Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-10-06 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 109 | 77 / 32 | 13 | 16.9% | 2.17x | +5.15% | -6.93% |
| Grade B | 43 | 32 / 11 | 1 | 3.1% | 0.4x | +4.39% | -7.49% |
| Grade D | 3495 | 2502 / 993 | 153 | 6.1% | 0.78x | +3.42% | -5.68% |
| Grade F | 9862 | 6393 / 3469 | 531 | 8.3% | 1.06x | +3.88% | -5.36% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 57 | 43 / 14 | 25.6% | 3.28x | 2.72x | 40% · 10 checked | +5.94% | -8.10% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 111 | 71 / 40 | 32.4% | 4.15x | 3.82x | 37.5% · 24 checked | +8.49% | -5.91% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 112 | 72 / 40 | 31.9% | 4.09x | 3.74x | 37.5% · 24 checked | +8.43% | -5.87% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 112 | 72 / 40 | 31.9% | 4.09x | 3.74x | 37.5% · 24 checked | +8.43% | -5.87% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 190 | 122 / 68 | 28.7% | 3.68x | 3.28x | 36.1% · 36 checked | +7.92% | -5.44% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 192 | 123 / 69 | 28.5% | 3.65x | 3.24x | 36.1% · 36 checked | +7.88% | -5.42% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 192 | 123 / 69 | 28.5% | 3.65x | 3.24x | 36.1% · 36 checked | +7.88% | -5.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 50 | 37 / 13 | 27% | 3.46x | 2.78x | 35.7% · 14 checked | +6.34% | -7.70% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 162 | 111 / 51 | 23.4% | 3x | 2.56x | 34.6% · 26 checked | +5.92% | -6.98% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 324 | 225 / 99 | 14.7% | 1.88x | 1.47x | 32.4% · 34 checked | +4.96% | -6.34% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 60 | 42 / 18 | 31% | 3.97x | 3.95x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +7.16% | -7.50% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 60 | 42 / 18 | 31% | 3.97x | 3.95x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +7.16% | -7.50% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 60 | 42 / 18 | 31% | 3.97x | 3.95x | 31.3% · 16 checked | +7.16% | -7.50% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 94 | 71 / 23 | 16.9% | 2.17x | 1.77x | 30.8% · 13 checked | +5.38% | -7.31% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 | 302 | 231 / 71 | 13% | 1.67x | 1.24x | 30.6% · 36 checked | +4.64% | -6.21% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 89 | 62 / 27 | 13 | 21% | 2.69x | 23.5% · 17 checked | +5.54% | -7.69% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 100 | 76 / 24 | 12 | 15.8% | 2.03x | 28.6% · 14 checked | +5.16% | -7.41% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 153 | 110 / 43 | 14 | 12.7% | 1.63x | 16% · 25 checked | +4.85% | -7.21% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2018 | 1573 / 445 | 138 | 8.8% | 1.13x | 15% · 180 checked | +4.20% | -5.72% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.MRVL Marvell Technology | A 82 | 104.4 65.4/110 · 39/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.ANET Arista Networks | A 84.6 | 99.6 66.6/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices | A 81.3 | 96.1 64.1/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.LITE Lumentum | A 79.4 | 92.3 61.3/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | A 79.7 | 90.4 58.4/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.CIEN Ciena | A 80.2 | 107.5 61.5/110 · 46/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.PWR Quanta Services | A 80 | 101 65/110 · 36/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.VST Vistra Corp. | A 81.8 | 98 57/110 · 41/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.CSCO Cisco | A 80.4 | 95.2 61.2/110 · 34/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.AVGO Broadcom | A 80.5 | 91.5 61.5/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.FIX Comfort Systems USA | B 76.5 | 96.4 63.4/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.TRMB Trimble Inc. | B 71.6 | 90.1 57.1/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.SATS EchoStar | B 70.8 | 84.2 52.2/110 · 32/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 212 | 156 / 56 | 19 | 12.2% | 1.56x | +4.56% | -6.34% |
| Score < 90 | 13295 | 8848 / 4447 | 679 | 7.7% | 0.99x | +3.75% | -5.46% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 35 | 29 / 6 | 5 | 17.2% | 2.21x | +5.52% | -7.52% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 431 | 297 / 134 | 40 | 13.5% | 1.73x | +4.66% | -6.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 118 | 81 / 37 | 9 | 11.1% | 1.42x | +4.61% | -7.10% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12926 | 8598 / 4328 | 644 | 7.5% | 0.96x | +3.72% | -5.42% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 411 | 284 / 127 | 84 | 29.6% | 3.79x | +7.91% | -4.48% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1963 | 1325 / 638 | 241 | 18.2% | 2.33x | +5.62% | -5.46% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6496 | 4272 / 2224 | 256 | 6% | 0.77x | +3.60% | -5.58% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4640 | 3124 / 1516 | 117 | 3.7% | 0.47x | +2.82% | -5.42% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 375 | 273 / 102 | 55 | 20.1% | 2.58x | +8.00% | -7.82% |
| Elevated | 3373 | 2347 / 1026 | 468 | 19.9% | 2.55x | +6.26% | -6.37% |
| Medium | 9285 | 6069 / 3216 | 175 | 2.9% | 0.37x | +2.73% | -5.09% |
| Low | 477 | 316 / 161 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.43% | -4.06% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1998 | 1332 / 666 | 401 | 30.1% | 3.86x | +7.77% | -6.57% |
| Communication Services | 586 | 393 / 193 | 33 | 8.4% | 1.08x | +3.87% | -5.41% |
| Energy | 567 | 378 / 189 | 31 | 8.2% | 1.05x | +4.62% | -4.54% |
| Health Care | 1593 | 1062 / 531 | 73 | 6.9% | 0.88x | +4.67% | -4.13% |
| Materials | 698 | 468 / 230 | 29 | 6.2% | 0.79x | +3.57% | -6.10% |
| Consumer Staples | 944 | 629 / 315 | 23 | 3.7% | 0.47x | +2.93% | -5.31% |
| Financials | 2052 | 1368 / 684 | 34 | 2.5% | 0.32x | +2.49% | -5.14% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1269 | 846 / 423 | 21 | 2.5% | 0.32x | +2.88% | -6.45% |
| Industrials | 2160 | 1440 / 720 | 35 | 2.4% | 0.31x | +2.75% | -5.65% |
| Utilities | 837 | 558 / 279 | 12 | 2.2% | 0.28x | +1.71% | -4.96% |
| Real Estate | 806 | 531 / 275 | 6 | 1.1% | 0.14x | +1.89% | -5.11% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.