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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-27
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-27
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-22
DOE anchors 52
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午7:04 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 253

Downside ranking

US.TEL · -1.53% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.53%
Top down rate61.3%
Top P25-4.46%
DOE score1.555

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-1.53%

P25-4.46% Down61.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 7.5% Score56.4 DownOpp2.676
View chart 開富途
#2 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.45%

P25-3.47% Down60% Dn/Up513.8% / 2.5% Score56.8 DownOpp2.541
View chart 開富途
#3 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

-0.78%

P25-2.21% Down70% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score54 DownOpp2.45
View chart 開富途
#4 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.15%

P25-2.97% Down63.8% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score68.1 DownOpp2.336
View chart 開富途
#5 US.MA Mastercard · Financials

-0.62%

P25-2.06% Down68.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score51.2 DownOpp2.255
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.33%

P25-3.53% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 1.3% Score57.8 DownOpp2.205
View chart 開富途
#7 US.HBAN Huntington Bancshares · Financials

-0.56%

P25-2.35% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score50.5 DownOpp2.169
View chart 開富途
#8 US.V Visa Inc. · Financials

-0.56%

P25-2.04% Down67.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.3% Score50.9 DownOpp2.01
View chart 開富途
#9 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-1.41%

P25-3.64% Down58.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 11.3% Score54.3 DownOpp1.939
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

-0.50%

P25-1.44% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score52.8 DownOpp1.864
View chart 開富途
#11 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.62%

P25-2.61% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 1.3% Score46.4 DownOpp1.847
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-1.18%

P25-3.14% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score56.1 DownOpp1.82
View chart 開富途
#13 US.EG Everest Group · Financials

-0.63%

P25-1.91% Down65% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score54.8 DownOpp1.819
View chart 開富途
#14 US.L Loews Corporation · Financials

-0.51%

P25-2.18% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score49.8 DownOpp1.804
View chart 開富途
#15 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.20%

P25-3.82% Down60% Dn/Up513.8% / 11.3% Score63.4 DownOpp1.802
View chart 開富途
#16 US.VZ Verizon · Communication Services

-0.58%

P25-1.96% Down63.8% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score48.2 DownOpp1.734
View chart 開富途
#17 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.12%

P25-3.14% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 5% Score53.8 DownOpp1.706
View chart 開富途
#18 US.PRU Prudential Financial · Financials

-0.56%

P25-1.66% Down63.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score52.5 DownOpp1.685
View chart 開富途
#19 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-0.48%

P25-2.33% Down62.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 1.3% Score53.3 DownOpp1.585
View chart 開富途
#20 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-2.12% Down61.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 2.5% Score74.7 DownOpp1.584
View chart 開富途
#21 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-0.70%

P25-2.30% Down66.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 10% Score60.4 DownOpp1.526
View chart 開富途
#22 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.68%

P25-3.53% Down61.3% Dn/Up516.3% / 8.8% Score56.7 DownOpp1.513
View chart 開富途
#23 US.WFC Wells Fargo · Financials

-0.50%

P25-1.58% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score51 DownOpp1.513
View chart 開富途
#24 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-1.19%

P25-4.06% Down56.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 12.5% Score60.9 DownOpp1.502
View chart 開富途
#25 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.82% Down62.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 0% Score50.2 DownOpp1.449
View chart 開富途
#26 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.58%

P25-2.32% Down60% Dn/Up58.8% / 2.5% Score51.9 DownOpp1.421
View chart 開富途
#27 US.GL Globe Life · Financials

-0.40%

P25-1.70% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score54.2 DownOpp1.418
View chart 開富途
#28 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.59%

P25-2.62% Down60% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score44 DownOpp1.415
View chart 開富途
#29 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.45%

P25-2.31% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 1.3% Score48.8 DownOpp1.384
View chart 開富途
#30 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-0.67%

P25-2.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score56.3 DownOpp1.345
View chart 開富途
#31 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.69%

P25-3.48% Down58.8% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score45.9 DownOpp1.32
View chart 開富途
#32 US.ALL Allstate · Financials

-0.40%

P25-1.66% Down61.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score53.2 DownOpp1.32
View chart 開富途
#33 US.STT State Street Corporation · Financials

-0.41%

P25-1.65% Down61.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score55.2 DownOpp1.312
View chart 開富途
#34 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-0.88%

P25-3.14% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 5% Score53.4 DownOpp1.269
View chart 開富途
#35 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-0.45%

P25-1.68% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score54.1 DownOpp1.264
View chart 開富途
#36 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-1.10%

P25-3.54% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 13.8% Score55.5 DownOpp1.245
View chart 開富途
#37 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.72%

P25-3.62% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 8.8% Score61.2 DownOpp1.238
View chart 開富途
#38 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.55%

P25-1.74% Down58.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score50.5 DownOpp1.232
View chart 開富途
#39 US.CINF Cincinnati Financial · Financials

-0.39%

P25-1.52% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score47.9 DownOpp1.211
View chart 開富途
#40 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-0.70%

P25-3.25% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score54 DownOpp1.208
View chart 開富途
#41 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.63%

P25-2.01% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score57.3 DownOpp1.129
View chart 開富途
#42 US.HIG Hartford (The) · Financials

-0.36%

P25-1.44% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score54 DownOpp1.115
View chart 開富途
#43 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-0.67%

P25-3.48% Down56.3% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score47.6 DownOpp1.087
View chart 開富途
#44 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-0.34%

P25-2.45% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 2.5% Score45.3 DownOpp1.063
View chart 開富途
#45 US.BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway · Financials

-0.34%

P25-1.59% Down58.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score50.7 DownOpp1.061
View chart 開富途
#46 US.NXPI NXP Semiconductors · Information Technology

-0.51%

P25-3.25% Down55% Dn/Up513.8% / 3.8% Score58 DownOpp1.06
View chart 開富途
#47 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.33%

P25-1.65% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score58.9 DownOpp0.951
View chart 開富途
#48 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-0.35%

P25-2.72% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score67.3 DownOpp0.925
View chart 開富途
#49 US.T AT&T · Communication Services

-0.48%

P25-1.84% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score56.5 DownOpp0.92
View chart 開富途
#50 US.BAC Bank of America · Financials

-0.32%

P25-1.54% Down58.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score57 DownOpp0.903
View chart 開富途