Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-10 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 93 | 76 / 17 | 7 | 9.2% | 0.48x | +4.62% | -5.47% |
| Grade B | 453 | 345 / 108 | 124 | 35.9% | 1.86x | +9.86% | -9.03% |
| Grade D | 6015 | 4284 / 1731 | 603 | 14.1% | 0.73x | +6.00% | -5.10% |
| Grade F | 14512 | 11357 / 3155 | 2369 | 20.9% | 1.08x | +7.14% | -4.61% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No combination cleared min sample and validation filters yet. | ||||||||
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 281 | 234 / 47 | 88 | 37.6% | 1.95x | 18.5% · 27 checked | +10.38% | -10.84% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 368 | 295 / 73 | 96 | 32.5% | 1.68x | 21.4% · 28 checked | +9.70% | -8.57% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 562 | 430 / 132 | 134 | 31.2% | 1.62x | 15.7% · 51 checked | +8.91% | -8.49% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 5223 | 3697 / 1526 | 664 | 18% | 0.93x | 17.1% · 490 checked | +6.76% | -5.66% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.META Meta Platforms | B 72.2 | 98.9 59.9/110 · 39/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 663 | 500 / 163 | 136 | 27.2% | 1.41x | +7.98% | -7.93% |
| Score < 90 | 20415 | 15561 / 4854 | 2966 | 19.1% | 0.99x | +6.84% | -4.75% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 96 | 90 / 6 | 34 | 37.8% | 1.96x | +10.96% | -11.02% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 466 | 340 / 126 | 100 | 29.4% | 1.52x | +8.37% | -7.82% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1343 | 938 / 405 | 185 | 19.7% | 1.02x | +6.75% | -6.44% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 19184 | 14703 / 4481 | 2787 | 19% | 0.98x | +6.84% | -4.64% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 790 | 595 / 195 | 204 | 34.3% | 1.78x | +9.91% | -9.33% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3455 | 2644 / 811 | 793 | 30% | 1.55x | +8.86% | -6.40% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 10489 | 7998 / 2491 | 1324 | 16.6% | 0.86x | +6.23% | -4.67% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 6355 | 4834 / 1521 | 785 | 16.2% | 0.84x | +6.52% | -3.75% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 960 | 693 / 267 | 300 | 43.3% | 2.24x | +10.88% | -7.70% |
| Elevated | 7105 | 5334 / 1771 | 1800 | 33.7% | 1.75x | +9.53% | -6.81% |
| Medium | 12570 | 9689 / 2881 | 988 | 10.2% | 0.53x | +5.25% | -3.62% |
| Low | 454 | 355 / 99 | 18 | 5.1% | 0.26x | +4.05% | -3.37% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 3102 | 2368 / 734 | 1050 | 44.3% | 2.3x | +11.72% | -8.77% |
| Health Care | 2477 | 1888 / 589 | 429 | 22.7% | 1.18x | +7.20% | -3.48% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1974 | 1504 / 470 | 329 | 21.9% | 1.13x | +7.13% | -4.61% |
| Materials | 1091 | 831 / 260 | 177 | 21.3% | 1.1x | +8.47% | -5.39% |
| Industrials | 3338 | 2540 / 798 | 416 | 16.4% | 0.85x | +6.55% | -4.14% |
| Financials | 3190 | 2432 / 758 | 344 | 14.1% | 0.73x | +5.87% | -3.82% |
| Communication Services | 962 | 732 / 230 | 96 | 13.1% | 0.68x | +4.82% | -6.14% |
| Consumer Staples | 1469 | 1120 / 349 | 128 | 11.4% | 0.59x | +5.36% | -4.18% |
| Energy | 882 | 672 / 210 | 43 | 6.4% | 0.33x | +4.05% | -5.90% |
| Real Estate | 1302 | 992 / 310 | 50 | 5% | 0.26x | +4.47% | -3.57% |
| Utilities | 1302 | 992 / 310 | 44 | 4.4% | 0.23x | +3.99% | -2.69% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.