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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-05-28

Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午4:52 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 7

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-05-28

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-28
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-28
DOE window 2026-04-13 → 2026-05-22
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午4:52 HKT
Rows 7
Excluded downtrends 4
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=709 Median 0.16%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.16% OOS median · n=709

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +25.24% ann. net · n=1158

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.74% exp · 72D WF

Opp study rows 26,014 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-15

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 35 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-05-21

19 檔
  1. #1 ANET P75+5.32% 上漲比64.6% Up/Dn26% / 13% Opp3.696 開富途
  2. #2 HPQ P75+5.77% 上漲比61.8% Up/Dn28.8% / 14.4% Opp3.679 開富途
  3. #3 KLAC P75+4.40% 上漲比64.4% Up/Dn21.4% / 11.2% Opp3.672 開富途
  4. #4 HPE P75+4.60% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn23.4% / 10.8% Opp3.666 開富途
  5. #5 LITE P75+4.88% 上漲比65.2% Up/Dn24% / 12.4% Opp3.655 開富途
  6. #6 ORCL P75+4.38% 上漲比64% Up/Dn22% / 11.2% Opp3.654 開富途
  7. #7 AMD P75+4.69% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn22.4% / 12% Opp3.578 開富途
  8. #8 KEYS P75+5.31% 上漲比64.8% Up/Dn25.8% / 13.6% Opp3.565 開富途
  9. #9 CSCO P75+5.37% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn26.8% / 14.4% Opp3.56 開富途
  10. #10 WDC P75+4.64% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn22.4% / 12.2% Opp3.484 開富途
  11. #11 STX P75+5.35% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn27% / 14.4% Opp3.483 開富途
  12. #12 VRSN P75+5.12% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn25.6% / 12% Opp3.419 開富途
  13. #13 JBL P75+4.72% 上漲比63.2% Up/Dn23.6% / 13% Opp3.38 開富途
  14. #14 NVDA P75+5.29% 上漲比61% Up/Dn26.2% / 13.4% Opp3.332 開富途
  15. #15 NXPI P75+4.35% 上漲比62.6% Up/Dn22% / 11.8% Opp3.321 開富途
  16. #16 DELL P75+5.17% 上漲比61.6% Up/Dn25.4% / 13.8% Opp3.311 開富途
  17. #17 ADI P75+5.02% 上漲比62.2% Up/Dn25.2% / 14% Opp3.272 開富途
  18. #18 IBM P75+4.54% 上漲比60.4% Up/Dn22.8% / 9% Opp3.218 開富途
  19. #19 TXN P75+3.61% 上漲比63.6% Up/Dn17.8% / 7% Opp3.208 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.TKO P75+3.69% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.526 開富途
  2. #2 US.FTNT P75+5.65% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 7.5% Opp3.518 開富途
  3. #3 US.BIIB P75+3.26% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Opp3.514 開富途
  4. #4 US.MSFT P75+4.49% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.489 開富途
  5. #5 US.GEN P75+3.28% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.334 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.TKO TKO Group Holdings · Communication Services

+1.26%

P75+3.69% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score85.8 Opp3.526
View chart 開富途
#2 US.FTNT Fortinet · Information Technology

+1.07%

P75+5.65% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 7.5% Score64.7 Opp3.518
View chart 開富途
#3 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

+1.69%

P75+3.26% 上漲比60% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score67.9 Opp3.514
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

+1.30%

P75+4.49% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score75.5 Opp3.489
View chart 開富途
#5 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

+1.27%

P75+3.28% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score65.9 Opp3.334
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

+1.20%

P75+3.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score69.3 Opp3.292
View chart 開富途
#7 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

+1.27%

P75+2.84% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score67.6 Opp3.287
View chart 開富途