Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-22 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 271 | 241 / 30 | 38 | 15.8% | 1.23x | +5.35% | -6.57% |
| Grade D | 3361 | 2978 / 383 | 273 | 9.2% | 0.72x | +4.07% | -5.37% |
| Grade F | 8885 | 6283 / 2602 | 906 | 14.4% | 1.13x | +5.28% | -4.87% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 295 | 230 / 65 | 20% | 1.56x | 1.41x | 42.1% · 19 checked | +5.83% | -7.15% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 296 | 230 / 66 | 20% | 1.56x | 1.41x | 42.1% · 19 checked | +5.88% | -7.08% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 297 | 231 / 66 | 19.9% | 1.55x | 1.4x | 42.1% · 19 checked | +5.83% | -7.13% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 248 | 185 / 63 | 21.1% | 1.65x | 1.52x | 37.5% · 16 checked | +6.07% | -6.67% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 412 | 366 / 46 | 10.9% | 0.85x | 0.79x | 36.4% · 11 checked | +4.35% | -6.25% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 729 | 634 / 95 | 14.2% | 1.11x | 1.03x | 34.5% · 29 checked | +5.10% | -6.30% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 720 | 625 / 95 | 14.1% | 1.1x | 1.02x | 34.5% · 29 checked | +5.09% | -6.25% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 735 | 639 / 96 | 14.1% | 1.1x | 1.02x | 33.3% · 30 checked | +5.10% | -6.31% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 | 480 | 430 / 50 | 10.2% | 0.8x | 0.75x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.34% | -6.13% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 | 480 | 430 / 50 | 10.2% | 0.8x | 0.75x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.34% | -6.13% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Risk not High | 475 | 425 / 50 | 9.9% | 0.77x | 0.72x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.26% | -6.14% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 | 418 | 370 / 48 | 9.7% | 0.76x | 0.7x | 33.3% · 12 checked | +4.26% | -6.17% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 585 | 515 / 70 | 12.4% | 0.97x | 0.91x | 31.6% · 19 checked | +4.72% | -6.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 | 599 | 526 / 73 | 12.2% | 0.95x | 0.89x | 31.6% · 19 checked | +4.75% | -6.20% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 20 + Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 236 | 186 / 50 | 17.2% | 1.34x | 1.27x | 30.8% · 13 checked | +5.23% | -7.23% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 119 | 100 / 19 | 21 | 21% | 1.64x | 20% · 5 checked | +5.38% | -7.37% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 278 | 248 / 30 | 40 | 16.1% | 1.26x | 20% · 10 checked | +5.29% | -6.73% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 156 | 139 / 17 | 17 | 12.2% | 0.95x | 33.3% · 6 checked | +4.60% | -6.96% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2610 | 2351 / 259 | 260 | 11.1% | 0.87x | 9.1% · 121 checked | +4.61% | -5.33% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 12165 | 9183 / 2982 | 1177 | 12.8% | 1x | +4.91% | -5.04% |
| Score 90-109 | 349 | 317 / 32 | 40 | 12.6% | 0.98x | +4.80% | -6.10% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 70 | 61 / 9 | 15 | 24.6% | 1.92x | +5.77% | -6.42% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 208 | 187 / 21 | 25 | 13.4% | 1.05x | +5.13% | -6.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 11674 | 8761 / 2913 | 1116 | 12.7% | 0.99x | +4.89% | -4.97% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 572 | 500 / 72 | 63 | 12.6% | 0.98x | +4.91% | -5.98% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 400 | 291 / 109 | 117 | 40.2% | 3.14x | +9.74% | -5.33% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1945 | 1431 / 514 | 324 | 22.6% | 1.77x | +7.02% | -5.18% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6142 | 4650 / 1492 | 527 | 11.3% | 0.88x | +4.76% | -5.04% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4037 | 3137 / 900 | 251 | 8% | 0.63x | +3.70% | -5.04% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 415 | 346 / 69 | 118 | 34.1% | 2.66x | +10.80% | -6.63% |
| Elevated | 3618 | 2877 / 741 | 770 | 26.8% | 2.09x | +7.74% | -5.63% |
| Medium | 8121 | 6051 / 2070 | 331 | 5.5% | 0.43x | +3.34% | -4.77% |
| Low | 370 | 235 / 135 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +1.72% | -3.81% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1850 | 1406 / 444 | 515 | 36.6% | 2.86x | +9.63% | -6.58% |
| Communication Services | 548 | 411 / 137 | 76 | 18.5% | 1.45x | +5.99% | -4.49% |
| Energy | 525 | 399 / 126 | 71 | 17.8% | 1.39x | +6.20% | -3.78% |
| Materials | 650 | 494 / 156 | 62 | 12.6% | 0.98x | +4.72% | -5.21% |
| Health Care | 1474 | 1120 / 354 | 127 | 11.3% | 0.88x | +5.68% | -4.29% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1175 | 893 / 282 | 88 | 9.9% | 0.77x | +4.03% | -5.84% |
| Industrials | 2000 | 1520 / 480 | 148 | 9.7% | 0.76x | +3.87% | -5.38% |
| Consumer Staples | 874 | 664 / 210 | 37 | 5.6% | 0.44x | +3.81% | -5.24% |
| Financials | 1900 | 1444 / 456 | 70 | 4.8% | 0.37x | +3.43% | -3.98% |
| Utilities | 775 | 589 / 186 | 15 | 2.5% | 0.2x | +2.06% | -4.66% |
| Real Estate | 753 | 569 / 184 | 10 | 1.8% | 0.14x | +2.23% | -5.08% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.