Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-23 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 270 | 236 / 34 | 38 | 16.1% | 1.36x | +5.35% | -6.71% |
| Grade D | 3298 | 2825 / 473 | 255 | 9% | 0.76x | +4.03% | -5.36% |
| Grade F | 8952 | 5944 / 3008 | 768 | 12.9% | 1.09x | +5.01% | -4.90% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 298 | 223 / 75 | 20.6% | 1.75x | 1.58x | 42.1% · 19 checked | +5.91% | -7.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 296 | 222 / 74 | 20.7% | 1.75x | 1.58x | 42.1% · 19 checked | +5.91% | -7.19% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 297 | 222 / 75 | 20.7% | 1.75x | 1.58x | 42.1% · 19 checked | +5.96% | -7.12% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 247 | 178 / 69 | 21.9% | 1.86x | 1.73x | 37.5% · 16 checked | +6.17% | -6.71% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 412 | 356 / 56 | 11% | 0.93x | 0.86x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +4.32% | -6.28% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 721 | 611 / 110 | 14.2% | 1.2x | 1.12x | 34.5% · 29 checked | +5.10% | -6.35% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 712 | 602 / 110 | 14.1% | 1.19x | 1.11x | 34.5% · 29 checked | +5.08% | -6.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 727 | 616 / 111 | 14.1% | 1.19x | 1.11x | 33.3% · 30 checked | +5.09% | -6.36% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 | 479 | 418 / 61 | 10.3% | 0.87x | 0.81x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.31% | -6.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 | 479 | 418 / 61 | 10.3% | 0.87x | 0.81x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.31% | -6.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Risk not High | 474 | 413 / 61 | 9.9% | 0.84x | 0.78x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.22% | -6.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 | 417 | 361 / 56 | 10% | 0.85x | 0.78x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.27% | -6.18% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 575 | 493 / 82 | 12.4% | 1.05x | 0.98x | 31.6% · 19 checked | +4.70% | -6.39% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 588 | 504 / 84 | 12.1% | 1.03x | 0.96x | 31.6% · 19 checked | +4.71% | -6.24% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 236 | 179 / 57 | 17.9% | 1.52x | 1.43x | 30.8% · 13 checked | +5.28% | -7.27% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 116 | 96 / 20 | 21 | 21.9% | 1.86x | 20% · 5 checked | +5.50% | -7.41% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 273 | 239 / 34 | 39 | 16.3% | 1.38x | 20% · 10 checked | +5.33% | -6.78% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 157 | 137 / 20 | 17 | 12.4% | 1.05x | 33.3% · 6 checked | +4.63% | -6.98% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2575 | 2258 / 317 | 245 | 10.9% | 0.92x | 9.1% · 121 checked | +4.58% | -5.34% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.PLTR Palantir Technologies | B 72.2 | 96.7 63.7/110 · 33/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.KEYS Keysight Technologies | B 75.9 | 98.4 66.4/110 · 32/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services | B 73.2 | 93.3 63.3/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.ZBRA Zebra Technologies | B 72.8 | 91.4 61.4/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 344 | 306 / 38 | 40 | 13.1% | 1.11x | +4.85% | -6.12% |
| Score < 90 | 12170 | 8694 / 3476 | 1020 | 11.7% | 0.99x | +4.70% | -5.06% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 65 | 56 / 9 | 15 | 26.8% | 2.27x | +5.97% | -6.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 208 | 183 / 25 | 24 | 13.1% | 1.11x | +5.13% | -6.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 566 | 481 / 85 | 59 | 12.3% | 1.04x | +4.83% | -6.02% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 11684 | 8288 / 3396 | 964 | 11.6% | 0.98x | +4.68% | -4.99% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 400 | 277 / 123 | 110 | 39.7% | 3.36x | +9.59% | -5.17% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1947 | 1359 / 588 | 300 | 22.1% | 1.87x | +6.91% | -5.11% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6156 | 4419 / 1737 | 467 | 10.6% | 0.9x | +4.61% | -5.08% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4020 | 2953 / 1067 | 185 | 6.3% | 0.53x | +3.39% | -5.11% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 410 | 326 / 84 | 106 | 32.5% | 2.75x | +10.59% | -6.49% |
| Elevated | 3573 | 2706 / 867 | 673 | 24.9% | 2.11x | +7.46% | -5.66% |
| Medium | 8163 | 5748 / 2415 | 283 | 4.9% | 0.42x | +3.20% | -4.80% |
| Low | 377 | 228 / 149 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.68% | -3.80% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1850 | 1332 / 518 | 468 | 35.1% | 2.97x | +9.34% | -6.50% |
| Energy | 525 | 378 / 147 | 70 | 18.5% | 1.57x | +6.46% | -3.62% |
| Communication Services | 548 | 389 / 159 | 65 | 16.7% | 1.42x | +5.70% | -4.57% |
| Materials | 650 | 468 / 182 | 54 | 11.5% | 0.97x | +4.52% | -5.25% |
| Health Care | 1474 | 1061 / 413 | 104 | 9.8% | 0.83x | +5.46% | -4.36% |
| Industrials | 2000 | 1440 / 560 | 123 | 8.5% | 0.72x | +3.68% | -5.36% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1175 | 846 / 329 | 67 | 7.9% | 0.67x | +3.62% | -6.07% |
| Consumer Staples | 874 | 629 / 245 | 30 | 4.8% | 0.41x | +3.63% | -5.32% |
| Financials | 1900 | 1368 / 532 | 57 | 4.2% | 0.36x | +3.26% | -4.07% |
| Utilities | 775 | 558 / 217 | 15 | 2.7% | 0.23x | +2.09% | -4.48% |
| Real Estate | 752 | 539 / 213 | 9 | 1.7% | 0.14x | +2.12% | -5.12% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.