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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-03-11
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-03-11
DOE window 2026-01-23 → 2026-03-06
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午5:43 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 157

Downside ranking

US.BX · -3.21% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.21%
Top down rate75%
Top P25-6.02%
DOE score2.36

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-3.21%

P25-6.02% Down75% Dn/Up537.5% / 10% Score45 DownOpp5.778
View chart 開富途
#2 US.AON Aon plc · Financials

-2.46%

P25-4.10% Down82.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score48.3 DownOpp5.723
View chart 開富途
#3 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-1.95%

P25-4.87% Down85% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score49.8 DownOpp5.594
View chart 開富途
#4 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

-2.35%

P25-4.61% Down77.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score47.1 DownOpp5.199
View chart 開富途
#5 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-3.12%

P25-5.62% Down70% Dn/Up532.5% / 10% Score47.6 DownOpp5.168
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-3.04%

P25-4.52% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score51.6 DownOpp4.983
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TXN Texas Instruments · Information Technology

-1.92%

P25-4.64% Down75% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score44.2 DownOpp4.749
View chart 開富途
#8 US.XYL Xylem Inc. · Industrials

-2.14%

P25-4.03% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score40 DownOpp4.698
View chart 開富途
#9 US.MRSH Marsh McLennan · Financials

-1.70%

P25-3.68% Down80% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score44.1 DownOpp4.689
View chart 開富途
#10 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

-2.14%

P25-5.07% Down72.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score54.9 DownOpp4.646
View chart 開富途
#11 US.C Citigroup · Financials

-2.08%

P25-3.70% Down75% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score43.5 DownOpp4.529
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-2.14%

P25-4.26% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score45.6 DownOpp4.513
View chart 開富途
#13 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-2.40%

P25-5.13% Down70% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score48.3 DownOpp4.47
View chart 開富途
#14 US.UPS United Parcel Service · Industrials

-1.85%

P25-4.19% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score38.7 DownOpp4.407
View chart 開富途
#15 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-1.51%

P25-3.36% Down80% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score49.6 DownOpp4.378
View chart 開富途
#16 US.TDY Teledyne Technologies · Information Technology

-1.94%

P25-4.33% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score52.8 DownOpp4.327
View chart 開富途
#17 US.GL Globe Life · Financials

-1.87%

P25-4.14% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score46.8 DownOpp4.154
View chart 開富途
#18 US.AMP Ameriprise Financial · Financials

-2.51%

P25-3.24% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score46.5 DownOpp4.071
View chart 開富途
#19 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-1.72%

P25-3.77% Down75% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score59.6 DownOpp4.065
View chart 開富途
#20 US.AXP American Express · Financials

-2.25%

P25-4.20% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score45.8 DownOpp4.057
View chart 開富途
#21 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-1.82%

P25-4.20% Down72.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score46.7 DownOpp4.02
View chart 開富途
#22 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-2.28%

P25-3.94% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score51.6 DownOpp3.978
View chart 開富途
#23 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-1.85%

P25-4.57% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score41.8 DownOpp3.929
View chart 開富途
#24 US.CRH CRH plc · Materials

-2.18%

P25-4.20% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score44.8 DownOpp3.894
View chart 開富途
#25 US.ITW Illinois Tool Works · Industrials

-1.61%

P25-3.96% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score42.8 DownOpp3.879
View chart 開富途
#26 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-1.81%

P25-3.86% Down72.5% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score53.7 DownOpp3.872
View chart 開富途
#27 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

-1.60%

P25-3.26% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score45.9 DownOpp3.871
View chart 開富途
#28 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-2.15%

P25-3.91% Down70% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score54.8 DownOpp3.867
View chart 開富途
#29 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-1.62%

P25-3.86% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score52.1 DownOpp3.844
View chart 開富途
#30 US.AVY Avery Dennison · Materials

-1.71%

P25-3.34% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score47.3 DownOpp3.84
View chart 開富途
#31 US.FTV Fortive · Industrials

-1.48%

P25-4.03% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score45.1 DownOpp3.749
View chart 開富途
#32 US.UAL United Airlines Holdings · Industrials

-1.70%

P25-4.66% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score40.8 DownOpp3.659
View chart 開富途
#33 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-2.00%

P25-4.72% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score47.9 DownOpp3.571
View chart 開富途
#34 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-1.69%

P25-4.51% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score46.8 DownOpp3.567
View chart 開富途
#35 US.STT State Street Corporation · Financials

-1.73%

P25-4.44% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score51.7 DownOpp3.552
View chart 開富途
#36 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-1.49%

P25-4.03% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score41 DownOpp3.54
View chart 開富途
#37 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-1.66%

P25-4.34% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score61 DownOpp3.538
View chart 開富途
#38 US.MMM 3M · Industrials

-1.48%

P25-3.48% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score43.8 DownOpp3.472
View chart 開富途
#39 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-2.18%

P25-4.20% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 15% Score42.4 DownOpp3.412
View chart 開富途
#40 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-1.19%

P25-3.95% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score49.3 DownOpp3.408
View chart 開富途
#41 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

-1.33%

P25-4.01% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score45 DownOpp3.395
View chart 開富途
#42 US.EG Everest Group · Financials

-1.65%

P25-4.29% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score46.8 DownOpp3.372
View chart 開富途
#43 US.IQV IQVIA · Health Care

-1.59%

P25-4.00% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score54.4 DownOpp3.282
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PKG Packaging Corporation of America · Materials

-2.18%

P25-4.10% Down62.5% Dn/Up520% / 10% Score44 DownOpp3.275
View chart 開富途
#45 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-1.58%

P25-2.93% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score42.4 DownOpp3.245
View chart 開富途
#46 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-1.29%

P25-3.46% Down72.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score54.7 DownOpp3.245
View chart 開富途
#47 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-1.75%

P25-2.98% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score43.2 DownOpp3.221
View chart 開富途
#48 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-1.98%

P25-4.32% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score39.2 DownOpp3.216
View chart 開富途
#49 US.SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation · Financials

-1.43%

P25-3.72% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score48.5 DownOpp3.196
View chart 開富途
#50 US.PPG PPG Industries · Materials

-2.18%

P25-4.11% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 15% Score45 DownOpp3.17
View chart 開富途