S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.VLTO · -2.48% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.48%

Top down rate80%

Top P25-4.09%

DOE score2.303

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-2.48%

P25-4.09% Down80% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score53.8 DownOpp5.199

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#2 US.ES Eversource Energy · Utilities

-1.28%

P25-2.12% Down80% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score73.2 DownOpp3.661

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#3 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-1.89%

P25-3.60% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score75.1 DownOpp3.427

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#4 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-1.31%

P25-3.31% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score58.6 DownOpp2.798

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#5 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-1.43%

P25-3.66% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score52.9 DownOpp2.348

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#6 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.90%

P25-2.53% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score60.7 DownOpp2.177

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#7 US.BMY Bristol Myers Squibb · Health Care

-1.02%

P25-2.34% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score60.9 DownOpp2.048

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#8 US.CMS CMS Energy · Utilities

-1.35%

P25-2.24% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score70.1 DownOpp2.034

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#9 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-1.45%

P25-2.71% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score64.9 DownOpp1.991

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#10 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-4.99% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score45.8 DownOpp1.974

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#11 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-1.28%

P25-3.15% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score90.4 DownOpp1.939

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#12 US.PKG Packaging Corporation of America · Materials

-1.46%

P25-2.98% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score61.4 DownOpp1.895

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#13 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.85%

P25-2.30% Down65% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score58.8 DownOpp1.884

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#14 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-1.08%

P25-2.64% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score62.4 DownOpp1.872

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#15 US.OKE Oneok · Energy

-0.98%

P25-3.89% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score52.8 DownOpp1.857

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#16 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.80%

P25-1.66% Down65% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score63.6 DownOpp1.788

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#17 US.NEM Newmont · Materials

-1.39%

P25-2.67% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 17.5% Score66.3 DownOpp1.71

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#18 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

-0.84%

P25-2.51% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score56.8 DownOpp1.692

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#19 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.57%

P25-1.05% Down65% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score55.1 DownOpp1.619

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#20 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.75%

P25-1.55% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score62.8 DownOpp1.517

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#21 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-2.24% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score66.4 DownOpp1.472

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#22 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-0.77%

P25-1.48% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score58.1 DownOpp1.354

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#23 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.55% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score59.7 DownOpp1.32

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#24 US.OTIS Otis Worldwide · Industrials

-0.67%

P25-1.97% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score53.1 DownOpp1.314

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#25 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-1.27%

P25-2.92% Down60% Dn/Up520% / 15% Score84.6 DownOpp1.265

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#26 US.BLK BlackRock · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.22% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score61.3 DownOpp1.215

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#27 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-0.77%

P25-2.04% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score68.4 DownOpp1.167

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#28 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-0.73%

P25-2.45% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score54 DownOpp1.138

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#29 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-1.18%

P25-2.41% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 12.5% Score71.3 DownOpp1.098

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#30 US.DD DuPont · Materials

-0.88%

P25-3.10% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 12.5% Score58 DownOpp1.07

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#31 US.TJX TJX Companies · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.18% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score70.6 DownOpp1.066

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#32 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.69%

P25-1.82% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 7.5% Score62 DownOpp1.03

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#33 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.54%

P25-2.01% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score57.5 DownOpp1.011

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#34 US.PCAR Paccar · Industrials

-0.69%

P25-1.96% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score56.3 DownOpp1.008

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#35 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-0.46%

P25-2.16% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score71.5 DownOpp0.964

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#36 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.46%

P25-2.17% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score65.2 DownOpp0.964

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#37 US.APD Air Products · Materials

-0.94%

P25-2.28% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 12.5% Score53.1 DownOpp0.962

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#38 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-1.90% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score55.2 DownOpp0.961

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#39 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.62%

P25-2.28% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score64 DownOpp0.96

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#40 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-1.02%

P25-2.18% Down62.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 20% Score57.8 DownOpp0.932

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#41 US.PRU Prudential Financial · Financials

-0.74%

P25-1.48% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score57.7 DownOpp0.927

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#42 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.46%

P25-1.97% Down57.5% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score66.5 DownOpp0.904

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#43 US.MRSH Marsh McLennan · Financials

-0.34%

P25-1.18% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score55.3 DownOpp0.87

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#44 US.V Visa Inc. · Financials

-0.32%

P25-1.21% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score60.8 DownOpp0.817

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#45 US.HAS Hasbro · Consumer Discretionary

-0.47%

P25-2.45% Down52.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score46.8 DownOpp0.782

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#46 US.RTX RTX Corporation · Industrials

-0.46%

P25-1.75% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score68.8 DownOpp0.781

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#47 US.TFC Truist Financial · Financials

-0.47%

P25-1.21% Down57.5% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score61.1 DownOpp0.764

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#48 US.YUM Yum! Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.59% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score54.7 DownOpp0.737

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#49 US.VZ Verizon · Communication Services

-0.33%

P25-2.51% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score70.6 DownOpp0.728

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#50 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-1.70% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score61.1 DownOpp0.717

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.VLTO · -2.48% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking