Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-30 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 151 | 114 / 37 | 18 | 15.8% | 1.86x | +4.78% | -7.13% |
| Grade D | 3176 | 2508 / 668 | 172 | 6.9% | 0.81x | +3.60% | -5.60% |
| Grade F | 9174 | 5871 / 3303 | 531 | 9% | 1.06x | +4.14% | -5.18% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 100 | 57 / 43 | 33.3% | 3.92x | 2.19x | 78.6% · 14 checked | +8.85% | -7.09% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 101 | 58 / 43 | 32.8% | 3.86x | 2.14x | 78.6% · 14 checked | +8.76% | -7.02% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 101 | 58 / 43 | 32.8% | 3.86x | 2.14x | 78.6% · 14 checked | +8.76% | -7.02% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 173 | 104 / 69 | 26% | 3.06x | 2.24x | 55% · 20 checked | +7.64% | -6.32% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 174 | 105 / 69 | 25.7% | 3.02x | 2.21x | 55% · 20 checked | +7.60% | -6.29% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 174 | 105 / 69 | 25.7% | 3.02x | 2.21x | 55% · 20 checked | +7.60% | -6.29% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 488 | 324 / 164 | 19.8% | 2.33x | 1.87x | 52.9% · 34 checked | +5.74% | -6.14% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 490 | 326 / 164 | 19.6% | 2.31x | 1.86x | 52.9% · 34 checked | +5.72% | -6.13% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 489 | 325 / 164 | 19.4% | 2.28x | 1.86x | 51.5% · 33 checked | +5.68% | -6.15% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 338 | 226 / 112 | 19.5% | 2.29x | 1.95x | 47.6% · 21 checked | +5.52% | -6.16% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 303 | 186 / 117 | 29% | 3.41x | 2.88x | 46.2% · 39 checked | +7.83% | -5.61% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 303 | 186 / 117 | 29% | 3.41x | 2.88x | 46.2% · 39 checked | +7.83% | -5.61% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 385 | 256 / 129 | 29.3% | 3.45x | 3.18x | 40% · 45 checked | +8.04% | -5.13% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 385 | 256 / 129 | 29.3% | 3.45x | 3.18x | 40% · 45 checked | +8.04% | -5.13% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 206 | 143 / 63 | 19.6% | 2.31x | 2.08x | 38.5% · 13 checked | +5.44% | -7.84% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 87 | 62 / 25 | 15 | 24.2% | 2.85x | 50% · 2 checked | +5.37% | -8.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 167 | 126 / 41 | 18 | 14.3% | 1.68x | 16.7% · 6 checked | +4.64% | -7.16% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 106 | 82 / 24 | 11 | 13.4% | 1.58x | 0% · 4 checked | +4.47% | -7.68% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2180 | 1762 / 418 | 167 | 9.5% | 1.12x | 10.5% · 114 checked | +4.34% | -5.56% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 236 | 191 / 45 | 21 | 11% | 1.29x | +4.41% | -6.27% |
| Score < 90 | 12278 | 8312 / 3966 | 699 | 8.4% | 0.99x | +3.97% | -5.32% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 37 | 31 / 6 | 9 | 29% | 3.41x | +6.28% | -7.11% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 455 | 361 / 94 | 43 | 11.9% | 1.4x | +4.72% | -6.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 130 | 95 / 35 | 9 | 9.5% | 1.12x | +4.10% | -7.18% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 11895 | 8018 / 3877 | 660 | 8.2% | 0.96x | +3.94% | -5.26% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 385 | 256 / 129 | 75 | 29.3% | 3.45x | +8.04% | -5.13% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1857 | 1192 / 665 | 229 | 19.2% | 2.26x | +5.80% | -5.49% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6039 | 4028 / 2011 | 284 | 7.1% | 0.84x | +3.96% | -5.35% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4236 | 3029 / 1207 | 133 | 4.4% | 0.52x | +2.96% | -5.27% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 384 | 287 / 97 | 67 | 23.3% | 2.74x | +9.08% | -7.24% |
| Elevated | 3358 | 2372 / 986 | 464 | 19.6% | 2.31x | +6.26% | -6.14% |
| Medium | 8363 | 5592 / 2771 | 190 | 3.4% | 0.4x | +2.87% | -4.96% |
| Low | 412 | 254 / 158 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.48% | -4.03% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1850 | 1258 / 592 | 366 | 29.1% | 3.42x | +7.62% | -6.80% |
| Energy | 525 | 357 / 168 | 52 | 14.6% | 1.72x | +5.89% | -3.94% |
| Communication Services | 546 | 370 / 176 | 39 | 10.5% | 1.24x | +4.56% | -5.11% |
| Materials | 650 | 442 / 208 | 35 | 7.9% | 0.93x | +3.78% | -5.37% |
| Health Care | 1474 | 1002 / 472 | 78 | 7.8% | 0.92x | +5.13% | -4.12% |
| Consumer Staples | 874 | 594 / 280 | 27 | 4.5% | 0.53x | +3.52% | -5.04% |
| Industrials | 2000 | 1360 / 640 | 43 | 3.2% | 0.38x | +2.75% | -5.78% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1175 | 799 / 376 | 25 | 3.1% | 0.36x | +2.84% | -6.41% |
| Financials | 1900 | 1292 / 608 | 36 | 2.8% | 0.33x | +2.76% | -4.67% |
| Utilities | 775 | 527 / 248 | 12 | 2.3% | 0.27x | +2.00% | -4.63% |
| Real Estate | 748 | 504 / 244 | 8 | 1.6% | 0.19x | +1.98% | -5.12% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.