Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-24 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 243 | 206 / 37 | 31 | 15% | 1.27x | +5.15% | -6.66% |
| Grade C | 37 | 33 / 4 | 8 | 24.2% | 2.05x | +6.49% | -7.55% |
| Grade D | 3410 | 2862 / 548 | 255 | 8.9% | 0.75x | +4.03% | -5.36% |
| Grade F | 9334 | 5908 / 3426 | 768 | 13% | 1.1x | +5.01% | -4.90% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 302 | 222 / 80 | 20.7% | 1.75x | 1.62x | 46.2% · 13 checked | +5.91% | -7.19% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 303 | 222 / 81 | 20.7% | 1.75x | 1.62x | 46.2% · 13 checked | +5.96% | -7.12% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 304 | 223 / 81 | 20.6% | 1.75x | 1.61x | 46.2% · 13 checked | +5.91% | -7.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 253 | 178 / 75 | 21.9% | 1.86x | 1.73x | 45.5% · 11 checked | +6.17% | -6.71% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 597 | 504 / 93 | 12.1% | 1.03x | 0.97x | 40% · 10 checked | +4.71% | -6.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 733 | 611 / 122 | 14.2% | 1.2x | 1.14x | 38.9% · 18 checked | +5.10% | -6.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 724 | 602 / 122 | 14.1% | 1.19x | 1.14x | 38.9% · 18 checked | +5.08% | -6.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 | 846 | 715 / 131 | 13.7% | 1.16x | 1.11x | 38.9% · 18 checked | +5.00% | -6.27% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Risk not High | 836 | 705 / 131 | 13.6% | 1.15x | 1.1x | 38.9% · 18 checked | +4.98% | -6.23% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 832 | 702 / 130 | 13.7% | 1.16x | 1.1x | 38.9% · 18 checked | +4.98% | -6.23% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 626 | 516 / 110 | 14.1% | 1.19x | 1.14x | 37.5% · 16 checked | +5.13% | -6.21% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 | 725 | 607 / 118 | 13.7% | 1.16x | 1.1x | 37.5% · 16 checked | +5.03% | -6.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Risk not High | 717 | 600 / 117 | 13.5% | 1.14x | 1.08x | 37.5% · 16 checked | +4.99% | -6.15% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 739 | 616 / 123 | 14.1% | 1.19x | 1.14x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.09% | -6.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 | 852 | 720 / 132 | 13.6% | 1.15x | 1.1x | 36.8% · 19 checked | +5.00% | -6.28% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 120 | 96 / 24 | 21 | 21.9% | 1.86x | 0% · 2 checked | +5.50% | -7.41% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 280 | 239 / 41 | 39 | 16.3% | 1.38x | 25% · 4 checked | +5.33% | -6.78% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 160 | 137 / 23 | 17 | 12.4% | 1.05x | 33.3% · 3 checked | +4.63% | -6.98% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2636 | 2258 / 378 | 245 | 10.9% | 0.92x | 13.3% · 45 checked | +4.58% | -5.34% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.META Meta Platforms | B 67.4 | 96.3 58.3/110 · 38/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices | B 67.9 | 93.9 58.9/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.MRNA Moderna | B 69.4 | 92 61/110 · 31/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.INTC Intel | B 66.8 | 89.9 54.9/110 · 35/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.A Agilent Technologies | B 65.4 | 95.7 61.7/110 · 34/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.GRMN Garmin | B 66.2 | 94.6 64.6/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.MTD Mettler Toledo | C 62.8 | 87.4 57.4/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 351 | 306 / 45 | 40 | 13.1% | 1.11x | +4.85% | -6.12% |
| Score < 90 | 12664 | 8695 / 3969 | 1020 | 11.7% | 0.99x | +4.70% | -5.06% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 65 | 56 / 9 | 15 | 26.8% | 2.27x | +5.97% | -6.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 215 | 183 / 32 | 24 | 13.1% | 1.11x | +5.13% | -6.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 572 | 481 / 91 | 59 | 12.3% | 1.04x | +4.83% | -6.02% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12172 | 8289 / 3883 | 964 | 11.6% | 0.98x | +4.68% | -5.00% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 414 | 277 / 137 | 110 | 39.7% | 3.36x | +9.59% | -5.17% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2011 | 1359 / 652 | 300 | 22.1% | 1.87x | +6.91% | -5.11% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6409 | 4419 / 1990 | 467 | 10.6% | 0.9x | +4.61% | -5.08% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4190 | 2954 / 1236 | 185 | 6.3% | 0.53x | +3.39% | -5.11% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 424 | 326 / 98 | 106 | 32.5% | 2.75x | +10.59% | -6.49% |
| Elevated | 3703 | 2706 / 997 | 673 | 24.9% | 2.11x | +7.46% | -5.66% |
| Medium | 8503 | 5749 / 2754 | 283 | 4.9% | 0.42x | +3.20% | -4.81% |
| Low | 394 | 228 / 166 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.68% | -3.80% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1924 | 1332 / 592 | 468 | 35.1% | 2.97x | +9.34% | -6.50% |
| Energy | 546 | 378 / 168 | 70 | 18.5% | 1.57x | +6.46% | -3.62% |
| Communication Services | 570 | 389 / 181 | 65 | 16.7% | 1.42x | +5.70% | -4.57% |
| Materials | 676 | 468 / 208 | 54 | 11.5% | 0.97x | +4.52% | -5.25% |
| Health Care | 1533 | 1061 / 472 | 104 | 9.8% | 0.83x | +5.46% | -4.36% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1440 / 640 | 123 | 8.5% | 0.72x | +3.68% | -5.36% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 846 / 376 | 67 | 7.9% | 0.67x | +3.62% | -6.07% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 629 / 280 | 30 | 4.8% | 0.41x | +3.63% | -5.32% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1368 / 608 | 57 | 4.2% | 0.36x | +3.26% | -4.07% |
| Utilities | 806 | 558 / 248 | 15 | 2.7% | 0.23x | +2.09% | -4.48% |
| Real Estate | 782 | 540 / 242 | 9 | 1.7% | 0.14x | +2.11% | -5.14% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.