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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=120 · horizon 3D · 已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原：3.4–3.9 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原：3.4–3.9 （上限為半開區間）。 勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部，或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-01-20

Computed at 2026年7月10日 上午9:38 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

Filters
View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 3

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=120

As-of 2026-01-20

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-20
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-20
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-14
DOE anchors 32
Computed at 2026年7月10日 上午9:38 HKT
Rows 3
Excluded downtrends 0
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.4–3.9

OOS n=619 Median 0.07%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.4–3.9

+0.07% OOS median · n=619

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +1.55% ann. net · n=722

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.33% exp · 73D WF

Opp study rows 25,268 with outcomes

1,506 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-21

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日優先用當日穩定 Opp 高原；唔合格就沿用上一日。其餘篩選與本頁相同。列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 7 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

01-15

0檔 3.4–3.9

Materialized projections exist but none pass the current filters.

01-16

0檔 3.4–3.9

Materialized projections exist but none pass the current filters.

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.EQR P75+2.72% 上漲比70.8% Up/Dn10.8% / 0.8% Opp3.886 開富途
  2. #2 US.MU P75+4.81% 上漲比63.3% Up/Dn23.3% / 10.8% Opp3.717 開富途
  3. #3 US.JBL P75+4.77% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn24.2% / 10.8% Opp3.665 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原：3.4–3.9 （上限為半開區間）。 勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部，或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.EQR Equity Residential · Real Estate

+1.19%

P75+2.72% 上漲比70.8% Up/Dn10.8% / 0.8% Score53.3 Opp3.886
View chart 開富途
#2 US.MU Micron Technology · Information Technology

+1.50%

P75+4.81% 上漲比63.3% Up/Dn23.3% / 10.8% Score79.8 Opp3.717
View chart 開富途
#3 US.JBL Jabil · Information Technology

+1.32%

P75+4.77% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn24.2% / 10.8% Score88.6 Opp3.665
View chart 開富途