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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=320

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-06-05
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-06-05
DOE window 2026-04-21 → 2026-06-02
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午6:31 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 203

Downside ranking

US.WEC · -1.39% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.39%
Top down rate70.6%
Top P25-2.77%
DOE score2.933

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-1.39%

P25-2.77% Down70.6% Dn/Up56.6% / 1.3% Score71.5 DownOpp3.116
View chart 開富途
#2 US.EXC Exelon · Utilities

-1.41%

P25-2.73% Down70.3% Dn/Up55.6% / 2.2% Score72.1 DownOpp3.044
View chart 開富途
#3 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-1.29%

P25-2.45% Down69.4% Dn/Up53.4% / 0.9% Score68.6 DownOpp2.886
View chart 開富途
#4 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-1.23%

P25-2.38% Down65.9% Dn/Up53.1% / 0.6% Score67.8 DownOpp2.553
View chart 開富途
#5 US.FE FirstEnergy · Utilities

-1.20%

P25-2.38% Down65.9% Dn/Up52.8% / 0.6% Score67.2 DownOpp2.527
View chart 開富途
#6 US.DUK Duke Energy · Utilities

-1.02%

P25-2.33% Down64.7% Dn/Up52.5% / 0.6% Score66.3 DownOpp2.245
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ES Eversource Energy · Utilities

-1.02%

P25-2.46% Down63.1% Dn/Up57.2% / 3.4% Score76.9 DownOpp1.902
View chart 開富途
#8 US.AWK American Water Works · Utilities

-0.98%

P25-2.42% Down63.1% Dn/Up56.9% / 3.4% Score79.9 DownOpp1.83
View chart 開富途
#9 US.ETR Entergy · Utilities

-0.73%

P25-2.33% Down62.8% Dn/Up52.8% / 0.3% Score65.5 DownOpp1.827
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AEE Ameren · Utilities

-0.64%

P25-2.24% Down62.2% Dn/Up52.2% / 0.3% Score66 DownOpp1.663
View chart 開富途
#11 US.YUM Yum! Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.74%

P25-2.75% Down59.7% Dn/Up57.2% / 5.9% Score54.8 DownOpp1.439
View chart 開富途
#12 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.75% Down58.1% Dn/Up58.4% / 3.4% Score55.2 DownOpp1.318
View chart 開富途
#13 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.66%

P25-2.47% Down60% Dn/Up56.9% / 5.6% Score57.2 DownOpp1.313
View chart 開富途
#14 US.GRMN Garmin · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-2.51% Down59.7% Dn/Up57.2% / 4.7% Score60.7 DownOpp1.286
View chart 開富途
#15 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-2.75% Down58.1% Dn/Up57.2% / 4.4% Score55.8 DownOpp1.273
View chart 開富途
#16 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-0.65%

P25-2.57% Down58.4% Dn/Up54.4% / 4.1% Score61.1 DownOpp1.26
View chart 開富途
#17 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.63%

P25-2.51% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.8% / 2.8% Score66 DownOpp1.195
View chart 開富途
#18 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-0.71%

P25-2.57% Down59.1% Dn/Up54.7% / 8.4% Score53.5 DownOpp1.175
View chart 開富途
#19 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.36% Down58.4% Dn/Up55.9% / 4.4% Score55.2 DownOpp1.144
View chart 開富途
#20 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.61%

P25-2.51% Down57.5% Dn/Up58.4% / 3.8% Score62.4 DownOpp1.142
View chart 開富途
#21 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.41% Down58.4% Dn/Up55.9% / 4.7% Score56.7 DownOpp1.127
View chart 開富途
#22 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.36% Down57.8% Dn/Up55.6% / 4.4% Score59.3 DownOpp1.115
View chart 開富途
#23 US.PCG PG&E Corporation · Utilities

-0.64%

P25-2.34% Down59.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 4.7% Score78.3 DownOpp1.108
View chart 開富途
#24 US.BMY Bristol Myers Squibb · Health Care

