S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.ADSK · -1.97% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.97%

Top down rate70.8%

Top P25-4.42%

DOE score2.678

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.97%

P25-4.42% Down70.8% Dn/Up518.3% / 3.3% Score49 DownOpp4.174

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#2 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.76%

P25-4.50% Down71.7% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score45.9 DownOpp3.977

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#3 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-1.65%

P25-4.31% Down68.3% Dn/Up519.2% / 5% Score50 DownOpp3.516

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#4 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.21% Down68.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score50.1 DownOpp3.421

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#5 US.FTNT Fortinet · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.13% Down68.3% Dn/Up516.7% / 5% Score50.2 DownOpp3.4

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#6 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.37% Down67.5% Dn/Up518.3% / 5.8% Score49.6 DownOpp3.353

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#7 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.21% Down67.5% Dn/Up516.7% / 5.8% Score50.8 DownOpp3.304

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#8 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-1.66%

P25-4.21% Down65.8% Dn/Up516.7% / 5.8% Score53.7 DownOpp3.226

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#9 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-1.54%

P25-4.31% Down65.8% Dn/Up519.2% / 5.8% Score50.4 DownOpp3.155

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#10 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.13% Down65.8% Dn/Up515% / 6.7% Score52.5 DownOpp3.081

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#11 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.13% Down65% Dn/Up516.7% / 5.8% Score53.9 DownOpp3.06

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#12 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-1.36%

P25-4.09% Down68.3% Dn/Up515.8% / 7.5% Score46.6 DownOpp3.047

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#13 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-1.21%

P25-4.14% Down68.3% Dn/Up516.7% / 7.5% Score41.3 DownOpp2.949

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#14 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-1.51%

P25-4.13% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 6.7% Score52.8 DownOpp2.944

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#15 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.50%

P25-4.13% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 6.7% Score52.3 DownOpp2.938

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#16 US.NXPI NXP Semiconductors · Information Technology

-1.46%

P25-4.26% Down65.8% Dn/Up520% / 9.2% Score52.4 DownOpp2.844

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#17 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.40%

P25-3.55% Down68.3% Dn/Up515% / 8.3% Score54.6 DownOpp2.844

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#18 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-1.46%

P25-4.18% Down63.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 5.8% Score54.3 DownOpp2.814

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#19 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.54%

P25-3.56% Down64.2% Dn/Up516.7% / 5.8% Score56.4 DownOpp2.795

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#20 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-3.88% Down67.5% Dn/Up515.8% / 8.3% Score48 DownOpp2.762

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#21 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-3.68% Down67.5% Dn/Up515.8% / 8.3% Score48.3 DownOpp2.71

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#22 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-4.01% Down62.5% Dn/Up516.7% / 7.5% Score57.8 DownOpp2.699

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#23 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

-1.21%

P25-4.09% Down65.8% Dn/Up515.8% / 8.3% Score44.6 DownOpp2.664

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#24 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.03%

P25-1.91% Down70% Dn/Up55.8% / 0.8% Score56.3 DownOpp2.637

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#25 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

-1.47%

P25-3.62% Down63.3% Dn/Up516.7% / 8.3% Score54.1 DownOpp2.535

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#26 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.20%

P25-4.09% Down64.2% Dn/Up515% / 8.3% Score47.2 DownOpp2.507

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#27 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-1.03%

P25-2.12% Down67.5% Dn/Up58.3% / 1.7% Score48.8 DownOpp2.492

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#28 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-1.13%

P25-2.42% Down68.3% Dn/Up55.8% / 4.2% Score62.7 DownOpp2.477

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#29 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-1.15%

P25-3.88% Down64.2% Dn/Up515.8% / 7.5% Score45.8 DownOpp2.463

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#30 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-1.15%

P25-3.88% Down64.2% Dn/Up515.8% / 7.5% Score46.2 DownOpp2.46

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#31 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-3.39% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 8.3% Score48.7 DownOpp2.434

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#32 US.VZ Verizon · Communication Services

-0.94%

P25-2.58% Down65.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.7% Score43.3 DownOpp2.422

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#33 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.13%

P25-2.81% Down66.7% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score49.5 DownOpp2.347

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#34 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-4.14% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 9.2% Score60.3 DownOpp2.281

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#35 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

-1.45%

P25-3.55% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 6.7% Score56.7 DownOpp2.11

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#36 US.AAPL Apple Inc. · Information Technology

-1.31%

P25-3.82% Down59.2% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score59.1 DownOpp2.108

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#37 US.BLK BlackRock · Financials

-0.86%

P25-2.49% Down65% Dn/Up58.3% / 0% Score76.9 DownOpp2.106

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#38 US.DELL Dell Technologies · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-3.47% Down63.3% Dn/Up515% / 11.7% Score53.6 DownOpp2.077

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#39 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-1.27%

P25-3.91% Down62.5% Dn/Up515.8% / 12.5% Score58.7 DownOpp2.057

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#40 US.LYV Live Nation Entertainment · Communication Services

-0.86%

P25-1.93% Down64.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 0.8% Score51.7 DownOpp2.043

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#41 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-1.24%

P25-3.20% Down61.7% Dn/Up512.5% / 10% Score52.1 DownOpp1.985

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#42 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.05%

P25-2.07% Down65.8% Dn/Up58.3% / 7.5% Score54.2 DownOpp1.975

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#43 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

-1.23%

P25-3.99% Down60% Dn/Up516.7% / 10% Score61.2 DownOpp1.968

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#44 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.86%

P25-1.94% Down63.3% Dn/Up55.8% / 1.7% Score50.3 DownOpp1.93

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#45 US.CDNS Cadence Design Systems · Information Technology

-1.35%

P25-3.47% Down56.7% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score56.4 DownOpp1.881

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#46 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.75%

P25-1.84% Down65% Dn/Up51.7% / 0.8% Score64.3 DownOpp1.88

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#47 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-1.18%

P25-3.47% Down56.7% Dn/Up514.2% / 5.8% Score54.6 DownOpp1.826

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#48 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-0.79%

P25-2.56% Down60.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score74.5 DownOpp1.735

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#49 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-1.12%

P25-3.09% Down60% Dn/Up511.7% / 10% Score54.3 DownOpp1.685

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#50 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.75%

P25-2.33% Down60.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score48.7 DownOpp1.681

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=120

US.ADSK · -1.97% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking