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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-23

Computed at 2026年9月24日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 40

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-09-23

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-23
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-23
DOE window 2026-07-16 → 2026-09-18
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月24日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 40
Excluded downtrends 39
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.4–3.9

OOS n=633 Median 0.07%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.4–3.9

+0.07% OOS median · n=633

Best holding day 3D

3.5 - 4 · +2.56% ann. net · n=747

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.33% exp · 74D WF

Opp study rows 25,774 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-23

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +2% · 上漲比 66.9% · Up−Dn +16.1 · 共 99 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

09-17

8/36
  1. #1 GPN 中位+2.72% P75+4.92% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  2. #2 LRCX 2日 中位+2.32% P75+8.82% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5%/11.3% 開富途
  3. #3 XYZ 中位+2.17% P75+4.87% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25%/8.8% 開富途
  4. #4 NEM 中位+2.03% P75+4.13% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3%/6.3% 開富途
  5. #5 IVZ 中位+1.65% P75+4.30% 上漲比65% Up/Dn18.8%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 WMB 3日 中位+1.64% P75+4.16% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 GLW 2日 中位+1.47% P75+8.70% 上漲比55% Up/Dn33.8%/15% 開富途
  8. #8 BKR 2日 中位+1.33% P75+4.66% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途

09-18

8/49
  1. #1 OMC 中位+1.89% P75+5.38% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 CBOE 中位+1.77% P75+4.27% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn21.3%/6.3% 開富途
  3. #3 LRCX 2日 中位+1.68% P75+6.61% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn33.8%/20% 開富途
  4. #4 GLW 2日 中位+1.62% P75+7.38% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn28.8%/16.3% 開富途
  5. #5 HAL 3日 中位+1.39% P75+3.57% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 ELV 中位+1.34% P75+3.09% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn13.8%/3.8% 開富途
  7. #7 LYB 中位+1.25% P75+3.87% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn18.8%/8.8% 開富途
  8. #8 FANG 3日 中位+1.17% P75+3.55% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

09-21

8/27
  1. #1 SLB 3日 中位+1.90% P75+4.33% 上漲比63.3% Up/Dn21.7%/5.8% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 3日 中位+1.84% P75+4.26% 上漲比61.7% Up/Dn17.5%/6.7% 開富途
  3. #3 FANG 3日 中位+1.74% P75+4.11% 上漲比69.2% Up/Dn20%/0.8% 開富途
  4. #4 CF 中位+1.71% P75+4.56% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5.8% 開富途
  5. #5 BKR 2日 中位+1.44% P75+4.03% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn19.2%/3.3% 開富途
  6. #6 CNC 中位+1.28% P75+3.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn21.7%/4.2% 開富途
  7. #7 BG 中位+1.24% P75+4.07% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15%/1.7% 開富途
  8. #8 WMB 3日 中位+1.23% P75+3.84% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn16.7%/3.3% 開富途

09-22

8/37
  1. #1 HAL 3日 中位+3.08% P75+5.07% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn30%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 3日 中位+2.89% P75+4.58% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 EOG 2日 中位+2.78% P75+4.82% 上漲比75% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 CVX 中位+2.73% P75+4.73% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 DVN 中位+2.36% P75+4.07% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 WMB 3日 中位+2.09% P75+4.03% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 HUM 中位+2.07% P75+5.38% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 SLB 3日 中位+2.07% P75+4.14% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途

09-23

8/40
  1. #1 EOG 2日 中位+3.08% P75+4.82% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 3日 中位+2.89% P75+4.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  3. #3 COP 中位+2.65% P75+4.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 OXY 中位+2.62% P75+4.73% 上漲比80% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 HAL 3日 中位+2.34% P75+3.79% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 SLB 3日 中位+2.26% P75+4.14% 上漲比70% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  7. #7 FANG 3日 中位+2.11% P75+3.23% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  8. #8 OKE 中位+2.00% P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.EOG P75+4.82% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp6.701 開富途
  2. #2 US.STLD P75+4.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp6.117 開富途
  3. #3 US.COP P75+4.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Opp6.169 開富途
  4. #4 US.OXY P75+4.73% 上漲比80% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp6.413 開富途
  5. #5 US.HAL P75+3.79% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp5.665 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.EOG EOG Resources · Energy

+3.08%

P75+4.82% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score48.8 Opp6.701
View chart 開富途
#2 US.STLD Steel Dynamics · Materials

+2.89%

P75+4.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score51.6 Opp6.117
View chart 開富途
#3 US.COP ConocoPhillips · Energy

+2.65%

P75+4.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score49.8 Opp6.169
View chart 開富途
#4 US.OXY Occidental Petroleum · Energy

