Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-28
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-28
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-23
DOE anchors 56
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午7:03 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 233

Downside ranking

US.GDDY · -0.76% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.76%
Top down rate68.8%
Top P25-3.64%
DOE score1.664

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-0.76%

P25-3.64% Down68.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score47.4 DownOpp2.668
View chart 開富途
#2 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.95%

P25-3.81% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 1.3% Score49.2 DownOpp2.656
View chart 開富途
#3 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-0.96%

P25-2.79% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score52.1 DownOpp2.589
View chart 開富途
#4 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.94%

P25-3.27% Down66.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score43 DownOpp2.589
View chart 開富途
#5 US.VZ Verizon · Communication Services

-0.99%

P25-2.53% Down67.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score49 DownOpp2.577
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-0.95%

P25-3.53% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 1.3% Score50.6 DownOpp2.575
View chart 開富途
#7 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-1.04%

P25-3.70% Down65% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score44.8 DownOpp2.529
View chart 開富途
#8 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-0.95%

P25-2.96% Down65% Dn/Up511.3% / 1.3% Score53.6 DownOpp2.41
View chart 開富途
#9 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-0.87%

P25-3.71% Down63.8% Dn/Up516.3% / 3.8% Score42.9 DownOpp2.352
View chart 開富途
#10 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.96%

P25-1.98% Down67.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score62.2 DownOpp2.239
View chart 開富途
#11 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-0.79%

P25-3.39% Down61.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 1.3% Score45.7 DownOpp2.121
View chart 開富途
#12 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.12%

P25-3.47% Down58.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 2.5% Score57 DownOpp2.114
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-0.75%

P25-3.78% Down65% Dn/Up518.8% / 7.5% Score46.2 DownOpp2.098
View chart 開富途
#14 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-1.12%

P25-3.47% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score55.9 DownOpp2.068
View chart 開富途
#15 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.23%

P25-3.37% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 3.8% Score54.3 DownOpp2.037
View chart 開富途
#16 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-2.15% Down66.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score73.9 DownOpp2.027
View chart 開富途
#17 US.MCO Moody's Corporation · Financials

-0.51%

P25-2.32% Down66.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score53.8 DownOpp1.99
View chart 開富途
#18 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.62%

P25-1.85% Down63.8% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score51.2 DownOpp1.802
View chart 開富途
#19 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-0.72%

P25-3.39% Down58.8% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score44.3 DownOpp1.789
View chart 開富途
#20 US.MET MetLife · Financials

-0.58%

P25-2.04% Down63.8% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score55.5 DownOpp1.7
View chart 開富途
#21 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

-0.50%

P25-2.22% Down63.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.3% Score51.7 DownOpp1.693
View chart 開富途
#22 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-0.87%

P25-2.32% Down61.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 5% Score51.6 DownOpp1.667
View chart 開富途
#23 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-0.52%

P25-2.04% Down63.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.3% Score52.8 DownOpp1.66
View chart 開富途
#24 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.68%

P25-1.88% Down61.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score52.1 DownOpp1.585
View chart 開富途
#25 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.67%

P25-1.84% Down61.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score49.5 DownOpp1.585
View chart 開富途
#26 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.68%

P25-3.39% Down63.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 11.3% Score52.2 DownOpp1.562
View chart 開富途
#27 US.BAC Bank of America · Financials

-0.48%

P25-2.18% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score51.4 DownOpp1.562
View chart 開富途
#28 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

-0.43%

P25-1.70% Down63.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score54.8 DownOpp1.548
View chart 開富途
#29 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-0.80%

P25-2.92% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score59.5 DownOpp1.534
View chart 開富途
#30 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-2.15% Down61.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score74.2 DownOpp1.517
View chart 開富途
#31 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.67%

P25-2.48% Down61.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 5% Score50.9 DownOpp1.512
View chart 開富途
#32 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-0.45%

P25-1.68% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score52.2 DownOpp1.479
View chart 開富途
#33 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-0.45%

P25-2.35% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score50.3 DownOpp1.46
View chart 開富途
#34 US.HBAN Huntington Bancshares · Financials

-0.40%

P25-1.77% Down61.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score52.4 DownOpp1.353
View chart 開富途
#35 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-0.57%

P25-3.43% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 8.8% Score47 DownOpp1.347
View chart 開富途
#36 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.80%

P25-2.92% Down53.8% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score57.9 DownOpp1.322
View chart 開富途
#37 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.72%

P25-3.22% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score60.3 DownOpp1.277
View chart 開富途
#38 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-0.80%

P25-3.25% Down55% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score59.3 DownOpp1.268
View chart 開富途
#39 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.58%

P25-1.84% Down58.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score54.1 DownOpp1.26
View chart 開富途
#40 US.JPM JPMorgan Chase · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.74% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score52.4 DownOpp1.212
View chart 開富途
#41 US.WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation · Financials

-0.40%

P25-1.51% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score51.5 DownOpp1.191
View chart 開富途
#42 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-0.39%

P25-2.01% Down58.8% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score54.8 DownOpp1.185
View chart 開富途
#43 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

-0.61%

P25-3.39% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 11.3% Score53.4 DownOpp1.179
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.43%

P25-3.35% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 6.3% Score46.8 DownOpp1.139
View chart 開富途
#45 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.65% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score61.8 DownOpp1.105
View chart 開富途
#46 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-0.53%

P25-3.35% Down58.8% Dn/Up510% / 10% Score49.4 DownOpp1.101
View chart 開富途
#47 US.PGR Progressive Corporation · Financials

-0.68%

P25-2.57% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score77.3 DownOpp1.097
View chart 開富途
#48 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.64%

P25-3.39% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score54.4 DownOpp1.08
View chart 開富途
#49 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-0.30%

P25-2.23% Down56.3% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score47.7 DownOpp1.004
View chart 開富途
#50 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-0.45%

P25-2.37% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score42.5 DownOpp1
View chart 開富途