S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.STLD · -2.87% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.87%

Top down rate87.5%

Top P25-6.13%

DOE score2.367

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.STLD Steel Dynamics · Materials

-2.87%

P25-6.13% Down87.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score43.8 DownOpp6.774

View chart 開富途

#2 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-2.66%

P25-3.90% Down90% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score44.4 DownOpp6.502

View chart 開富途

#3 US.PKG Packaging Corporation of America · Materials

-2.48%

P25-4.21% Down87.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score45.3 DownOpp6.193

View chart 開富途

#4 US.AVY Avery Dennison · Materials

-2.32%

P25-3.60% Down90% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score45.1 DownOpp6.082

View chart 開富途

#5 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-2.48%

P25-3.89% Down87.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score43.2 DownOpp5.979

View chart 開富途

#6 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-3.46%

P25-5.07% Down75% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score40.6 DownOpp5.823

View chart 開富途

#7 US.NUE Nucor · Materials

-2.40%

P25-3.95% Down85% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score50.4 DownOpp5.81

View chart 開富途

#8 US.TXN Texas Instruments · Information Technology

-3.24%

P25-6.53% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 5% Score51.6 DownOpp5.786

View chart 開富途

#9 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-3.17%

P25-6.53% Down72.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 10% Score51.5 DownOpp5.616

View chart 開富途

#10 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-3.17%

P25-5.73% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 2.5% Score38.3 DownOpp5.565

View chart 開富途

#11 US.AAPL Apple Inc. · Information Technology

-3.10%

P25-5.79% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score55.2 DownOpp5.484

View chart 開富途

#12 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-2.03%

P25-3.85% Down85% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score51.6 DownOpp5.406

View chart 開富途

#13 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-2.66%

P25-4.93% Down77.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score45.5 DownOpp5.301

View chart 開富途

#14 US.MSI Motorola Solutions · Information Technology

-3.14%

P25-6.53% Down67.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 10% Score53.6 DownOpp5.171

View chart 開富途

#15 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-2.56%

P25-5.99% Down72.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 7.5% Score46 DownOpp5.063

View chart 開富途

#16 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-2.56%

P25-5.74% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score46.9 DownOpp4.993

View chart 開富途

#17 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-2.23%

P25-4.25% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score38.8 DownOpp4.852

View chart 開富途

#18 US.NSC Norfolk Southern · Industrials

-1.96%

P25-3.34% Down77.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score43.6 DownOpp4.668

View chart 開富途

#19 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.31%

P25-4.29% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score50.6 DownOpp4.503

View chart 開富途

#20 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.38%

P25-6.52% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 2.5% Score59.2 DownOpp4.416

View chart 開富途

#21 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-2.14%

P25-3.38% Down77.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score43.5 DownOpp4.409

View chart 開富途

#22 US.F Ford Motor Company · Consumer Discretionary

-2.33%

P25-4.30% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score48.5 DownOpp4.391

View chart 開富途

#23 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-3.14%

P25-6.11% Down62.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 15% Score55 DownOpp4.355

View chart 開富途

#24 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-2.27%

P25-4.22% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score38 DownOpp4.34

View chart 開富途

#25 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-2.48%

P25-4.32% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score47.3 DownOpp4.255

View chart 開富途

#26 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-1.38%

P25-6.51% Down72.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 2.5% Score57.9 DownOpp4.223

View chart 開富途

#27 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-1.93%

P25-4.44% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score51.8 DownOpp4.152

View chart 開富途

#28 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-2.47%

P25-5.35% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score45.2 DownOpp4.118

View chart 開富途

#29 US.GD General Dynamics · Industrials

-1.80%

P25-4.81% Down70% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score52.5 DownOpp4.059

View chart 開富途

#30 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-2.12%

P25-3.49% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score41.2 DownOpp4.034

View chart 開富途

#31 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-2.20%

P25-4.45% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score44.9 DownOpp4.026

View chart 開富途

#32 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.64%

P25-4.14% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score50.3 DownOpp3.948

View chart 開富途

#33 US.XYL Xylem Inc. · Industrials

-1.61%

P25-3.58% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score50 DownOpp3.93

View chart 開富途

#34 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-2.23%

P25-4.69% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score43.6 DownOpp3.876

View chart 開富途

#35 US.CSX CSX Corporation · Industrials

-1.50%

P25-4.15% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score46 DownOpp3.843

View chart 開富途

#36 US.URI United Rentals · Industrials

-2.03%

P25-3.07% Down70% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score38.7 DownOpp3.807

View chart 開富途

#37 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-2.20%

P25-4.32% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score46.6 DownOpp3.781

View chart 開富途

#38 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-2.31%

P25-3.69% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score48.3 DownOpp3.77

View chart 開富途

#39 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

-1.90%

P25-4.11% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score41.8 DownOpp3.764

View chart 開富途

#40 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-1.84%

P25-4.39% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score45.5 DownOpp3.746

View chart 開富途

#41 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.33%

P25-2.85% Down80% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score60.3 DownOpp3.69

View chart 開富途

#42 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-1.44%

P25-3.65% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score45.8 DownOpp3.659

View chart 開富途

#43 US.TXT Textron · Industrials

-1.71%

P25-4.09% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score51.1 DownOpp3.649

View chart 開富途

#44 US.WAB Wabtec · Industrials

-1.64%

P25-4.14% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score51.9 DownOpp3.586

View chart 開富途

#45 US.BALL Ball Corporation · Materials

-2.02%

P25-4.25% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score56.6 DownOpp3.558

View chart 開富途

#46 US.VMC Vulcan Materials Company · Materials

-1.93%

P25-3.95% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score56.9 DownOpp3.541

View chart 開富途

#47 US.GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) · Communication Services

-1.14%

P25-2.17% Down77.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score58.3 DownOpp3.445

View chart 開富途

#48 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-2.42%

P25-3.96% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score51.2 DownOpp3.426

View chart 開富途

#49 US.IEX IDEX Corporation · Industrials

-1.74%

P25-4.07% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score52.4 DownOpp3.415

View chart 開富途

#50 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.44%

P25-4.03% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score46.6 DownOpp3.398

View chart 開富途

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.STLD · -2.87% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking