Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-17 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 453 | 412 / 41 | 93 | 22.6% | 1.18x | +7.59% | -8.27% |
| Grade C | 66 | 61 / 5 | 23 | 37.7% | 1.96x | +8.55% | -8.12% |
| Grade D | 5772 | 4657 / 1115 | 615 | 13.2% | 0.69x | +5.77% | -4.94% |
| Grade F | 13794 | 10941 / 2853 | 2355 | 21.5% | 1.12x | +7.15% | -4.68% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $1B | 4049 | 3392 / 657 | 29.3% | 1.53x | 1.6x | 19.3% · 420 checked | +8.60% | -6.98% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 4014 | 3363 / 651 | 29.4% | 1.53x | 1.61x | 19.1% · 418 checked | +8.62% | -6.93% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 758 | 629 / 129 | 34.3% | 1.79x | 1.91x | 18.5% · 81 checked | +9.59% | -9.85% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 757 | 628 / 129 | 34.4% | 1.79x | 1.91x | 18.5% · 81 checked | +9.59% | -9.84% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13996 | 11394 / 2602 | 20.5% | 1.07x | 1.09x | 17.7% · 1432 checked | +6.90% | -5.32% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 13292 | 10844 / 2448 | 19.6% | 1.02x | 1.05x | 16.5% · 1348 checked | +6.73% | -5.16% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 2912 | 2463 / 449 | 30% | 1.56x | 1.66x | 14.7% · 265 checked | +8.83% | -7.52% |
| Risk not High | 19155 | 15339 / 3816 | 18.2% | 0.95x | 0.97x | 14.8% · 1896 checked | +6.60% | -4.72% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 989 | 851 / 138 | 37.3% | 1.94x | 2.07x | 14.6% · 82 checked | +10.50% | -7.96% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 988 | 850 / 138 | 37.2% | 1.94x | 2.06x | 14.6% · 82 checked | +10.47% | -7.97% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2896 | 2448 / 448 | 30.1% | 1.57x | 1.66x | 14.4% · 263 checked | +8.85% | -7.47% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 158 | 149 / 9 | 32.2% | 1.68x | 1.78x | 14.3% · 14 checked | +10.05% | -11.75% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 302 | 276 / 26 | 26.1% | 1.36x | 1.43x | 14.3% · 28 checked | +8.52% | -9.11% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 986 | 848 / 138 | 37.1% | 1.93x | 2.06x | 13.6% · 81 checked | +10.50% | -7.95% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 534 | 446 / 88 | 39.7% | 2.07x | 2.26x | 13.2% · 53 checked | +10.60% | -11.40% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 240 | 221 / 19 | 70 | 31.7% | 1.65x | 10.5% · 19 checked | +9.18% | -11.27% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 332 | 305 / 27 | 77 | 25.2% | 1.31x | 9.5% · 42 checked | +8.30% | -8.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 519 | 473 / 46 | 116 | 24.5% | 1.28x | 7.4% · 68 checked | +7.72% | -8.25% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 5013 | 3949 / 1064 | 622 | 15.8% | 0.82x | 6.3% · 621 checked | +6.29% | -5.49% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 614 | 540 / 74 | 115 | 21.3% | 1.11x | +6.91% | -7.74% |
| Score < 90 | 19456 | 15521 / 3935 | 2967 | 19.1% | 0.99x | +6.75% | -4.76% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 86 | 79 / 7 | 28 | 35.4% | 1.84x | +10.34% | -11.60% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 433 | 394 / 39 | 88 | 22.3% | 1.16x | +7.19% | -7.58% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 18232 | 14481 / 3751 | 2777 | 19.2% | 1x | +6.78% | -4.67% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1334 | 1117 / 217 | 193 | 17.3% | 0.9x | +6.24% | -5.95% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 758 | 629 / 129 | 216 | 34.3% | 1.79x | +9.59% | -9.85% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3291 | 2763 / 528 | 779 | 28.2% | 1.47x | +8.37% | -6.33% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9947 | 8002 / 1945 | 1343 | 16.8% | 0.88x | +6.17% | -4.61% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 6089 | 4677 / 1412 | 748 | 16% | 0.83x | +6.46% | -3.75% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 930 | 732 / 198 | 296 | 40.4% | 2.1x | +10.28% | -7.91% |
| Elevated | 6727 | 5321 / 1406 | 1744 | 32.8% | 1.71x | +9.17% | -6.85% |
| Medium | 11986 | 9622 / 2364 | 1028 | 10.7% | 0.56x | +5.29% | -3.60% |
| Low | 442 | 396 / 46 | 18 | 4.5% | 0.23x | +3.87% | -3.25% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2953 | 2367 / 586 | 979 | 41.4% | 2.16x | +10.80% | -9.12% |
| Materials | 1039 | 831 / 208 | 183 | 22% | 1.15x | +8.62% | -5.00% |
| Health Care | 2359 | 1887 / 472 | 410 | 21.7% | 1.13x | +7.11% | -3.50% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1880 | 1504 / 376 | 275 | 18.3% | 0.95x | +6.45% | -4.67% |
| Financials | 3038 | 2432 / 606 | 438 | 18% | 0.94x | +6.39% | -3.65% |
| Industrials | 3183 | 2545 / 638 | 405 | 15.9% | 0.83x | +6.56% | -4.12% |
| Communication Services | 914 | 729 / 185 | 117 | 16% | 0.83x | +5.20% | -6.21% |
| Consumer Staples | 1399 | 1120 / 279 | 129 | 11.5% | 0.6x | +5.23% | -4.24% |
| Energy | 840 | 672 / 168 | 69 | 10.3% | 0.54x | +4.32% | -5.77% |
| Real Estate | 1240 | 992 / 248 | 45 | 4.5% | 0.23x | +4.36% | -3.73% |
| Utilities | 1240 | 992 / 248 | 36 | 3.6% | 0.19x | +3.86% | -2.58% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.