Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-08-05 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade B | 106 | 63 / 43 | 11 | 17.5% | 0.91x | +6.15% | -8.57% |
| Grade C | 79 | 60 / 19 | 18 | 30% | 1.56x | +7.21% | -11.16% |
| Grade D | 5692 | 4371 / 1321 | 520 | 11.9% | 0.62x | +5.46% | -4.76% |
| Grade F | 12704 | 10066 / 2638 | 2243 | 22.3% | 1.16x | +7.00% | -5.10% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best Dollar volume >= $5B | 672 | 544 / 128 | 29.4% | 1.53x | 1.51x | 33.3% · 57 checked | +8.04% | -10.80% |
| Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 671 | 543 / 128 | 29.5% | 1.54x | 1.51x | 33.3% · 57 checked | +8.04% | -10.79% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 725 | 573 / 152 | 27.2% | 1.42x | 1.4x | 30.2% · 53 checked | +7.83% | -6.97% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 726 | 573 / 153 | 27.2% | 1.42x | 1.4x | 30.2% · 53 checked | +7.83% | -6.97% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 724 | 571 / 153 | 27% | 1.41x | 1.39x | 30.2% · 53 checked | +7.81% | -6.96% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B | 3702 | 2882 / 820 | 25.8% | 1.34x | 1.33x | 28.1% · 338 checked | +7.44% | -7.67% |
| Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 3666 | 2850 / 816 | 25.8% | 1.34x | 1.33x | 27.5% · 331 checked | +7.44% | -7.61% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 2462 | 1947 / 515 | 24.6% | 1.28x | 1.27x | 27% · 204 checked | +7.25% | -7.48% |
| Money flow >= 14 + Technical >= 20 + Dollar volume >= $1B | 502 | 403 / 99 | 24.3% | 1.27x | 1.26x | 26.9% · 26 checked | +7.22% | -7.36% |
| Risk not High | 17656 | 13805 / 3851 | 18.5% | 0.96x | 0.9x | 26.4% · 1919 checked | +6.43% | -4.83% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $1B + Risk not High | 2449 | 1935 / 514 | 24.5% | 1.28x | 1.27x | 26.2% · 202 checked | +7.25% | -7.44% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M | 13057 | 10138 / 2919 | 20.1% | 1.05x | 1x | 26% · 1292 checked | +6.58% | -5.50% |
| Dollar volume >= $250M + Risk not High | 12340 | 9558 / 2782 | 19.4% | 1.01x | 0.96x | 25.4% · 1229 checked | +6.46% | -5.26% |
| Technical >= 16 | 14095 | 11031 / 3064 | 16.8% | 0.88x | 0.8x | 25.4% · 1514 checked | +6.17% | -4.84% |
| Technical >= 16 + Dollar volume >= $5B + Risk not High | 382 | 328 / 54 | 33.2% | 1.73x | 1.78x | 25% · 32 checked | +8.56% | -11.68% |
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 185 | 123 / 62 | 29 | 23.6% | 1.23x | 33.3% · 6 checked | +6.67% | -9.83% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 492 | 315 / 177 | 53 | 16.8% | 0.88x | 11.1% · 27 checked | +5.85% | -7.14% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 254 | 171 / 83 | 26 | 15.2% | 0.79x | 8.3% · 12 checked | +5.60% | -7.44% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4867 | 3760 / 1107 | 469 | 12.5% | 0.65x | 16.9% · 379 checked | +5.49% | -5.08% |
| Total score >= 110 + risk not High | 20 | 10 / 10 | 0 | 0% | 0x | 0% · 5 checked | +4.03% | -4.50% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.ANET Arista Networks | B 65.2 | 105.2 62.2/110 · 43/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.AMGN Amgen | B 68 | 100.3 65.3/110 · 35/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) | B 64.6 | 92.3 62.3/110 · 30/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.BA Boeing | B 64.5 | 89.8 59.8/110 · 30/50 | Medium | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
| US.NVDA Nvidia | C 62.3 | 90 58/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score < 90 | 17978 | 14170 / 3808 | 2741 | 19.3% | 1.01x | +6.57% | -4.99% |
| Score 90-109 | 583 | 380 / 203 | 51 | 13.4% | 0.7x | +5.24% | -6.84% |
| Score 110-129 | 20 | 10 / 10 | 0 | 0% | 0x | +4.03% | -4.50% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 76 | 31 / 45 | 9 | 29% | 1.51x | +8.00% | -8.38% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 16806 | 13251 / 3555 | 2612 | 19.7% | 1.03x | +6.64% | -4.95% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 416 | 284 / 132 | 44 | 15.5% | 0.81x | +5.61% | -7.01% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1283 | 994 / 289 | 127 | 12.8% | 0.67x | +5.38% | -5.55% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 672 | 544 / 128 | 160 | 29.4% | 1.53x | +8.04% | -10.80% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3030 | 2338 / 692 | 584 | 25% | 1.3x | +7.30% | -6.95% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9355 | 7256 / 2099 | 1292 | 17.8% | 0.93x | +6.24% | -4.63% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 5524 | 4422 / 1102 | 756 | 17.1% | 0.89x | +6.43% | -3.99% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 925 | 755 / 170 | 243 | 32.2% | 1.68x | +8.50% | -8.88% |
| Elevated | 6372 | 4927 / 1445 | 1428 | 29% | 1.51x | +7.96% | -7.19% |
| Medium | 10939 | 8592 / 2347 | 1105 | 12.9% | 0.67x | +5.63% | -3.54% |
| Low | 345 | 286 / 59 | 16 | 5.6% | 0.29x | +4.04% | -2.70% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2731 | 2139 / 592 | 726 | 33.9% | 1.77x | +8.55% | -9.93% |
| Materials | 961 | 753 / 208 | 173 | 23% | 1.2x | +7.98% | -4.72% |
| Health Care | 2181 | 1710 / 471 | 367 | 21.5% | 1.12x | +7.08% | -3.97% |
| Communication Services | 837 | 655 / 182 | 132 | 20.2% | 1.05x | +5.94% | -6.20% |
| Energy | 777 | 609 / 168 | 123 | 20.2% | 1.05x | +5.99% | -4.40% |
| Financials | 2810 | 2202 / 608 | 434 | 19.7% | 1.03x | +6.67% | -3.48% |
| Industrials | 2957 | 2317 / 640 | 416 | 18% | 0.94x | +6.62% | -4.74% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1739 | 1363 / 376 | 234 | 17.2% | 0.9x | +5.98% | -5.01% |
| Consumer Staples | 1294 | 1014 / 280 | 109 | 10.7% | 0.56x | +5.33% | -3.90% |
| Real Estate | 1147 | 899 / 248 | 46 | 5.1% | 0.27x | +4.48% | -3.71% |
| Utilities | 1147 | 899 / 248 | 32 | 3.6% | 0.19x | +4.02% | -2.55% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.