Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-09-14 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 3851 | 3403 / 448 | 383 | 11.3% | 0.65x | +4.62% | -5.35% |
| Grade F | 9186 | 7116 / 2070 | 1460 | 20.5% | 1.17x | +6.44% | -4.84% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 393 | 317 / 76 | 40.1% | 2.29x | 2.26x | 42.9% · 42 checked | +9.62% | -7.05% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 393 | 317 / 76 | 40.1% | 2.29x | 2.26x | 42.9% · 42 checked | +9.62% | -7.05% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 237 | 175 / 62 | 26.3% | 1.5x | 1.36x | 39.3% · 28 checked | +7.01% | -7.34% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 237 | 175 / 62 | 26.3% | 1.5x | 1.36x | 39.3% · 28 checked | +7.01% | -7.34% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 130 | 96 / 34 | 21.9% | 1.25x | 1.22x | 25% · 12 checked | +6.45% | -7.82% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 132 | 98 / 34 | 21.4% | 1.22x | 1.19x | 25% · 12 checked | +6.43% | -7.80% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 132 | 98 / 34 | 21.4% | 1.22x | 1.19x | 25% · 12 checked | +6.43% | -7.80% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 1531 | 1232 / 299 | 21.6% | 1.23x | 1.21x | 24.8% · 141 checked | +6.38% | -5.64% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 1526 | 1227 / 299 | 21.4% | 1.22x | 1.2x | 24.8% · 141 checked | +6.37% | -5.62% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 2313 | 1866 / 447 | 27.1% | 1.55x | 1.57x | 23.9% · 213 checked | +7.77% | -5.82% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2295 | 1849 / 446 | 26.8% | 1.53x | 1.55x | 23.6% · 212 checked | +7.74% | -5.78% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 668 | 541 / 127 | 19.4% | 1.11x | 1.08x | 23.4% · 64 checked | +5.91% | -5.55% |
| Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 666 | 539 / 127 | 19.5% | 1.11x | 1.08x | 23.4% · 64 checked | +5.94% | -5.51% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 507 | 420 / 87 | 18.1% | 1.03x | 1.01x | 21.1% · 57 checked | +5.78% | -5.54% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 820 | 688 / 132 | 18% | 1.03x | 1.02x | 19.3% · 83 checked | +5.86% | -5.68% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 113 | 101 / 12 | 21 | 20.8% | 1.19x | 16.7% · 6 checked | +5.64% | -6.88% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 289 | 268 / 21 | 40 | 14.9% | 0.85x | 8.3% · 12 checked | +5.29% | -6.52% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 2879 | 2582 / 297 | 318 | 12.3% | 0.7x | 6.8% · 380 checked | +4.95% | -5.18% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 157 | 143 / 14 | 15 | 10.5% | 0.6x | 9.1% · 11 checked | +4.48% | -6.78% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 12651 | 10160 / 2491 | 1803 | 17.7% | 1.01x | +5.89% | -4.97% |
| Score 90-109 | 371 | 344 / 27 | 38 | 11% | 0.63x | +4.73% | -6.05% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 72 | 66 / 6 | 14 | 21.2% | 1.21x | +5.98% | -5.60% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 12099 | 9660 / 2439 | 1741 | 18% | 1.03x | +5.93% | -4.90% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 217 | 202 / 15 | 26 | 12.9% | 0.74x | +5.07% | -6.82% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 649 | 591 / 58 | 62 | 10.5% | 0.6x | +4.80% | -5.97% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 393 | 317 / 76 | 127 | 40.1% | 2.29x | +9.62% | -7.05% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 1920 | 1549 / 371 | 379 | 24.5% | 1.4x | +7.39% | -5.56% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 6338 | 5122 / 1216 | 831 | 16.2% | 0.93x | +5.71% | -4.85% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 4386 | 3531 / 855 | 506 | 14.3% | 0.82x | +5.04% | -4.80% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 485 | 442 / 43 | 159 | 36% | 2.06x | +10.87% | -7.48% |
| Elevated | 3978 | 3392 / 586 | 1055 | 31.1% | 1.78x | +8.40% | -5.90% |
| Medium | 8259 | 6484 / 1775 | 629 | 9.7% | 0.55x | +4.29% | -4.41% |
| Low | 315 | 201 / 114 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +2.25% | -3.67% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 1924 | 1554 / 370 | 637 | 41% | 2.34x | +10.45% | -7.44% |
| Communication Services | 575 | 458 / 117 | 99 | 21.6% | 1.23x | +6.45% | -4.65% |
| Materials | 676 | 546 / 130 | 107 | 19.6% | 1.12x | +6.15% | -4.81% |
| Energy | 546 | 441 / 105 | 81 | 18.4% | 1.05x | +6.10% | -3.78% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1222 | 987 / 235 | 177 | 17.9% | 1.02x | +5.60% | -5.31% |
| Health Care | 1533 | 1238 / 295 | 219 | 17.7% | 1.01x | +6.76% | -3.95% |
| Industrials | 2080 | 1680 / 400 | 262 | 15.6% | 0.89x | +5.06% | -5.43% |
| Financials | 1976 | 1596 / 380 | 150 | 9.4% | 0.54x | +4.37% | -3.56% |
| Consumer Staples | 909 | 734 / 175 | 67 | 9.1% | 0.52x | +4.68% | -5.01% |
| Real Estate | 790 | 634 / 156 | 30 | 4.7% | 0.27x | +3.11% | -4.65% |
| Utilities | 806 | 651 / 155 | 14 | 2.2% | 0.13x | +2.36% | -4.75% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.