Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.SMCI · -0.80% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-0.80%
Top down rate55.6%
Top P25-3.94%
DOE score2.891
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.SMCI
-0.80%
P25-3.94%
Down55.6%
Dn/Up519% / 18.8%
Score39.8
DownOpp0.807
#2 US.ADBE
-0.55%
P25-4.96%
Down54.6%
Dn/Up524.6% / 16.2%
Score87.4
DownOpp0.531
#3 US.T
-0.45%
P25-2.92%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up514.2% / 10.6%
Score70.3
DownOpp0.321
#4 US.NVR
-0.23%
P25-2.16%
Down53.2%
Dn/Up57.4% / 8%
Score61.8
DownOpp0.083
#5 US.META
-0.08%
P25-1.79%
Down51.8%
Dn/Up57.2% / 2.8%
Score63.8
DownOpp0.025