+2.62%

P75+4.73% 上漲比80% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score48.1 Opp6.413
View chart 開富途
#5 US.HAL Halliburton · Energy

+2.34%

P75+3.79% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score43.7 Opp5.665
View chart 開富途
#6 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

+2.26%

P75+4.14% 上漲比70% Up/Dn25% / 5% Score43 Opp4.917
View chart 開富途
#7 US.FANG Diamondback Energy · Energy

+2.11%

P75+3.23% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score45.2 Opp4.757
View chart 開富途
#8 US.OKE Oneok · Energy

+2.00%

P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score52.5 Opp4.289
View chart 開富途
#9 US.LITE Lumentum · Information Technology

+1.85%

P75+5.00% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score66.6 Opp3.95
View chart 開富途
#10 US.APA APA Corporation · Energy

+1.79%

P75+4.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Score58.1 Opp3.953
View chart 開富途
#11 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

+1.61%

P75+3.02% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score50.3 Opp3.942
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TRGP Targa Resources · Energy

+1.59%

P75+3.66% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score53.9 Opp4.559
View chart 開富途
#13 US.MRNA Moderna · Health Care

+1.49%

P75+3.91% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score75.7 Opp3.935
View chart 開富途
#14 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

+1.49%

P75+3.36% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score72 Opp3.82
View chart 開富途
#15 US.NEM Newmont · Materials

+1.40%

P75+3.53% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score60.4 Opp3.986
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CVX Chevron Corporation · Energy

+1.40%

P75+3.25% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score51.7 Opp3.85
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+1.23%

P75+5.38% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30% / 2.5% Score48.1 Opp3.986
View chart 開富途
#18 US.BG Bunge Global · Consumer Staples

+1.17%

P75+4.18% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score44 Opp3.595
View chart 開富途
#19 US.GWW W. W. Grainger · Industrials

+1.12%

P75+2.81% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score64.6 Opp2.907
View chart 開富途
#20 US.FLEX Flex Ltd. · Information Technology

+1.10%

P75+6.41% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 15% Score68.5 Opp3.116
View chart 開富途
#21 US.IVZ Invesco · Financials

+1.07%

P75+4.39% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score56.6 Opp3.142
View chart 開富途
#22 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

+1.07%

P75+3.28% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score61.4 Opp3.201
View chart 開富途
#23 US.TGT Target Corporation · Consumer Staples

+1.04%

P75+2.65% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score57 Opp3.13
View chart 開富途
#24 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

+0.99%

P75+5.12% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25% / 10% Score69.4 Opp2.79
View chart 開富途
#25 US.ADM Archer Daniels Midland · Consumer Staples

+0.99%

P75+4.79% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score47.6 Opp3.045
View chart 開富途
#26 US.BMY Bristol Myers Squibb · Health Care

+0.99%

P75+3.07% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score58.1 Opp3.193
View chart 開富途
#27 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

+0.99%

P75+2.86% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score49.2 Opp2.374
View chart 開富途
#28 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+0.93%

P75+3.95% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score47.5 Opp3.124
View chart 開富途
#29 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

+0.93%

P75+3.69% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score47.1 Opp3.006
View chart 開富途
#30 US.BAX Baxter International · Health Care

+0.88%

P75+3.33% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score54.2 Opp2.569
View chart 開富途
#31 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

+0.73%

P75+2.26% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score52.8 Opp3.691
View chart 開富途
#32 US.MTD Mettler Toledo · Health Care

+0.72%

P75+2.92% 上漲比60% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score71.7 Opp2.788
View chart 開富途
#33 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

+0.63%

P75+3.62% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score58.3 Opp3.372
View chart 開富途
#34 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

+0.63%

P75+1.84% 上漲比60% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score71.9 Opp2.429
View chart 開富途
#35 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

+0.59%

P75+3.94% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score47.5 Opp1.681
View chart 開富途
#36 US.KMI Kinder Morgan · Energy

+0.57%

P75+2.73% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score68.4 Opp2.165
View chart 開富途
#37 US.MRK Merck & Co. · Health Care

+0.34%

P75+1.85% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score67.2 Opp1.507
View chart 開富途
#38 US.MPC Marathon Petroleum · Energy

+0.26%

P75+3.99% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 5% Score67.4 Opp2.263
View chart 開富途
#39 US.SWK Stanley Black & Decker · Industrials

+0.08%

P75+2.44% 上漲比50% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score58.9 Opp1.132
View chart 開富途
#40 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

+0.04%

P75+2.63% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score63.2 Opp1.372
View chart 開富途