Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-15 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 78 | 73 / 5 | 13 | 17.8% | 1.05x | +5.03% | -6.58% |
| Grade C | 33 | 31 / 2 | 8 | 25.8% | 1.53x | +6.69% | -8.36% |
| Grade D | 3627 | 3297 / 330 | 349 | 10.6% | 0.63x | +4.48% | -5.27% |
| Grade F | 8794 | 7115 / 1679 | 1410 | 19.8% | 1.17x | +6.32% | -4.81% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 376 | 315 / 61 | 40% | 2.37x | 2.35x | 41.9% · 43 checked | +9.71% | -6.66% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 376 | 315 / 61 | 40% | 2.37x | 2.35x | 41.9% · 43 checked | +9.71% | -6.66% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 226 | 173 / 53 | 26.6% | 1.57x | 1.47x | 35.7% · 28 checked | +7.21% | -7.04% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 226 | 173 / 53 | 26.6% | 1.57x | 1.47x | 35.7% · 28 checked | +7.21% | -7.04% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 124 | 96 / 28 | 22.9% | 1.36x | 1.36x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +6.77% | -7.44% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 126 | 98 / 28 | 22.4% | 1.33x | 1.33x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +6.74% | -7.43% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 126 | 98 / 28 | 22.4% | 1.33x | 1.33x | 23.1% · 13 checked | +6.74% | -7.43% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 642 | 547 / 95 | 19.4% | 1.15x | 1.12x | 22.7% · 75 checked | +5.91% | -5.59% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 644 | 549 / 95 | 19.3% | 1.14x | 1.11x | 22.7% · 75 checked | +5.87% | -5.63% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 491 | 431 / 60 | 18.6% | 1.1x | 1.07x | 21.9% · 64 checked | +5.76% | -5.67% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2215 | 1877 / 338 | 26.7% | 1.58x | 1.63x | 21.3% · 253 checked | +7.72% | -5.69% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2200 | 1863 / 337 | 26.5% | 1.57x | 1.62x | 21.3% · 253 checked | +7.68% | -5.66% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1463 | 1236 / 227 | 21.2% | 1.25x | 1.26x | 20.8% · 168 checked | +6.36% | -5.61% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1459 | 1232 / 227 | 21.1% | 1.25x | 1.25x | 20.8% · 168 checked | +6.36% | -5.59% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 790 | 701 / 89 | 18.3% | 1.08x | 1.07x | 19.8% · 96 checked | +5.85% | -5.71% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 111 | 104 / 7 | 21 | 20.2% | 1.2x | 12.5% · 8 checked | +5.53% | -7.11% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 276 | 261 / 15 | 39 | 14.9% | 0.88x | 10% · 10 checked | +5.33% | -6.50% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2775 | 2574 / 201 | 316 | 12.3% | 0.73x | 7.6% · 340 checked | +4.89% | -5.22% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 150 | 141 / 9 | 15 | 10.6% | 0.63x | 11.1% · 9 checked | +4.51% | -6.68% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 12169 | 10172 / 1997 | 1740 | 17.1% | 1.01x | +5.77% | -4.95% |
| Score 90-109 | 350 | 331 / 19 | 38 | 11.5% | 0.68x | +4.80% | -6.01% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 70 | 66 / 4 | 14 | 21.2% | 1.25x | +5.83% | -5.78% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 11678 | 9724 / 1954 | 1684 | 17.3% | 1.02x | +5.80% | -4.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 206 | 195 / 11 | 25 | 12.8% | 0.76x | +5.15% | -6.75% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 578 | 531 / 47 | 57 | 10.7% | 0.63x | +4.78% | -6.01% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 376 | 315 / 61 | 126 | 40% | 2.37x | +9.71% | -6.66% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1839 | 1562 / 277 | 376 | 24.1% | 1.43x | +7.32% | -5.49% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6102 | 5150 / 952 | 802 | 15.6% | 0.92x | +5.56% | -4.86% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4215 | 3489 / 726 | 476 | 13.6% | 0.8x | +4.92% | -4.78% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 460 | 423 / 37 | 154 | 36.4% | 2.15x | +11.02% | -7.32% |
| Elevated | 3807 | 3321 / 486 | 1025 | 30.9% | 1.83x | +8.41% | -5.82% |
| Medium | 7958 | 6549 / 1409 | 601 | 9.2% | 0.54x | +4.16% | -4.44% |
| Low | 307 | 223 / 84 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.17% | -3.69% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1850 | 1554 / 296 | 619 | 39.8% | 2.36x | +10.29% | -7.36% |
| Communication Services | 552 | 457 / 95 | 99 | 21.7% | 1.28x | +6.51% | -4.48% |
| Materials | 650 | 546 / 104 | 99 | 18.1% | 1.07x | +5.93% | -4.90% |
| Energy | 525 | 441 / 84 | 79 | 17.9% | 1.06x | +6.01% | -3.80% |
| Health Care | 1474 | 1238 / 236 | 213 | 17.2% | 1.02x | +6.65% | -3.96% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1175 | 987 / 188 | 169 | 17.1% | 1.01x | +5.41% | -5.33% |
| Industrials | 2000 | 1680 / 320 | 251 | 14.9% | 0.88x | +4.90% | -5.35% |
| Consumer Staples | 874 | 734 / 140 | 65 | 8.9% | 0.53x | +4.58% | -5.06% |
| Financials | 1900 | 1596 / 304 | 141 | 8.8% | 0.52x | +4.29% | -3.55% |
| Real Estate | 757 | 632 / 125 | 28 | 4.4% | 0.26x | +2.99% | -4.67% |
| Utilities | 775 | 651 / 124 | 17 | 2.6% | 0.15x | +2.38% | -4.71% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.