S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.SYY · -0.84% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.84%

Top down rate61%

Top P25-3.34%

DOE score3.054

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.SYY Sysco · Consumer Staples

-0.84%

P25-3.34% Down61% Dn/Up513% / 3.4% Score49.8 DownOpp1.977

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#2 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.88%

P25-2.82% Down61.2% Dn/Up57.2% / 2.4% Score54.1 DownOpp1.931

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#3 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

-0.83%

P25-2.58% Down61.8% Dn/Up55.4% / 1.6% Score58.6 DownOpp1.884

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#4 US.ADM Archer Daniels Midland · Consumer Staples

-0.90%

P25-3.00% Down59.2% Dn/Up510.4% / 3.8% Score57.6 DownOpp1.726

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#5 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.94%

P25-3.37% Down59% Dn/Up513.6% / 8.8% Score42.9 DownOpp1.653

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#6 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.57% Down60.6% Dn/Up55.4% / 2.4% Score56.8 DownOpp1.64

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#7 US.PAYX Paychex · Industrials

-0.72%

P25-2.82% Down59.2% Dn/Up56.2% / 2.6% Score53.8 DownOpp1.602

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#8 US.DXCM Dexcom · Health Care

-0.77%

P25-2.57% Down59.6% Dn/Up55.4% / 2.8% Score55 DownOpp1.6

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#9 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.60%

P25-2.64% Down59.6% Dn/Up56.8% / 1.2% Score60.8 DownOpp1.5

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#10 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

-0.66%

P25-2.79% Down58.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 2.6% Score50.9 DownOpp1.492

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#11 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.51% Down59.4% Dn/Up54.8% / 1.6% Score58.8 DownOpp1.492

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#12 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.44% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 1.8% Score62.4 DownOpp1.484

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#13 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.58% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.6% / 1.8% Score54.7 DownOpp1.481

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#14 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.42% Down59.8% Dn/Up54.6% / 1.6% Score69 DownOpp1.455

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#15 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.66%

P25-2.49% Down59.4% Dn/Up56% / 3% Score53.9 DownOpp1.45

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#16 US.BBY Best Buy · Consumer Discretionary

-0.57%

P25-3.31% Down59.2% Dn/Up511.6% / 5.8% Score47.3 DownOpp1.431

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#17 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.59%

P25-2.49% Down59.4% Dn/Up54.2% / 2% Score56.8 DownOpp1.418

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#18 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.60%

P25-2.51% Down59.4% Dn/Up54.2% / 1.4% Score65.3 DownOpp1.406

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#19 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.44% Down59.2% Dn/Up54.4% / 1.4% Score66.6 DownOpp1.373

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#20 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.48% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.8% / 2.2% Score52.4 DownOpp1.359

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#21 US.GD General Dynamics · Industrials

-0.61%

P25-2.73% Down57.6% Dn/Up56.4% / 2.8% Score50.8 DownOpp1.352

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#22 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.60% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.2% / 1% Score61.9 DownOpp1.35

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#23 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.67%

P25-3.29% Down57% Dn/Up511% / 4.4% Score58.8 DownOpp1.348

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#24 US.STE Steris · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.36% Down59% Dn/Up54.8% / 1.6% Score65.9 DownOpp1.33

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#25 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.61%

P25-2.78% Down56.8% Dn/Up56.4% / 2.8% Score52.3 DownOpp1.289

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#26 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.42% Down58.6% Dn/Up55% / 2% Score67.3 DownOpp1.278

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#27 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

-0.71%

P25-2.76% Down57.6% Dn/Up58.2% / 4.8% Score59.6 DownOpp1.273

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#28 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.34% Down58.6% Dn/Up54% / 1.2% Score73.1 DownOpp1.263

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#29 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

-0.62%

P25-2.75% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.4% / 4% Score58 DownOpp1.256

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#30 US.KO Coca-Cola Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.56%

P25-2.67% Down57% Dn/Up57.8% / 2.2% Score54 DownOpp1.251

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#31 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.66%

P25-2.42% Down57.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 2.8% Score58.7 DownOpp1.249

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#32 US.MGM MGM Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.55%

P25-3.21% Down57.8% Dn/Up512% / 6% Score49.5 DownOpp1.245

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#33 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.45%

P25-2.68% Down57.4% Dn/Up56.2% / 1.8% Score48.3 DownOpp1.242

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#34 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.40% Down58% Dn/Up56.8% / 2.8% Score48.7 DownOpp1.227

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#35 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-0.62%

P25-3.07% Down57.4% Dn/Up511.2% / 6.6% Score50.1 DownOpp1.208

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#36 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.57%

P25-2.76% Down57% Dn/Up59.2% / 5% Score44 DownOpp1.19

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#37 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.38% Down58% Dn/Up53.8% / 2% Score59.9 DownOpp1.186

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#38 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.40% Down57.4% Dn/Up56.8% / 2.8% Score49.8 DownOpp1.16

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#39 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.42% Down57.8% Dn/Up55.4% / 2.6% Score63.7 DownOpp1.155

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#40 US.IQV IQVIA · Health Care

-0.66%

P25-2.68% Down56.4% Dn/Up57.6% / 4.2% Score58.9 DownOpp1.148

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#41 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.54%

P25-2.71% Down57.6% Dn/Up58.2% / 5% Score51.1 DownOpp1.142

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#42 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.48%

P25-2.51% Down57.8% Dn/Up57.6% / 4% Score47.1 DownOpp1.138

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#43 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.38% Down57.6% Dn/Up54% / 2.2% Score60.1 DownOpp1.13

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#44 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-0.50%

P25-2.53% Down55.6% Dn/Up55.2% / 2% Score47.3 DownOpp1.106

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#45 US.KR Kroger · Consumer Staples

-0.38%

P25-2.67% Down56.8% Dn/Up56.6% / 2% Score49.6 DownOpp1.1

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#46 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.50%

P25-2.86% Down56.4% Dn/Up510.4% / 5.4% Score41.7 DownOpp1.09

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#47 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-3.24% Down57.2% Dn/Up512.6% / 8% Score56.2 DownOpp1.085

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#48 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.38%

P25-2.59% Down56.8% Dn/Up56.6% / 2.4% Score49.9 DownOpp1.053

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#49 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.62%

P25-2.65% Down57% Dn/Up510.8% / 5.6% Score64.2 DownOpp1.025

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#50 US.FAST Fastenal · Industrials

-0.54%

P25-2.70% Down56.6% Dn/Up56.4% / 4.8% Score57.6 DownOpp1.023

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=500

US.SYY · -0.84% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking