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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-29
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-29
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-26
DOE anchors 60
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午7:01 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 242

Downside ranking

US.HPQ · -1.09% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.09%
Top down rate72.5%
Top P25-4.22%
DOE score1.561

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

-1.09%

P25-4.22% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score46.8 DownOpp3.444
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-1.25%

P25-4.31% Down68.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 6.3% Score55.3 DownOpp3.039
View chart 開富途
#3 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-1.09%

P25-4.25% Down63.8% Dn/Up520% / 3.8% Score43.3 DownOpp2.704
View chart 開富途
#4 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.23%

P25-3.13% Down67.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 6.3% Score46.6 DownOpp2.685
View chart 開富途
#5 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-1.21%

P25-4.51% Down65% Dn/Up521.3% / 10% Score52.1 DownOpp2.547
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.35%

P25-3.37% Down58.8% Dn/Up515% / 1.3% Score55.7 DownOpp2.401
View chart 開富途
#7 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.91%

P25-2.64% Down65% Dn/Up58.8% / 0% Score53.8 DownOpp2.367
View chart 開富途
#8 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-1.50%

P25-3.39% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 3.8% Score55.5 DownOpp2.303
View chart 開富途
#9 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-1.04%

P25-3.14% Down63.8% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score48.7 DownOpp2.264
View chart 開富途
#10 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-0.76%

P25-4.26% Down58.8% Dn/Up516.3% / 1.3% Score49.1 DownOpp2.083
View chart 開富途
#11 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-1.23%

P25-3.25% Down58.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 3.8% Score58.4 DownOpp2.08
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.69%

P25-3.92% Down67.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 11.3% Score50.5 DownOpp2.013
View chart 開富途
#13 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-0.78%

P25-2.84% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score53.5 DownOpp1.939
View chart 開富途
#14 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.81%

P25-3.53% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 1.3% Score42.4 DownOpp1.897
View chart 開富途
#15 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-0.74%

P25-3.81% Down57.5% Dn/Up516.3% / 1.3% Score47.7 DownOpp1.857
View chart 開富途
#16 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.84%

P25-1.93% Down65% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score59.7 DownOpp1.847
View chart 開富途
#17 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-1.20%

P25-3.25% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score50.7 DownOpp1.836
View chart 開富途
#18 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-1.18%

P25-3.22% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 3.8% Score59.3 DownOpp1.816
View chart 開富途
#19 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-1.88% Down63.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score73.5 DownOpp1.733
View chart 開富途
#20 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.69%

P25-2.92% Down60% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score66.7 DownOpp1.72
View chart 開富途
#21 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.99%

P25-3.04% Down58.8% Dn/Up515% / 3.8% Score72.6 DownOpp1.682
View chart 開富途
#22 US.VZ Verizon · Communication Services

-0.68%

P25-1.75% Down63.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score67.1 DownOpp1.64
View chart 開富途
#23 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.27%

P25-3.25% Down56.3% Dn/Up516.3% / 8.8% Score59.1 DownOpp1.615
View chart 開富途
#24 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-1.25%

P25-4.31% Down58.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 16.3% Score59.1 DownOpp1.61
View chart 開富途
#25 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.67%

P25-1.84% Down63.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score56.6 DownOpp1.582
View chart 開富途
#26 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.70%

P25-2.41% Down63.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 7.5% Score53.5 DownOpp1.555
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-3.41% Down56.3% Dn/Up515% / 11.3% Score59.2 DownOpp1.484
View chart 開富途
#28 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.67%

P25-1.84% Down62.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score56.4 DownOpp1.479
View chart 開富途
#29 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

-0.62%

P25-2.33% Down61.3% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score55 DownOpp1.466
View chart 開富途
#30 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.03%

P25-3.10% Down55% Dn/Up511.3% / 5% Score59 DownOpp1.463
View chart 開富途
#31 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-0.45%

P25-2.01% Down61.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score52.9 DownOpp1.46
View chart 開富途
#32 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-3.33% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 11.3% Score57.7 DownOpp1.372
View chart 開富途
#33 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.63%

P25-1.86% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score51.7 DownOpp1.357
View chart 開富途
#34 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-0.61%

P25-3.29% Down61.3% Dn/Up515% / 11.3% Score50.2 DownOpp1.282
View chart 開富途
#35 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.62%

P25-2.71% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score47.6 DownOpp1.241
View chart 開富途
#36 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.68%

P25-3.47% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 8.8% Score53.7 DownOpp1.217
View chart 開富途
#37 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-0.42%

P25-2.23% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score51.8 DownOpp1.189
View chart 開富途
#38 US.AVB AvalonBay Communities · Real Estate

-0.50%

P25-2.18% Down58.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score63 DownOpp1.126
View chart 開富途
#39 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-0.64%

P25-3.25% Down55% Dn/Up511.3% / 6.3% Score61.4 DownOpp1.014
View chart 開富途
#40 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-0.36%

P25-2.65% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 2.5% Score49.7 DownOpp1.004
View chart 開富途
#41 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.62%

P25-2.28% Down55% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score59.7 DownOpp0.992
View chart 開富途
#42 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-0.91%

P25-4.08% Down55% Dn/Up518.8% / 15% Score62.2 DownOpp0.964
View chart 開富途
#43 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.51%

P25-2.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score53.3 DownOpp0.907
View chart 開富途
#44 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-1.77% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score46.3 DownOpp0.801
View chart 開富途
#45 US.JPM JPMorgan Chase · Financials

-0.29%

P25-1.59% Down56.3% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score54 DownOpp0.786
View chart 開富途
#46 US.VRSN Verisign · Information Technology

-0.38%

P25-3.07% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score61.9 DownOpp0.783
View chart 開富途
#47 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.39%

P25-1.67% Down55% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score57.6 DownOpp0.776
View chart 開富途
#48 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

-0.44%

P25-3.43% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 12.5% Score52.3 DownOpp0.755
View chart 開富途
#49 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.37% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score61.6 DownOpp0.711
View chart 開富途
#50 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-0.22%

P25-1.38% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score51.4 DownOpp0.683
View chart 開富途