-0.60%

P25-2.44% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 4.7% Score56.1 DownOpp1.107
View chart 開富途
#25 US.AEP American Electric Power · Utilities

-0.43%

P25-2.22% Down57.2% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score63.3 DownOpp1.086
View chart 開富途
#26 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.31% Down58.1% Dn/Up57.2% / 5% Score54.4 DownOpp1.068
View chart 開富途
#27 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-2.39% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.6% / 4.7% Score57.4 DownOpp1.065
View chart 開富途
#28 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-0.72%

P25-2.89% Down58.4% Dn/Up58.8% / 10% Score60.4 DownOpp1.061
View chart 開富途
#29 US.DTE DTE Energy · Utilities

-0.40%

P25-2.21% Down57.2% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score62.8 DownOpp1.058
View chart 開富途
#30 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.54%

P25-2.45% Down56.6% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.8% Score65.4 DownOpp1.022
View chart 開富途
#31 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.43% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 5.3% Score59.7 DownOpp0.986
View chart 開富途
#32 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.62%

P25-2.02% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 5.9% Score60.8 DownOpp0.939
View chart 開富途
#33 US.MTD Mettler Toledo · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.11% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 5.6% Score62.2 DownOpp0.935
View chart 開富途
#34 US.VMC Vulcan Materials Company · Materials

-0.53%

P25-2.16% Down58.1% Dn/Up55.6% / 4.1% Score72.4 DownOpp0.929
View chart 開富途
#35 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-0.45%

P25-2.62% Down56.6% Dn/Up55.9% / 5% Score54.2 DownOpp0.927
View chart 開富途
#36 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.64%

P25-2.18% Down58.1% Dn/Up55.6% / 7.5% Score62.6 DownOpp0.914
View chart 開富途
#37 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.32% Down56.9% Dn/Up57.2% / 3.8% Score64.1 DownOpp0.903
View chart 開富途
#38 US.STE Steris · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.26% Down57.2% Dn/Up55.9% / 6.3% Score59.8 DownOpp0.865
View chart 開富途
#39 US.WAT Waters Corporation · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.14% Down57.8% Dn/Up54.7% / 5.6% Score62.5 DownOpp0.864
View chart 開富途
#40 US.TPR Tapestry, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.45%

P25-2.41% Down55.9% Dn/Up56.9% / 3.1% Score66.1 DownOpp0.843
View chart 開富途
#41 US.APD Air Products · Materials

-0.62%

P25-2.53% Down56.6% Dn/Up55.3% / 8.8% Score55.9 DownOpp0.833
View chart 開富途
#42 US.RL Ralph Lauren Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.57%

P25-2.87% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.6% / 8.8% Score62.5 DownOpp0.795
View chart 開富途
#43 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.47%

P25-2.39% Down57.2% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score65.3 DownOpp0.776
View chart 開富途
#44 US.CRH CRH plc · Materials

-0.46%

P25-2.38% Down56.3% Dn/Up54.1% / 6.6% Score59.1 DownOpp0.72
View chart 開富途
#45 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.45% Down55.3% Dn/Up57.8% / 5% Score54.7 DownOpp0.706
View chart 開富途
#46 US.PCAR Paccar · Industrials

-0.44%

P25-2.41% Down55.9% Dn/Up58.4% / 5% Score68.3 DownOpp0.702
View chart 開富途
#47 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-0.46%

P25-2.34% Down55.3% Dn/Up52.8% / 5.3% Score60.5 DownOpp0.697
View chart 開富途
#48 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.44%

P25-2.18% Down56.9% Dn/Up55.6% / 6.6% Score65.1 DownOpp0.653
View chart 開富途
#49 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-0.42%

P25-2.65% Down56.6% Dn/Up59.4% / 6.3% Score77.3 DownOpp0.653
View chart 開富途
#50 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.14% Down57.2% Dn/Up55.3% / 8.1% Score65.6 DownOpp0.643
View chart 開富途