Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-07-07 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 441 | 327 / 114 | 100 | 30.6% | 1.66x | +9.17% | -8.42% |
| Grade B | 126 | 85 / 41 | 36 | 42.4% | 2.3x | +9.50% | -8.64% |
| Grade D | 5798 | 4037 / 1761 | 567 | 14% | 0.76x | +5.98% | -5.14% |
| Grade F | 13708 | 10606 / 3102 | 2072 | 19.5% | 1.06x | +6.97% | -4.67% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No combination cleared min sample and validation filters yet. | ||||||||
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 292 | 235 / 57 | 92 | 39.1% | 2.13x | 22.7% · 22 checked | +10.72% | -10.81% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 385 | 295 / 90 | 101 | 34.2% | 1.86x | 21.7% · 23 checked | +10.00% | -8.54% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 581 | 420 / 161 | 139 | 33.1% | 1.8x | 20% · 35 checked | +9.26% | -8.52% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4949 | 3459 / 1490 | 630 | 18.2% | 0.99x | 24.7% · 393 checked | +6.78% | -5.70% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.AXON Axon Enterprise | A 79.2 | 89.1 57.1/110 · 32/50 | Elevated | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services | B 76 | 86.1 55.1/110 · 31/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 685 | 497 / 188 | 144 | 29% | 1.58x | +8.27% | -7.98% |
| Score < 90 | 19391 | 14556 / 4835 | 2630 | 18.1% | 0.98x | +6.71% | -4.80% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 111 | 100 / 11 | 39 | 39% | 2.12x | +11.04% | -10.65% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 470 | 320 / 150 | 100 | 31.3% | 1.7x | +8.70% | -7.85% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1350 | 843 / 507 | 176 | 20.9% | 1.14x | +6.96% | -6.62% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 18156 | 13800 / 4356 | 2463 | 17.8% | 0.97x | +6.68% | -4.69% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 761 | 550 / 211 | 181 | 32.9% | 1.79x | +9.74% | -9.08% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3355 | 2464 / 891 | 738 | 30% | 1.63x | +8.98% | -6.30% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 9969 | 7444 / 2525 | 1178 | 15.8% | 0.86x | +6.12% | -4.74% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 6002 | 4605 / 1397 | 681 | 14.8% | 0.8x | +6.29% | -3.93% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 899 | 615 / 284 | 261 | 42.4% | 2.3x | +10.74% | -7.77% |
| Elevated | 6738 | 4997 / 1741 | 1648 | 33% | 1.79x | +9.47% | -6.84% |
| Medium | 12000 | 9111 / 2889 | 855 | 9.4% | 0.51x | +5.13% | -3.70% |
| Low | 450 | 340 / 110 | 14 | 4.1% | 0.22x | +3.96% | -3.50% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 2957 | 2220 / 737 | 971 | 43.7% | 2.38x | +11.81% | -8.61% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1880 | 1410 / 470 | 306 | 21.7% | 1.18x | +7.10% | -4.70% |
| Materials | 1039 | 780 / 259 | 168 | 21.5% | 1.17x | +8.65% | -5.42% |
| Health Care | 2359 | 1770 / 589 | 365 | 20.6% | 1.12x | +6.89% | -3.75% |
| Industrials | 3177 | 2377 / 800 | 381 | 16% | 0.87x | +6.45% | -4.19% |
| Consumer Staples | 1399 | 1050 / 349 | 121 | 11.5% | 0.63x | +5.32% | -4.26% |
| Financials | 3038 | 2278 / 760 | 260 | 11.4% | 0.62x | +5.50% | -3.94% |
| Communication Services | 918 | 688 / 230 | 70 | 10.2% | 0.55x | +4.33% | -6.29% |
| Energy | 840 | 630 / 210 | 42 | 6.7% | 0.36x | +4.12% | -5.84% |
| Real Estate | 1240 | 930 / 310 | 49 | 5.3% | 0.29x | +4.39% | -3.56% |
| Utilities | 1240 | 930 / 310 | 45 | 4.8% | 0.26x | +4.03% | -2.75% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.