31% | -7.76% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 9762 | 7861 / 1901 | 18.2% | 0.99x | 1.05x | 11% · 1021 checked | +6.47% | -5.57% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 231 | 216 / 15 | 66 | 30.6% | 1.67x | 5.6% · 18 checked | +9.03% | -11.50% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 318 | 295 / 23 | 70 | 23.7% | 1.3x | 5.1% · 39 checked | +8.16% | -8.81% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 500 | 463 / 37 | 108 | 23.3% | 1.27x | 3.2% · 63 checked | +7.61% | -8.39% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4861 | 3892 / 969 | 595 | 15.3% | 0.84x | 5.4% · 665 checked | +6.12% | -5.44% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.GPN Global Payments | B 64.6 | 87.7 55.7/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 583 | 521 / 62 | 105 | 20.2% | 1.1x | +6.81% | -7.85% |
| Score < 90 | 18484 | 14534 / 3950 | 2655 | 18.3% | 1x | +6.54% | -4.83% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 85 | 79 / 6 | 28 | 35.4% | 1.93x | +10.26% | -11.73% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 415 | 384 / 31 | 80 | 20.8% | 1.14x | +7.07% | -7.70% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 17310 | 13516 / 3794 | 2484 | 18.4% | 1.01x | +6.58% | -4.74% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1272 | 1086 / 186 | 172 | 15.8% | 0.86x | +5.88% | -5.97% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 727 | 602 / 125 | 196 | 32.6% | 1.78x | +8.95% | -10.32% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3099 | 2587 / 512 | 678 | 26.2% | 1.43x | +7.86% | -6.57% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9430 | 7513 / 1917 | 1218 | 16.2% | 0.89x | +6.05% | -4.62% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5826 | 4363 / 1463 | 672 | 15.4% | 0.84x | +6.34% | -3.79% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 886 | 693 / 193 | 253 | 36.5% | 1.99x | +9.21% | -8.38% |
| Elevated | 6372 | 4969 / 1403 | 1531 | 30.8% | 1.68x | +8.63% | -7.15% |
| Medium | 11413 | 9034 / 2379 | 962 | 10.6% | 0.58x | +5.32% | -3.55% |
| Low | 411 | 369 / 42 | 18 | 4.9% | 0.27x | +4.10% | -2.93% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2805 | 2218 / 587 | 832 | 37.5% | 2.05x | +9.54% | -9.70% |
| Health Care | 2241 | 1769 / 472 | 376 | 21.3% | 1.16x | +7.11% | -3.49% |
| Materials | 987 | 779 / 208 | 160 | 20.5% | 1.12x | +8.48% | -5.16% |
| Financials | 2886 | 2280 / 606 | 424 | 18.6% | 1.02x | +6.57% | -3.56% |
| Communication Services | 868 | 682 / 186 | 114 | 16.7% | 0.91x | +5.34% | -6.30% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1786 | 1410 / 376 | 225 | 16% | 0.87x | +5.93% | -4.75% |
| Industrials | 3026 | 2388 / 638 | 366 | 15.3% | 0.84x | +6.41% | -4.24% |
| Energy | 798 | 630 / 168 | 77 | 12.2% | 0.67x | +4.72% | -5.34% |
| Consumer Staples | 1329 | 1049 / 280 | 121 | 11.5% | 0.63x | +5.30% | -4.04% |
| Real Estate | 1178 | 930 / 248 | 41 | 4.4% | 0.24x | +4.41% | -3.78% |
| Utilities | 1178 | 930 / 248 | 28 | 3% | 0.16x | +3.83% | -2.53% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.