歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原:3.4–3.9 · UP>DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原3.4–3.9 (上限為半開區間)勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部,或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-22

Computed at 2026年9月23日 上午7:54 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters
Projection candidates 4

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-09-22

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-22
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-22
DOE window 2026-07-15 → 2026-09-17
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月23日 上午7:54 HKT
Rows 4
Excluded downtrends 5
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.4–3.9

OOS n=629 Median 0.07%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.4–3.9

+0.07% OOS median · n=629

Best holding day 3D

3.5 - 4 · +2.56% ann. net · n=745

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.33% exp · 74D WF

Opp study rows 25,520 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-22

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日優先用當日穩定 Opp 高原;唔合格就沿用上一日。其餘篩選與本頁相同。列出當日全部入榜標的(非僅 Top 5)。

27 檔(去重) 已參與

09-16

9 3.2–3.7←09-15
  1. #1 CINF P75+2.65% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.626 開富途
  2. #2 C P75+3.16% 上漲比70% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.562 開富途
  3. #3 COHR P75+5.22% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn26.3% / 16.3% Opp3.529 開富途
  4. #4 MS P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn16.3% / 3.8% Opp3.528 開富途
  5. #5 SYF P75+3.10% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.395 開富途
  6. #6 RJF P75+2.94% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.367 開富途
  7. #7 PRU P75+2.55% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.348 開富途
  8. #8 BEN P75+2.83% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.254 開富途
  9. #9 NEM P75+4.61% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.252 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.EME P75+3.18% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.707 開富途
  2. #2 US.BG 研究門檻符合 P75+4.79% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp3.672 開富途
  3. #3 US.CAT P75+3.72% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 5% Opp3.455 開富途
  4. #4 US.ANET P75+4.78% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Opp3.426 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序:歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

已自動套用 Opp 研究最佳穩定高原3.4–3.9 (上限為半開區間)勾選「停用自動穩定 Opp 高原」可顯示全部,或手動填 Min/Max Opp 覆寫。

Default filter active: UP>DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.EME Emcor · Industrials

+1.20%

P75+3.18% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score61.6 Opp3.707
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BG Bunge Global · Consumer Staples

+1.24%

P75+4.79% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score44.6 Opp3.672
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CAT Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials

+1.07%

P75+3.72% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score74 Opp3.455
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

+1.28%

P75+4.78% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score73.5 Opp3.426
View chart 開富途