Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-10-02 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 39 | 33 / 6 | 1 | 3% | 0.35x | +3.44% | -6.33% |
| Grade B | 136 | 103 / 33 | 20 | 19.4% | 2.28x | +5.32% | -7.22% |
| Grade D | 3441 | 2712 / 729 | 188 | 6.9% | 0.81x | +3.64% | -5.52% |
| Grade F | 9898 | 6655 / 3243 | 599 | 9% | 1.06x | +4.08% | -5.23% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 70 | 51 / 19 | 31.4% | 3.69x | 2.65x | 63.6% · 11 checked | +6.96% | -7.68% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 71 | 52 / 19 | 30.8% | 3.62x | 2.59x | 63.6% · 11 checked | +6.96% | -7.61% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 71 | 52 / 19 | 30.8% | 3.62x | 2.59x | 63.6% · 11 checked | +6.96% | -7.61% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 109 | 70 / 39 | 35.7% | 4.2x | 3.19x | 54.5% · 22 checked | +8.90% | -6.10% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 110 | 71 / 39 | 35.2% | 4.14x | 3.12x | 54.5% · 22 checked | +8.82% | -6.06% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 110 | 71 / 39 | 35.2% | 4.14x | 3.12x | 54.5% · 22 checked | +8.82% | -6.06% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 191 | 124 / 67 | 29.8% | 3.51x | 2.68x | 50% · 32 checked | +7.87% | -5.69% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 192 | 125 / 67 | 29.6% | 3.48x | 2.66x | 50% · 32 checked | +7.84% | -5.67% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 192 | 125 / 67 | 29.6% | 3.48x | 2.66x | 50% · 32 checked | +7.84% | -5.67% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 76 | 45 / 31 | 31.1% | 3.66x | 2.84x | 43.8% · 16 checked | +7.74% | -6.45% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 329 | 229 / 100 | 30.6% | 3.6x | 3x | 42.6% · 68 checked | +7.91% | -5.08% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 329 | 229 / 100 | 30.6% | 3.6x | 3x | 42.6% · 68 checked | +7.91% | -5.08% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 165 | 119 / 46 | 21.8% | 2.56x | 2.14x | 40% · 20 checked | +5.73% | -6.97% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 418 | 304 / 114 | 30.3% | 3.56x | 3.22x | 38.5% · 78 checked | +8.09% | -4.78% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 418 | 304 / 114 | 30.3% | 3.56x | 3.22x | 38.5% · 78 checked | +8.09% | -4.78% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 95 | 70 / 25 | 18 | 25.7% | 3.02x | 44.4% · 9 checked | +5.75% | -7.90% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 110 | 90 / 20 | 14 | 15.6% | 1.84x | 30% · 10 checked | +4.81% | -7.47% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 177 | 138 / 39 | 21 | 15.2% | 1.79x | 26.7% · 15 checked | +4.80% | -7.10% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2265 | 1853 / 412 | 181 | 9.8% | 1.15x | 13.2% · 167 checked | +4.38% | -5.53% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.TER Teradyne | B 74.4 | 97.1 62.1/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | B 73.1 | 94.8 61.8/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.NTAP NetApp | B 75.7 | 96.2 59.2/110 · 37/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.LITE Lumentum | B 73 | 95.6 60.6/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.CCL Carnival Corporation | B 74 | 94.4 60.4/110 · 34/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.COHR Coherent Corp. | B 71.9 | 90 57/110 · 33/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group | B 72.8 | 90.6 60.6/110 · 30/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 249 | 202 / 47 | 25 | 12.4% | 1.46x | +4.59% | -6.21% |
| Score < 90 | 13262 | 9301 / 3961 | 782 | 8.4% | 0.99x | +3.95% | -5.32% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 40 | 32 / 8 | 9 | 28.1% | 3.31x | +6.13% | -7.48% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 493 | 388 / 105 | 50 | 12.9% | 1.52x | +4.84% | -6.28% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 137 | 106 / 31 | 12 | 11.3% | 1.33x | +4.40% | -6.99% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12846 | 8979 / 3867 | 737 | 8.2% | 0.96x | +3.92% | -5.27% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 418 | 304 / 114 | 92 | 30.3% | 3.56x | +8.09% | -4.78% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2001 | 1427 / 574 | 268 | 18.8% | 2.21x | +5.74% | -5.32% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6533 | 4544 / 1989 | 313 | 6.9% | 0.81x | +3.88% | -5.40% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4564 | 3230 / 1334 | 135 | 4.2% | 0.49x | +2.91% | -5.31% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 405 | 306 / 99 | 68 | 22.2% | 2.61x | +8.73% | -7.45% |
| Elevated | 3573 | 2615 / 958 | 524 | 20% | 2.35x | +6.33% | -6.10% |
| Medium | 9093 | 6274 / 2819 | 216 | 3.4% | 0.4x | +2.87% | -4.99% |
| Low | 445 | 310 / 135 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.48% | -4.03% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1998 | 1406 / 592 | 432 | 30.7% | 3.61x | +7.85% | -6.58% |
| Energy | 567 | 399 / 168 | 52 | 13% | 1.53x | +5.42% | -4.26% |
| Communication Services | 589 | 413 / 176 | 43 | 10.4% | 1.22x | +4.41% | -5.22% |
| Health Care | 1592 | 1120 / 472 | 89 | 7.9% | 0.93x | +5.06% | -4.05% |
| Materials | 700 | 494 / 206 | 35 | 7.1% | 0.84x | +3.66% | -5.78% |
| Consumer Staples | 944 | 664 / 280 | 27 | 4.1% | 0.48x | +3.33% | -5.12% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1269 | 893 / 376 | 29 | 3.2% | 0.38x | +2.99% | -6.30% |
| Industrials | 2160 | 1520 / 640 | 43 | 2.8% | 0.33x | +2.82% | -5.59% |
| Financials | 2052 | 1444 / 608 | 38 | 2.6% | 0.31x | +2.67% | -4.86% |
| Utilities | 837 | 589 / 248 | 12 | 2% | 0.24x | +1.82% | -4.76% |
| Real Estate | 808 | 563 / 245 | 8 | 1.4% | 0.16x | +1.95% | -5.19% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.