Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=160

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-26
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-26
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-21
DOE anchors 48
Computed at 2026年7月10日 上午9:34 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 254

Downside ranking

US.WDAY · -1.09% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.09%
Top down rate63.1%
Top P25-4.13%
DOE score1.651

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.09%

P25-4.13% Down63.1% Dn/Up516.9% / 6.9% Score48.8 DownOpp2.391
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.10%

P25-4.13% Down61.9% Dn/Up515% / 8.1% Score49.1 DownOpp2.23
View chart 開富途
#3 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-3.88% Down61.3% Dn/Up516.9% / 8.1% Score49.7 DownOpp1.955
View chart 開富途
#4 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-3.78% Down60.6% Dn/Up514.4% / 7.5% Score48.8 DownOpp1.917
View chart 開富途
#5 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.20%

P25-3.37% Down59.4% Dn/Up515% / 8.1% Score54 DownOpp1.903
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.10%

P25-3.37% Down60% Dn/Up514.4% / 8.1% Score55.7 DownOpp1.839
View chart 開富途
#7 US.NXPI NXP Semiconductors · Information Technology

-1.04%

P25-3.55% Down60.6% Dn/Up516.3% / 8.8% Score55.3 DownOpp1.833
View chart 開富途
#8 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-1.01%

P25-3.39% Down56.9% Dn/Up515% / 6.3% Score53.4 DownOpp1.631
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.73%

P25-3.88% Down59.4% Dn/Up516.9% / 8.8% Score46.8 DownOpp1.573
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AAPL Apple Inc. · Information Technology

-0.72%

P25-3.08% Down58.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score58.8 DownOpp1.525
View chart 開富途
#11 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-3.37% Down58.1% Dn/Up513.1% / 8.8% Score55.9 DownOpp1.403
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-0.73%

P25-3.39% Down58.1% Dn/Up514.4% / 7.5% Score51.4 DownOpp1.39
View chart 開富途
#13 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-0.69%

P25-3.47% Down58.1% Dn/Up513.8% / 8.8% Score45 DownOpp1.34
View chart 開富途
#14 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-0.47%

P25-1.76% Down59.4% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score48.5 DownOpp1.22
View chart 開富途
#15 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-0.67%

P25-3.39% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 9.4% Score44.9 DownOpp1.217
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CINF Cincinnati Financial · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.74% Down59.4% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score51.1 DownOpp1.174
View chart 開富途
#17 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.40%

P25-1.76% Down59.4% Dn/Up54.4% / 0.6% Score51.8 DownOpp1.168
View chart 開富途
#18 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.57%

P25-2.23% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score55.4 DownOpp1.162
View chart 開富途
#19 US.RF Regions Financial Corporation · Financials

-0.45%

P25-1.73% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.9% Score54.2 DownOpp1.162
View chart 開富途
#20 US.JPM JPMorgan Chase · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.70% Down59.4% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score51.6 DownOpp1.16
View chart 開富途
#21 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.63%

P25-3.39% Down57.5% Dn/Up514.4% / 8.8% Score55.5 DownOpp1.133
View chart 開富途
#22 US.AON Aon plc · Financials

-0.35%

P25-1.83% Down58.8% Dn/Up54.4% / 0% Score50.9 DownOpp1.13
View chart 開富途
#23 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-0.67%

P25-3.29% Down57.5% Dn/Up514.4% / 10.6% Score44.2 DownOpp1.125
View chart 開富途
#24 US.ALL Allstate · Financials

-0.35%

P25-1.74% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 0% Score49.1 DownOpp1.121
View chart 開富途
#25 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.83% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 0.6% Score50.6 DownOpp1.116
View chart 開富途
#26 US.BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway · Financials

-0.31%

P25-2.24% Down58.1% Dn/Up53.8% / 0.6% Score50.2 DownOpp1.106
View chart 開富途
#27 US.PYPL PayPal · Financials

-0.38%

P25-1.83% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score52.6 DownOpp1.069
View chart 開富途
#28 US.VZ Verizon · Communication Services

-0.41%

P25-1.86% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score51 DownOpp1.047
View chart 開富途
#29 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-0.53%

P25-2.17% Down56.9% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.1% Score54.1 DownOpp1.033
View chart 開富途
#30 US.STT State Street Corporation · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.71% Down58.1% Dn/Up53.8% / 0.6% Score50.6 DownOpp1.03
View chart 開富途
#31 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.73%

P25-3.14% Down55.6% Dn/Up513.8% / 8.8% Score55 DownOpp1.023
View chart 開富途
#32 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.54%

P25-3.37% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.9% / 7.5% Score58.9 DownOpp0.995
View chart 開富途
#33 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.43%

P25-1.69% Down58.1% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.9% Score56.1 DownOpp0.966
View chart 開富途
#34 US.BAC Bank of America · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.68% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 0.6% Score52.8 DownOpp0.958
View chart 開富途
#35 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

-0.37%

P25-1.76% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score54.2 DownOpp0.926
View chart 開富途
#36 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-0.38%

P25-1.83% Down58.1% Dn/Up56.9% / 3.1% Score51 DownOpp0.917
View chart 開富途
#37 US.ZBRA Zebra Technologies · Information Technology

-0.65%

P25-3.14% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.1% / 11.3% Score47.2 DownOpp0.907
View chart 開富途
#38 US.HBAN Huntington Bancshares · Financials

-0.35%

P25-1.74% Down57.5% Dn/Up54.4% / 1.9% Score50.8 DownOpp0.89
View chart 開富途
#39 US.WFC Wells Fargo · Financials

-0.30%

P25-1.67% Down56.9% Dn/Up53.1% / 0.6% Score46.6 DownOpp0.884
View chart 開富途
#40 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-0.34%

P25-1.72% Down56.9% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score50.3 DownOpp0.867
View chart 開富途
#41 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

-0.30%

P25-1.67% Down56.9% Dn/Up53.1% / 0.6% Score50.2 DownOpp0.857
View chart 開富途
#42 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-3.41% Down55.6% Dn/Up514.4% / 11.3% Score38.4 DownOpp0.835
View chart 開富途
#43 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.26%

P25-1.69% Down56.9% Dn/Up53.1% / 0.6% Score50.3 DownOpp0.821
View chart 開富途
#44 US.EG Everest Group · Financials

-0.41%

P25-1.73% Down56.9% Dn/Up53.1% / 2.5% Score57 DownOpp0.817
View chart 開富途
#45 US.PRU Prudential Financial · Financials

-0.34%

P25-1.67% Down56.9% Dn/Up54.4% / 2.5% Score45.7 DownOpp0.817
View chart 開富途
#46 US.DELL Dell Technologies · Information Technology

-0.66%

P25-2.80% Down57.5% Dn/Up510.6% / 13.1% Score48.2 DownOpp0.813
View chart 開富途
#47 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.66%

P25-2.29% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score79.9 DownOpp0.805
View chart 開富途
#48 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-0.34%

P25-1.96% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.9% / 4.4% Score48.7 DownOpp0.801
View chart 開富途
#49 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.60%

P25-2.76% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.1% / 9.4% Score57.3 DownOpp0.8
View chart 開富途
#50 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-0.31%

P25-1.68% Down56.3% Dn/Up51.9% / 0.6% Score53.6 DownOpp0.796
View chart 開富途