Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-11 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade D | 5408 | 4320 / 1088 | 517 | 12% | 0.59x | +5.38% | -5.03% |
| Grade F | 11663 | 9739 / 1924 | 2324 | 23.9% | 1.18x | +7.10% | -5.09% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 618 | 519 / 99 | 30.1% | 1.49x | 1.36x | 50.9% · 57 checked | +7.97% | -11.19% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 617 | 518 / 99 | 30.1% | 1.49x | 1.36x | 50.9% · 57 checked | +7.96% | -11.18% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3415 | 2812 / 603 | 25.2% | 1.25x | 1.19x | 32.6% · 374 checked | +7.26% | -7.80% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3379 | 2779 / 600 | 25.1% | 1.24x | 1.19x | 32.1% · 371 checked | +7.25% | -7.74% |
| Risk not High | 16201 | 13337 / 2864 | 19.5% | 0.97x | 0.88x | 29.5% · 1936 checked | +6.45% | -4.86% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 12056 | 9840 / 2216 | 20.6% | 1.02x | 0.96x | 28.5% · 1381 checked | +6.58% | -5.56% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 11390 | 9284 / 2106 | 19.9% | 0.99x | 0.92x | 27.5% · 1325 checked | +6.43% | -5.31% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 352 | 303 / 49 | 28.7% | 1.42x | 1.43x | 27.3% · 22 checked | +7.36% | -12.35% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 353 | 304 / 49 | 28.6% | 1.42x | 1.42x | 27.3% · 22 checked | +7.36% | -12.36% |
| Technical >= 16 | 12968 | 10642 / 2326 | 17.2% | 0.85x | 0.78x | 26% · 1503 checked | +6.15% | -4.89% |
| Technical >= 16 + Risk not High | 12611 | 10361 / 2250 | 16.8% | 0.83x | 0.76x | 25.6% · 1483 checked | +6.09% | -4.75% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M | 8889 | 7201 / 1688 | 17.5% | 0.87x | 0.82x | 23.1% · 1005 checked | +6.11% | -5.34% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 8616 | 6982 / 1634 | 17% | 0.84x | 0.8x | 22.5% · 986 checked | +6.02% | -5.18% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 2271 | 1862 / 409 | 22% | 1.09x | 1.1x | 20.4% · 216 checked | +6.64% | -7.59% |
| Money flow >= 12 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B | 190 | 166 / 24 | 28.9% | 1.43x | 1.46x | 20% · 10 checked | +7.85% | -12.74% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 182 | 138 / 44 | 27 | 19.6% | 0.97x | 11.1% · 27 checked | +6.28% | -9.41% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 467 | 353 / 114 | 56 | 15.9% | 0.79x | 13.6% · 88 checked | +5.94% | -7.25% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 246 | 184 / 62 | 24 | 13% | 0.64x | 0% · 37 checked | +5.39% | -7.66% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4561 | 3649 / 912 | 460 | 12.6% | 0.62x | 13.4% · 425 checked | +5.42% | -5.18% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No latest-snapshot candidates matched high-lift rules yet. | ||||
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 16491 | 13625 / 2866 | 2786 | 20.4% | 1.01x | +6.61% | -5.01% |
| Score 90-109 | 561 | 422 / 139 | 55 | 13% | 0.64x | +5.30% | -6.94% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 77 | 46 / 31 | 11 | 23.9% | 1.18x | +7.44% | -7.06% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 15406 | 12722 / 2684 | 2656 | 20.9% | 1.03x | +6.68% | -4.96% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 390 | 307 / 83 | 45 | 14.7% | 0.73x | +5.71% | -7.28% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1198 | 984 / 214 | 129 | 13.1% | 0.65x | +5.38% | -5.69% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 618 | 519 / 99 | 156 | 30.1% | 1.49x | +7.97% | -11.19% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 2797 | 2293 / 504 | 552 | 24.1% | 1.19x | +7.10% | -7.03% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5015 | 4219 / 796 | 814 | 19.3% | 0.96x | +6.55% | -3.93% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 8641 | 7028 / 1613 | 1319 | 18.8% | 0.93x | +6.30% | -4.66% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 870 | 722 / 148 | 243 | 33.7% | 1.67x | +8.69% | -9.04% |
| Elevated | 5908 | 4776 / 1132 | 1443 | 30.2% | 1.5x | +7.95% | -7.06% |
| Medium | 9990 | 8297 / 1693 | 1139 | 13.7% | 0.68x | +5.67% | -3.66% |
| Low | 303 | 264 / 39 | 16 | 6.1% | 0.3x | +4.02% | -2.73% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2509 | 2065 / 444 | 743 | 36% | 1.78x | +9.00% | -9.93% |
| Health Care | 2004 | 1651 / 353 | 404 | 24.5% | 1.21x | +7.50% | -3.87% |
| Communication Services | 766 | 633 / 133 | 154 | 24.3% | 1.2x | +6.52% | -5.66% |
| Energy | 714 | 588 / 126 | 130 | 22.1% | 1.09x | +6.24% | -3.89% |
| Materials | 883 | 727 / 156 | 148 | 20.4% | 1.01x | +6.58% | -4.88% |
| Financials | 2582 | 2126 / 456 | 431 | 20.3% | 1x | +6.59% | -3.48% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1598 | 1316 / 282 | 242 | 18.4% | 0.91x | +6.22% | -4.91% |
| Industrials | 2718 | 2238 / 480 | 394 | 17.6% | 0.87x | +6.34% | -4.97% |
| Consumer Staples | 1189 | 979 / 210 | 122 | 12.5% | 0.62x | +5.49% | -4.04% |
| Real Estate | 1054 | 868 / 186 | 52 | 6% | 0.3x | +4.58% | -3.69% |
| Utilities | 1054 | 868 / 186 | 21 | 2.4% | 0.12x | +3.54% | -3.27% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.