歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=320 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP>DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-06-05

Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午6:31 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 11

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=320

As-of 2026-06-05

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-06-05
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-06-05
DOE window 2026-04-21 → 2026-06-02
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午6:31 HKT
Rows 11
Excluded downtrends 1
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=709 Median 0.16%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.16% OOS median · n=709

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +25.24% ann. net · n=1158

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.74% exp · 72D WF

Opp study rows 26,014 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-15

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選;列出當日全部入榜標的(非僅 Top 5)。

25 檔(去重) 已參與

2026-06-02

8
  1. #1 TXN P75+6.55% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 5% Opp3.61 開富途
  2. #2 GE P75+3.69% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp3.575 開富途
  3. #3 JBL P75+5.17% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 15% Opp3.568 開富途
  4. #4 STX P75+5.73% 上漲比60% Up/Dn32.5% / 20% Opp3.541 開富途
  5. #5 EOG P75+3.34% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Opp3.531 開富途
  6. #6 MRNA P75+4.59% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp3.406 開富途
  7. #7 PTC P75+4.75% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Opp3.369 開富途
  8. #8 GNRC P75+3.50% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.279 開富途

2026-06-05

11
  1. #1 BKR P75+3.63% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.4% / 1.6% Opp3.686 開富途
  2. #2 ORCL P75+6.14% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn28.8% / 15.9% Opp3.585 開富途
  3. #3 MSFT P75+4.51% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn22.8% / 8.4% Opp3.579 開富途
  4. #4 FSLR P75+6.08% 上漲比60.9% Up/Dn28.4% / 15.6% Opp3.567 開富途
  5. #5 KLAC P75+6.09% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn30% / 14.1% Opp3.559 開富途
  6. #6 AMAT P75+5.68% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn28.4% / 14.7% Opp3.558 開富途
  7. #7 NXPI P75+5.64% 上漲比61.9% Up/Dn27.8% / 12.8% Opp3.515 開富途
  8. #8 MSI P75+4.23% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn20.9% / 6.3% Opp3.428 開富途
  9. #9 CDNS P75+5.48% 上漲比60% Up/Dn28.4% / 14.4% Opp3.261 開富途
  10. #10 AAPL P75+3.92% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 6.6% Opp3.247 開富途
  11. #11 XOM P75+3.51% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn11.9% / 1.6% Opp3.231 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.BKR P75+3.63% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.4% / 1.6% Opp3.686 開富途
  2. #2 US.ORCL P75+6.14% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn28.8% / 15.9% Opp3.585 開富途
  3. #3 US.MSFT P75+4.51% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn22.8% / 8.4% Opp3.579 開富途
  4. #4 US.FSLR P75+6.08% 上漲比60.9% Up/Dn28.4% / 15.6% Opp3.567 開富途
  5. #5 US.KLAC P75+6.09% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn30% / 14.1% Opp3.559 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序:歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP>DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.BKR Baker Hughes · Energy

+1.27%

P75+3.63% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.4% / 1.6% Score53.9 Opp3.686
View chart 開富途
#2 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

+1.62%

P75+6.14% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn28.8% / 15.9% Score71.4 Opp3.585
View chart 開富途
#3 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

+1.36%

P75+4.51% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn22.8% / 8.4% Score59.1 Opp3.579
View chart 開富途
#4 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

+1.57%

P75+6.08% 上漲比60.9% Up/Dn28.4% / 15.6% Score72.1 Opp3.567
View chart 開富途
#5 US.KLAC KLA Corporation · Information Technology

+1.47%

P75+6.09% 上漲比60.6% Up/Dn30% / 14.1% Score75.3 Opp3.559
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AMAT Applied Materials · Information Technology

+1.57%

P75+5.68% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn28.4% / 14.7% Score72.8 Opp3.558
View chart 開富途
#7 US.NXPI NXP Semiconductors · Information Technology

+1.44%

P75+5.64% 上漲比61.9% Up/Dn27.8% / 12.8% Score64.1 Opp3.515
View chart 開富途
#8 US.MSI Motorola Solutions · Information Technology

+1.30%

P75+4.23% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn20.9% / 6.3% Score63 Opp3.428
View chart 開富途
#9 US.CDNS Cadence Design Systems · Information Technology

+1.38%

P75+5.48% 上漲比60% Up/Dn28.4% / 14.4% Score76.7 Opp3.261
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AAPL Apple Inc. · Information Technology

+1.23%

P75+3.92% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn18.8% / 6.6% Score70.5 Opp3.247
View chart 開富途
#11 US.XOM ExxonMobil · Energy

+1.02%

P75+3.51% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn11.9% / 1.6% Score50.9 Opp3.231
View chart 開富途